sparklecity Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just glancing through the GFS on meteostar, looks like an active 10 days coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yea, same here. Very surprised to see the updated forecast. Still waiting on their updated watch/warning. Not sure what lilj4425 in Greenville means by he just got NAM'd winter storm warning is out for upstate. GSP is going with 3-6" north of 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The birds are going crazy outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 LOL, c'mon, you know this is coming north and I'm going to mix while you get like 18". haha I thought it was too. But i think this might be the storm for CLT and RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Will the skies be healed in time? They only get about a day to heal so it might not be enough time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I think the DGEX was the first model to actually show this as a major storm about 120 hours out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I'm right here. Just reading and learning what type posts are acceptable in pinned threads. 10-4 just checking cause its about to get stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just got me a nap and feel 100% back to life. It's even snowing again as a bonus.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 10-4 just checking cause its about to get stupid. I'll be reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Well, FOX 8's Van Denton is all-in, so that's nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Well, FOX 8's Van Denton is all-in, so that's nice. Yeah, he is... I wouldnt be shocked if Winston gets 1-2" and south high point gets 4-6" ... seems very probably with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I think the DGEX was thr first model to actually show this as a major storm about 120 hours out...No it was the LORDS model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 What a joke of a winter for CAE. I am ready for spring so I can stop wishing we'd see snow. I am N of I-20 between Irmo and Chapin and while folks 30 minutes to my north will see 4-8 inches I will see yet another cold rain. Congrats to everyone. Besides those of you in CAE like me. What a waste of one of the coldest winters I remember. Not a thing to show for it. I agree. Latitude-wise, we're about in the same location (I'm in the Blythewood area). I thought we might've had an opportunity to see an inch or two. Two or three days ago, it was looking a bit too good for us, and I never really bought into it. I had a feeling it wouldn't materialize, and on cue, my beliefs came to fruition. A real crappy winter for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Part of me thinks thinks this low stays closed off longer than being modeled by the euro/gfs/canadian. If it does it could end up being closer to the NAM. I know in the past these things have held together longer than modeled. I think that is why Robert is leaning towards the NAM. The question is will it be as extreme as the NAM is showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Is the SREF really that bad? Maybe I have not been paying attention over the years, or maybe it is because it is getting talked about so much. But seems like, those that would know, think it is a pile of crap. I think Jon posted the question about research about the SREF in the main thread. It would also be nice if, someone that most likely already has these, would give us some links to research articles (peer reviewed) (or a database) on individual models.. Or is this also a carp shoot. In my line of work, I can get you direct full PDF articles on topics. Just wondering if our Met crew can do the same for us. Thanks in advance folks... Now, lets reel this SOB in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
10below Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Well, FOX 8's Van Denton is all-in, so that's nice. Awww the good ol Van Denton jinx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Is the SREF really that bad? Maybe I have not been paying attention over the years, or maybe it is because it is getting talked about so much. But seems like, those that would know, think it is a pile of crap. I think Jon posted the question about research about the SREF in the main thread. It would also be nice if, someone that most likely already has these, would give us some links to research articles (peer reviewed) (or a database) on individual models.. Or is this also a carp shoot. In my line of work, I can get you direct full PDF articles on topics. Just wondering if our Met crew can do the same for us. Thanks in advance folks... Now, lets reel this SOB in it hasn't been too bad at close range with past events. Gsp has used it for years in their discussions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I just like looking at the SREF plumes. I know last year they were wrong, but I can't attest to their verification scores. I do see GSP mentioning them quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I just like looking at the SREF plumes. I know last year they were wrong, but I can't attest to their verification scores. I do see GSP mentioning them quite a bit. How does the NAM look accumulation wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 LOL at RDU folks cliff-jumping. C'mon, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 LOL at RDU folks cliff-jumping. C'mon, man. There's too many Raleigh forum members on here anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 LOL at RDU folks cliff-jumping. C'mon, man.I'm beginning to think "wral" is a high scoring model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 How does the NAM look accumulation wise?wax your sleds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Got a surprise 3 inches on the ground and still snowing good here for todays event. Hope we score thursday but we just got close to our yearly avg on a day when just 24 hours ago was suppose to be partly cloudy and 40 degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just for the sake of fun for us Upstate SC members....I'm going to give my "in your backyard" call map...I actually printed a map...but didn't like it. So just visualize it, if you will! NorthWest Mountains, which include areas like Mountain Rest, Jocassee, Table Rock, Caesars Head - 8" Wahalla, Keowee, Pickens, Travelers Rest, Landrum - 7" Fair Play, Townville, Clemson, Easley, Metro Greenville, Taylors, Greer, Spartanburg, Boling Springs, Gaffney - 6" Hartwell, Anderson, Piedmont, Mauldin, Simpsonville, Moore, Clover - 5" Belton, Fountain Inn, Woodruff, York, Lake Wylie - Up to 4" Honea Path, Ware Shoals, Laurens, Gray Court, Clinton, Union, Rock Hill - Up to 3" This is just for fun based on forecasts.....no clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 So now we have all the cliff diving. I can't wait until tomorrow when it's snowing in GA and people in NC are saying, "I knew this would be a bust I have returns over me and it's rain/nothing happening the dry air will eat up all of my totals!!!!!"...only for it to switch over and they end up with 7 inches. Happens every freaking year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
10below Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 LOL at RDU folks cliff-jumping. C'mon, man. They should be. Those temps tomorrow are going to be hard to overcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 They should be. Those temps tomorrow are going to be hard to overcome. Just let it go. Let it go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The amount of wishcasting and disinformation is freakin' crazy today! I guess a weather model will always suck unless it shows something really good. If it trends bad, throw it away because it has been horrible. Use it as gospel if it has a nice event though. Seriously, just two days ago the SREF was amazing and "look at the snowfall probability and the QPF" etc etc. Now it's horrible and a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Can we dispense with all the talk about the WRAL forecasts in the main thread? It's getting a little tedious having to wade through all that. Let's bring out the broom and sweep away a lot of these useless posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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