pirates21 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm expecting rain to meaningless snow showers. Seems to be how we do it in our parts. No advisory worth stuff. I think your expectations are prudent and exact. Our luck might turn one of these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm expecting rain to meaningless snow showers. Seems to be how we do it in our parts. No advisory worth stuff. At this point, I wouldn't mind that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It'll be interesting to see how quick we turn it over to snow here in NEPA. We've got some heavier stuff right on our doorstep as the changeover tries to push through...if we get the cold air pressing in quicker, we could definitely get a solid few inches. 0z GFS...note where some heavier rates are setting up as the precip lines move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Correct me if I'm wrong, GFS is showing over an inch of rain in my neck of the woods?? Lol, that could be not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 IPT does about .75" QPF on this run verbatim based on what I can pull off Tropical Tidbits (that's where those images originated btw) with a good bit of rain before changing to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 PSU maybe you could help me out on this, why do the maps have us in 1+" of qpf and then the number of output is always much lower. Also the surface 0 line stays south of us from like 30 plus hours on and yet it seems off too. I should probably start avoiding maps and look at the output I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 at a skywarn class, the met said that they usually cut some of the precip amounts by half because the models overdo the amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's deathly quietly here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Rainstorm on the way lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 How much snow does everyone have on the ground? I'd eyeball 6" + or - a few here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's deathly quietly here.Tough to get hyped for 35 and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Prob 9 or 10 sure to take a hit with the rain coming though. Hoping NAM is right, not really wanting near an inch of rain lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think I may have been over zealous with the cold push this evening into tomorrow morning especially the depth of the cold layer. Looks more like ZR than snow. Tough to analyze things when it hurts to sit at a computer for 30 min :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Looking like a transition to moderate snow up here. NWS calling for 4-8 in this area. We will see but latest RGEM shows 8" inches of snow but some of that has to be sleet and ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 How much snow does everyone have on the ground? I'd eyeball 6" + or - a few here. About the same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think the Winter Weather Advisory will be extended a few counties to the west in CTP's region. Noon temp in Harrisburg near 35 with dew point near 24. I don't think reach the mid 40's like some forecasts suggested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Why is no one calling for ZR lol looks like a lot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 How much snow does everyone have on the ground? I'd eyeball 6" + or - a few here. Mostly bare ground here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think the Winter Weather Advisory will be extended a few counties to the west in CTP's region. Noon temp in Harrisburg near 35 with dew point near 24. I don't think reach the mid 40's like some forecasts suggested. It looks like a close call. Pushing 50 near the MD border. Hanging in the mid 30s around Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 How much snow does everyone have on the ground? I'd eyeball 6" + or - a few here. A few measurements in the backyard yielded between 9-10" still, which was a negligible change from yesterday. The couple areas around the front yard that normally thin out more still have around 4-6". Temps dropped to around 28 last night here which stopped melting and refroze the pack a bit. Typical muted torch weather today for east of the Allegheny front, temps about 40 or so and overcast. Just wanna get this system and my pity coating at the end out of the way and move on haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Cold air hanging in there, but I doubt that front will be stationary for too long once the low gets closer Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Quite the temperature contrast going on right now in Central PA. Temps pushing into the upper 40s and even some low 50s showing up between the west side of State College and Altoona. Meanwhile, the airport NE of State College is at 37° and we are hanging near 40° in Bellefonte. Wonder how far north that warming will be able to get before things start cooling later this evening/overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm only 2.6 miles west of the airport and am at 41.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Quite the temperature contrast going on right now in Central PA. Temps pushing into the upper 40s and even some low 50s showing up between the west side of State College and Altoona. Meanwhile, the airport NE of State College is at 37° and we are hanging near 40° in Bellefonte. Wonder how far north that warming will be able to get before things start cooling later this evening/overnight. 44F at the Walker station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I have 14" on the picnic table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think I may have been over zealous with the cold push this evening into tomorrow morning especially the depth of the cold layer. Looks more like ZR than snow. Tough to analyze things when it hurts to sit at a computer for 30 min :/ did I miss something? why can't you sit for long periods? temp was 44.7f when I last checked. about 30 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Looks like there's still 8-10" in the wooded areas around me. Solid enough that it's going to take some pretty heavy rain and warm temps to put a real dent in it. Then there's the couple of inches possible on the tail end of this one to add to it. However, been my experience that accumulations at the end of these type situations rarely live up to predictions - usually just fizzling out to a coating at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 did I miss something? why can't you sit for long periods? temp was 44.7f when I last checked. about 30 minutes ago. I have a pinched nerve in the right side of my neck. Been dealing with it for a few weeks now. I've been treating it everyday and I go see a Chiropractor every other day during the week. Been a rough go. 39/28 at Millersville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Starting to rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Why is no one calling for ZR lol looks like a lot! there is a very warm layer just above the surface where if there actually ends up enough precip falling to get through dry air and reach the ground that surface temps may actually warm around LSV from what they are at now. To me it will be too warm for anything but rain until the cold air comes through which now does not look to be as sharp of a cold front as it looked a few days ago. The problem right now is rates are not nearly heavy enough across eastern PA that while radar looks like it should be raining there are no reports at the surface of precip. edit: no reports until what was posted right before me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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