Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS has 8-10" OTG by Tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Big hit with early next week storm on the GFS. Much more classic look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS is an all out blizzard around here with those winds. Wish it could be right for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 For the first storm Scott or second storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 For the first storm Scott or second storm? Second. For all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 If the EC ensemble is right, BOS may be below 32 from Monday through the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Euro has the Monday night storm too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 Euro has the Monday night storm too No its a whiff on the Euro and ensembles...gets compressed to the S and SE. We'd probably get like a dusting to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looking at all the op and ensemble runs they all put down plenty of snow for many of us in the next 2 weeks. Little details can delight or disappoint. Eg: If I get 2-4 inches of cement which includes an inch of driving rain knocking down what could have been 8 inches well....I'll still be happy. But overall I think the pattern looks good going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 What a weenie run on the 06z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 2nd storm looks good on GFS, I can see 4-6" from 1st and 6-8" from second.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 12z GFS hits the Monday event again with 6-10" from the south coast to CNH/CVT and advisory criteria to MWN. Nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS looks good again with the Monday system. The Euro has actually been the outlier in not showing much of anything the past 2 runs. We'll have to see if it comes back on board today...esp since it's hitting that 96 hour mark or so. You would certainly want to see the Euro come in board...if not 12z, then certainly by 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS looks good again with the Monday system. The Euro has actually been the outlier in not showing much of anything the past 2 runs. We'll have to see if it comes back on board today...esp since it's hitting that 96 hour mark or so. You would certainly want to see the Euro come in board...if not 12z, then certainly by 00z. Clipper, Miller'B look, Blows the low up offshore, Long duration also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 Clipper, Miller'B look, Blows the low up offshore Pretty textbook for a cold redeveloper. It has a very nice look at all levels of the atmosphere...we just need the Euro to get on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Pretty textbook for a cold redeveloper. It has a very nice look at all levels of the atmosphere...we just need the Euro to get on board. Nice long duration event, No taint issues on there for anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS looks good again with the Monday system. The Euro has actually been the outlier in not showing much of anything the past 2 runs. We'll have to see if it comes back on board today...esp since it's hitting that 96 hour mark or so. You would certainly want to see the Euro come in board...if not 12z, then certainly by 00z. Ensembles definitely hinted at it last night, definitely a decent proportion of the members that have something(I'd guess 35-40%). Mean was about 3" for BOS. Hopefully that's a signal that the op will follow, oftentimes it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Good look on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'm liking the idea of a weaker initial system Saturday helping the latter Miller B potential for Monday. GFS solution would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I would lock in the 12z gfs in a second awesome look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Loving the fact system 1 isn't as strong which allows system 2 to flourish. We could be looking at a snowy period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS is not weak with the first system, gets down to 970mb east of CC. Also the second storm is very cold all the way to the coast. Would bring roughly 1.3-1.7" of QPF to CC. Even the first system is cold on the GFS now, it would be like a .4" of rain turning to 1.5" of snow QPF. Second storm would be 1.5 to 2.0" of QPF all snow. They both could become blizzards, but the second one is more likely than the first one due to colder temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS verbatim over a foot in some areas. Nice looking system for monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Man, this is what I wanted for days. Hope the euro comes around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 According to the GFS we would get like 15" of snow after it turned over from rain. 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Loving the fact system 1 isn't as strong which allows system 2 to flourish. We could be looking at a snowy period.System one is just strong enough to deliver good snows to some, but just weak enough to not disrupt downstream flow allowing the clipper to amplify in time to give snow for more. Somewhat of a balancing act going on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Scott the EURO will come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Its not the strength of the first storm that would disrupt the flow, its the speed, luckily there is no blocking for the first storm, otherwise the second storm would get shunted into VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Talk about a weenie snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Cape Cod would get all snow according to the GFS with system number two, yet the snow map shows absolutely no snowfall. I hate those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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