ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 Big ridge out west on euro for next weekend and beyond. A lot of energy in that flow. There's going to be some chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Big ridge out west on euro for next weekend and beyond. A lot of energy in that flow. There's going to be some chances. No shortage of shortwaves out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Everybody forgets nothing interesting was supposed to occur until after the clipper, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Everybody forgets nothing interesting was supposed to occur until after the clipper, anyways. Yep we are 4-6 days away from when anything good was going to happen. Pattern is just setting up should be a good time later in week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Crickets on clipper from Euro Ens.. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Crickets on clipper from Euro Ens.. Lol18zNAM is great but again NAM is great.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Euro ensemble looked like the op. Tickled SE MA with precip. Overall though, rather active it seemed after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Well when Will goes quiet we know its over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Damn Steve..,nam is a nuke. You got me to look...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Well when Will goes quiet we know its over Or he could be busy as well as annoyed by posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Man, scooter is irritable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Man, scooter is irritable. I'm fine and content with what I see going forward. But man, some of you guys have been incredible today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Yeah the NAM looks textbook for what you would want to see for a nice event around here. Looks nice. To bad its the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I'm fine and content with what I see going forward. But man, some of you guys have been incredible today. I haven't said much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I'd want to be seeing the NAM cut over Albany at this time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 NAM looks like it wants to cut over SE MA. CLoses off at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 Or he could be busy as well as annoyed by posters.Lol I was watching football. Amazing how paranoid Kevin has become that he is reading meaning into a two hour absence of posting. Some of y'all need to chill out or go to the banter thread. Let's keep this on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 It's gotten nauseating to just talk about the 11-15 day EC ENS day after day. I mean I know that's basically what this thread is for if there's no imminent threats but man...it'd be great to have the clipper trend into 2-4/3-6 region-wide. We need to catch a break one of these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 18z GFS is following the nam for the clipper. Not quite as amplified verbatim but a pretty big trend toward it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 18z GFS is following the nam for the clipper. Not quite as amplified verbatim but a pretty big trend toward it. That's a pretty big shift. That s/w really goes negative near the Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 18z GFS is following the nam for the clipper. Not quite as amplified verbatim but a pretty big trend toward it. Less confluence but it seemed like the shortwave was more progressive than 12z, no? EDIT: The lead shortwave is in the same spot but the trailing one is a little farther east when comparing hr 66 and 72 but the confluence lessening was enough to allow it to amplify I suppose. I haven't seen past hr 66 yet on NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 Man this model is all over the place going back from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2015 Author Share Posted January 18, 2015 That's a pretty big shift. That s/w really goes negative near the Delmarva. Yeah that is exactly what you want to see to give this a chance to over achieve. But that's a positive sign before the 00z suite tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 18z looks close. Step towards the Nam it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 The trailing vort over Minnesota which was acting as a kicker on the 06 and 12Z runs is now absorbed into the main vort...largely because this thing keeps digging and is slower on each run...if its indeed true we lose that trailing vort this thing is gonna happen...also the lobe of energy over Canada has been gone on the last 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 I havent liked it since it started running way to many changes run to run its laughable Man this model is all over the place going back from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 18, 2015 Share Posted January 18, 2015 As some have said previously, NAM is best within 48 hours, however fact that the GFS is hedging towards a bigger impact, lessens the blow of the NAM. H7 and H85 lows close off South of Nantucket, MA giving SE MA and RI one last chance at redemption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 Several nice solutions for the clipper on the 18z GEFS. 78 84 90 96 mean QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 When this dude forecasts assume the opposite @nynjpaweather: I have no doubt that Arctic cold is coming, but looks cold and dry. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 19, 2015 Share Posted January 19, 2015 When this dude forecasts assume the opposite @nynjpaweather: I have no doubt that Arctic cold is coming, but looks cold and dry. Why? He may not exactly be wrong on that idea....I don't think he's referring to the next 2-3 days but more beyond that and he could be correct given the potential NRN stream dominant pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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