CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It seems like there's some sort of vorticity that tracks near Nyc across the extreme south coast. We'll have to see how it all shakes out I bet you didn't even look at the model/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I bet you didn't even look at the model/I did and strangely enough showed up on top of your head when I clicked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I did and strangely enough showed up on top of your head when I clicked Bare, dead Earth didn't show up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Bare, dead Earth didn't show up?We're going to see a lot of .5-1.5 amounts by the time it winds down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 00z NAM continues to look better for some mood snows and even some 1"+ accumulations in spots for SNE. It even gets 900-950mb going at about 15 knots for a time from the east which would push some of this stuff inland..esp ORH hills and east. 850-900mb gets into the -6C to -7C range which is plenty cold enough for dendrites with that Atlantic source region. This particular run really likes interior SE MA. Hopefully it continues to look decent as we get closer...sometimes these can fizzle, or sometimes they can get better. But Sat night and Sun could have some good mood snows if it works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 It's got a decent inv trough look with 20kts out of the NE moving into the area converging with light north winds. But, then it has E-SE winds aloft which probably would advect the moisture to the ORH hills like Will said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Hmm like that setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 It's got a decent inv trough look with 20kts out of the NE moving into the area converging with light north winds. But, then it has E-SE winds aloft which probably would advect the moisture to the ORH hills like Will said. RGEM only goes to 48, but it looks pretty solid too on the last frame. Good little upper level weakness right over the south coast with a weak inverted trough aimed right at E MA/RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 RGEM only goes to 48, but it looks pretty solid too on the last frame. Good little upper level weakness right over the south coast with a weak inverted trough aimed right at E MA/RI. If winds can stay north here, it would be a good whitener. It's getting to that point...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Desperate times need desperate measures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Keeping an eye on this one. Would be nice to have some light accumulating snow to finish up Christmas shopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I could also see a cweat/messenger lolli here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Trends continue overnight and at 6z. Accumulating light snows well back even to the Berks,..The hilly areas and east facing slopes obviously will do the best..but everyone should see some snow at the least. Should be a wintry weekend as we await the triple phaser Xmas Eve over the Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I'm not so sure how much of that moisture will get westward into the Connecticut River Valley and points west the set up does seem to favor eastern New England the most and then the upslope regions of northeastern Connecticut and Worcester County. There is high pressure modeled to be just to our southwest which could put a cap on the westward progression of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Too bad we're not Christmas celebrators. I'd have a great excuse to go to Chicago for the lakes bomb. As the storm was winding down, I'd go to les areas in Michigan for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Get born again fast! In Chicago now but leave before the fun starts. Too bad we're not Christmas celebrators. I'd have a great excuse to go to Chicago for the lakes bomb. As the storm was winding down, I'd go to les areas in Michigan for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I like the look for some. It's even borderline 2-3 for me, but perhaps just west. It should spread west as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I like the look for some. It's even borderline 2-3 for me, but perhaps just west. It should spread west as well. Models overnight definitely had an interior E/SE MA fetish overnight. Only because right on the shore, the snow might be fighting borderline temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I like the look for some. It's even borderline 2-3 for me, but perhaps just west. It should spread west as well.You can envision a lot of Where did this come from kinds of comments all over SNE Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Models overnight definitely had an interior E/SE MA fetish overnight. Only because right on the shore, the snow might be fighting borderline temps. I'll be fine if winds are more north. It's one of those things where once winds go NE, you'll be steady at like 15kts and temps go to 37 or something like that. But I agree, could be interior e/se ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I'll be fine if winds are more north. It's one of those things where once winds go NE, you'll be steady at like 15kts and temps go to 37 or something like that. But I agree, could be interior e/se ma. Yeah I wasn't implying rain there...but it might be a case where right on the shore it's like 32-33 and 27-28F back 5-10 miles west. The south shore down by PYM are the ones who might actually fight RA-...otherwise this might be a great setup for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 I like the look for some. It's even borderline 2-3 for me, but perhaps just west. It should spread west as well. Most probably south of me...I never do well on these oes contributors. The slight incline of interior se MA, near the Foxboro area, will clean up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 East facing slopes of the ORH hills will be the winners with a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Yeah I wasn't implying rain there...but it might be a case where right on the shore it's like 32-33 and 27-28F back 5-10 miles west. The south shore down by PYM are the ones who might actually fight RA-...otherwise this might be a great setup for them. Oh I knew what you meant. I was just doing a theoretical example. That event on the 9th where I got a half inch was a nice example of that. In any case, these are fickle so I don't get too excited for them, especially given my locale, but could work out further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 What are thoughts on the follow up wave Monday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 What are thoughts on the follow up wave Monday night? Looks like garbage right now. It weakens the precip shield before it really can get in here and give any real frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 actually like my location for this " event ". Temps look to be okay. These seem so fickle, thats why I am hesitant we see much more than mood flakes. However, the potential seems to be there for a few inches if it works out right. Would be nice to get on the board for this month, and add a festive appeal to the landscape. Maybe this will be more substantial than the slop i have received so far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 BOX SATURDAY...INTERESTING SETUP. WEAK INVERTED TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION.NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS COMBINED WITH WINDS JUST OFF THE DECKTURNING EAST SOUTHEAST WILL MOISTEN UP THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THESOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST. 850 TEMPS AROUND -6C SHOULD BE COLDENOUGH FOR ICE NUCLEATION...ESPECIALLY GIVEN EASTERLY FLOW BRINGINGSALT PARTICLES IN OFF THE OCEAN. THEREFORE...NOT TOO CONCERNEDABOUT FREEZING DRIZZLE AT THIS TIME BUT THINK WILL BE DEALING WITHSNOW SHOWERS.LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD AFFECT FAR SOUTHEAST MA...ESPECIALLYPLYMOUTH COUNTY WHERE PATTERN RECOGNITION WARRANTS LIKELY POPS. ASTHE AFTERNOON WEARS ON WE MAY SEE THESE LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPACROSS CAPE ANN AND PERHAPS EVEN FURTHER INTO EASTERN MA BY EARLYEVENING. ENOUGH MILD AIR SHOULD COME IN OFF THE OCEAN TO RESULT INPTYPE CHANGING TO LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THECAPE/ISLANDS AND PERHAPS ONTO PORTIONS OF THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHEASTPLYMOUTH COUNTY COAST.AS FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY JUST LOOKING AT A COATING TO LESSTHAN 1 INCH ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND THROUGH EARLY SATURDAYEVENING. HOWEVER...LOW RISK FOR VERY LOCALIZED 1 TO 2 INCH SNOWAMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF PLYMOUTH COUNTY IF THE BOUNDARY LAYERREMAINS COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Just pinned the topic so we can keep it up top on the discussion but I probably just spelled the death of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 12z NAM keys in on PYM County for the best chance of accum. Freezing heights are around 1000 ft so if it falls hard enough, it should accum. Perhaps 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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