Roger Smith Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Welcome back, forecasters, as we tackle the challenge of May. I have a new feature to introduce, called "Bragging Rights Bonus." It is a separate question that does not give you any points, just a warm glow inside. Meanwhile, the main business is to forecast temperature anomalies at six locations, in 0.1 F deg departures from 1981-2010 normals, as verified by the NWS on CF6 tables available in "climate" section of data by states on the NWS website as well as other places such as regional forecast center web pages. You can read updates at various intervals on this thread too. The six locations are identified in this template, use this for entering (if you're new, wait until a few people have entered, you'll see how we roll as my daughter Betty White says on that commercial.) DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH The "Bragging Rights Bonus" (entry of course quite optional) is as follows: Predict the date of the most severe outbreak in May and give an approximate location for the most severe storms involved. This will only be impressive if (.a.) you're right and (.b.) it isn't May 1st. Late entrants note, mentioning a past event will just be plain passive-aggressive. OTHER CONTEST ALERT -- This is not the only contest you can enter around here. On the Lakes/OV forum, you can predict days over 90F at various Midwest and plains locations. Check it out. The deadline for that one is also May 1st. Mallow, are we going to have a tropical storm season forecast contest? Anyone, are we going to have a tropical storm season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 DCA: -0.5 NYC: -1.1 BOS: -0.7 ORD: -1.5 ATL: -3.5 IAH: -2.5 May 13th Texas,Oklahoma,Arkansas 20 tornadoes Max EF2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 DCA: +2.3 NYC: +1.8 BOS: +1.3 ORD: +0.7 ATL: +1.7 IAH: +1.1 Bonus Question May 23rd, 65 Tornadoes, OK/KS max EF4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 DCA: +0.4 NYC: +0.2 BOS: +0.6 ORD: -0.2 ATL: +0.4 IAH: -0.7 Bonus: May 25th in OK, KS and MO, 47 tornadoes, max EF4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike.Ventrice Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 DCA: -1 NYC: -0.7 BOS: -0.3 ORD: +0.2 ATL: -2.5 IAH: -0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 DCA: 0 NYC: +.5 BOS: +1 ORD: -.8 ATL: -1.2 IAH: -1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted April 26, 2013 Share Posted April 26, 2013 DCA: +2.0 NYC: +1.8 BOS: +2.3 ORD: -0.5 ATL: +1.5 IAH: -0.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH +1.0 +1.0 +0.6 -0.9 -1.6 -1.7 May 14 Northern MS, AL, GA and TN 32 tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 27, 2013 Author Share Posted April 27, 2013 +2.0 ... +1.5 ... +2.2 ... ... ... +1.5 ... +1.0 ... +0.8 Will predict a major svr wx outbreak 23rd-24th from OK/KS to IL/IN/KY both days about the same, chasers will converge on ICT then s IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH +0.7 ... +1.4 .... +1.1 ... ... ... +1.1 ... -0.8 ... +0.2 Bonus: LA-MO-MS-TN May 18-19th. 22 TOR, Max EF-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 DCA: +03 NYC: +0.2 BOS: +0.4 ORD: +1.0 ATL: +1.1 IAH: +1.5 Bonus: May 22nd in AR, MS,TN, and LA. 34 tornadoes, max EF3. Edit May 1st Changed AK to AR. Thanks okie333. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 DCA: +03 NYC: +0.2 BOS: +0.4 ORD: +1.0 ATL: +1.1 IAH: +1.5 Bonus: May 22nd in AK, MS,TN, and LA. 34 tornadoes, max EF3. Alaska? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH +0.5 ... +0.5 ... +0.7 ... ... ... -2.5 ... -1.5 ... 0.0 May 30th - OK/KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH +0.4 ... +0.9 ... +1.4 ... ... ... +0.5 ... -1.2 ... -2.0 Bonus: May 27th, OK/KS/NE/MO *Revised 9:35am 4/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH+0.7 ... +0.9 ... +1.0 ... ... ... +0.5 ... +0.6 ... +0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ...ORD ... ATL ... IAH +1.0....-0.5....+0.5.......-1.0....-0.5....-1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA: 0 NYC: +.5 BOS: +1 ORD: -.8 ATL: -1.2 IAH: -1.0 EDIT: DCA: +.2 NYC: +1.0 BOS +2.0 ORD: 0 ATL: -1.2 IAH: -2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA.......NYC......BOS......ORD.......ATL......IAH +1.4 +1.1 +1.1 +0.4 +2.1 +1.8 Bonus: May 21st North Central OK, Central Kan, South East Nebraska 41 Tornados 1 EF5, 3 EF4's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH+1.8 ... +0.9 ... +1.0 ... ... ... +1.5 ... +0.5 ... -1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA: + 0.5 NYC: + 0.9 BOS + 1.5 ORD: - 0.2 ATL: - 0.8 IAH: - 1.2 Severe outbreak across KY/IL/IN/OH on May 27-28...28 tornadoes, EF3 max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 *Revised my date for the severe thing to May 25th and also some of the temps due to the influence from this persistent closed low over the next week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH+2.3 ... +1.9 .... +1.2 ... ... ... -0.5 ... +0.5 ... -1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH-1.0 ... -0.3 ... +0.3 ... ... ... -1.0 ... -1.3 ... -2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 Tempted to go with a negative departure in DC, especially after Don did, but history's enough to dissuade me.... DCA: + 0.3 NYC: + 1.0 BOS + 1.5 ORD: - 0.5 ATL: - 0.4 IAH: - 1.0 Severe Outbreak on May 26 in KS/OK; at least one F3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH-0.9 ... +0.1 ... +0.7 ... ... ... -2.2 ... -1.8 ... -2.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA: -0.4 NYC: -0.2 BOS: +0.1 ORD: -0.4 ATL: +1.5 IAH: +1.2 May 21st 27 tornadoes max EF4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 Mallow, are we going to have a tropical storm season forecast contest? Anyone, are we going to have a tropical storm season? Probably, though I'm not 100% sure I'll be running it just yet. First month will be June, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DerekZ Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ...ORD ... ATL ... IAH +2.0....+2.0....+2.0.......+1.0....+0.5....-1.0 Severe: May 28, IN-OH-KY, 9 tornadoes, 1 EF-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH 1.3 1.1 0.4 -0.5 1.5 2.1 Severe: May 17th...the day AFTER I come back from chasing in the Plains. I'm thinking south of OKC, a few EF2s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... ... ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH +0.5 +1.5 +1.0 +1.0 -1.0 -1.5 May 22-23rd across KS/MO/OK/IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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