sonickteam Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Free rain for all! haha, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 This is going to cause the Feds to really think twice and hesitate before they cancel for the day for a future storm. Then DC will get nailed midday, and traffic will be a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 December 2010 was worse than this for me. Far worse. at least the snow didnt melt while it was still falling in that event even though i got way less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Looking back at the last 5 days and now watching this unfold, I think waking up while choking on vomit is more fun No doubt. If you puke while you're asleep, you'd at least have a good story about the buildup to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Fortunately everyone busted but this is the biggest bust for the immediate area since the Post prob. Glad I only play a meteorologist on the Internet. No kidding. What a f*cking joke this is. NWS just increased my zone forecast for a total of 9-13". I have 2-3 inches left on the ground, all from last night. Today, it was light snow in the morning, and right now, it's raining. Massive, massive bust. But really, should we actually be surprised by this anymore? If there is a way for a snowstorm to flame out here, no matter how remote, it'll happen. Bring on spring, now, and let's put a bullet in the crappy winter. I'm done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I really don't quit remember another bust like this. All prior ones, it seemed the forecasted snows were already on their way back down prior to the next day's non or underwhelming event. In this case, everyone from TV, to LWX, to Cap Weather, were racing to up their forecast totals as the first flakes were falling, convinced they had been too low. And then it turns out, even the initial, most conservative forecasts, were wrong. Looking forward to the post mortem on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 No kidding. What a f*cking joke this is. NWS just increased my zone forecast for a total of 9-13". I have 2-3 inches left on the ground, all from last night. Today, it was light snow in the morning, and right now, it's raining. Massive, massive bust. But really, should we actually be surprised by this anymore? If there is a way for a snowstorm to flame out here, no matter how remote, it'll happen. Bring on spring, now, and let's put a bullet in the crappy winter. I'm done. THIS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 this is the worst non-miller b bust i can ever remember. there were like 300 models all basically saying the same thing 15 minutes before the snow started falling. There weren't any warning signs. Sure, temps were borderline but that is far from the single reason this storm busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baldereagle Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm at 12 feet above sl; its snowing alot here, just not at my elevation. I can almost see it........This is a pattern changer, a different season is in order...Let's have it, as I can't begin to evaluate the merits or lack thereof of what would be preferential to vomit-choking....my comments may well produce such effect, and this winter surely has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sonickteam Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 this is the worst non-miller b bust i can ever remember. there were like 300 models all basically saying the same thing 15 minutes before the snow started falling. There weren't any warning signs. Sure, temps were borderline but that is far from the single reason this storm busted. so what are some of the other reasons. Temps were the reason i didnt believe all of these crazy totals. The storm track didnt seem to really jump from what looked to be modeled, timing wasnt that off was it? its precipitating quite a bit and windy....just too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I really don't quit remember another bust like this. All prior ones, it seemed the forecasted snows were already on their way back down prior to the next day's non or underwhelming event. In this case, everyone from TV, to LWX, to Cap Weather, were racing to up their forecast totals as the first flakes were falling, convinced they had been too low. And then it turns out, even the initial, most conservative forecasts, were wrong. Looking forward to the post mortem on this. East winds, March sun angle, no fresh source of cold air, warm low level temps, light precipitation, etc, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 this is the worst non-miller b bust i can ever remember. there were like 300 models all basically saying the same thing 15 minutes before the snow started falling. There weren't any warning signs. Sure, temps were borderline but that is far from the single reason this storm busted. Yea, its not just temps. In DC, it hasn't even been raining that much (more drizzle). Not sure what QPF has been so far, but clearly no where near what the models were suggesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 I'm sure a red tag knows a heck of alot more than me but I knew we were in trouble when ric had thundersnow and rapid intensification. It wasn't modeled to go down like that at all. You can watch an entire radarloop of storm @ dupage website. You can see the big slug of waa start dying out over us during the rapid intensification process. Then we were no longer in the bullseye for best dynamics after that. Long story short. I blame RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 What a joke. I kept thinking it was going to start sticking when it got real heavy but now it's just plain rain. Not the worst storm though got a chance to shovel the driveway and sidewalk of slush and saw heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 for those who don't have this link. go here http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/ click lwx and run the 200 loop. you can see the energy vacuum suck the life out of us as things got wrapped up near RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 It's just incredible how so many otherwise sensible mets/forecasters got themselves caught in the hype of yesterday evening. Tom Tasselmyer with his 6-12" call, CWG calling for 7-14", usedtobe writing about thundersnow, zwyts saying his highest call will verify, and so forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I have about 8 in of snow and 31.2, and its still coming down pretty heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 this is the worst non-miller b bust i can ever remember. there were like 300 models all basically saying the same thing 15 minutes before the snow started falling. There weren't any warning signs. Sure, temps were borderline but that is far from the single reason this storm busted. GFS soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 It's just incredible how so many otherwise sensible mets/forecasters got themselves caught in the hype of yesterday evening. Tom Tasselmyer with his 6-12" call, CWG calling for 7-14", usedtobe writing about thundersnow, zwyts saying his highest call will verify, and so forth. What do you suggest they do? Throw out every single model's QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 It's just incredible how so many otherwise sensible mets/forecasters got themselves caught in the hype of yesterday evening. Tom Tasselmyer with his 6-12" call, CWG calling for 7-14", usedtobe writing about thundersnow, zwyts saying his highest call will verify, and so forth. If only they had listened to the The Fozz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 GFS soundings You called this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I want our streak to break 1000 days. Who's in? What day are we at right now? How far do we need to go for 1,000? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 GFS soundings Yes, temps were a concern but it didn't go down like it was supposed to either. Big lulls in the precip and best dynamics not in the right places at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skipper Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 Saturn is looking more like Uranus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 for those who don't have this link. go here http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/ click lwx and run the 200 loop. you can see the energy vacuum suck the life out of us as things got wrapped up near RIC. Yup. Some are trying to spin this but bottom line was that the mega rates and huge precip totals never materialized. We aren't even going to hit the Euro numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 for those who don't have this link. go here http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/ click lwx and run the 200 loop. you can see the energy vacuum suck the life out of us as things got wrapped up near RIC. I can't get myself to watch that.......no need to get myself even more depressed disappointed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 You called this. I was worried, but I didn't think that east of the river would be so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 sounds like the cold air core dove south of us and through south central va while the warm nose pushed west north of that cold core. Always weird when ric and dca qpf are the same and richmond verifies with more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 6, 2013 Share Posted March 6, 2013 I wonder when NWS is going to wave the white flag, WSW 4-8 seems a bit silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 6, 2013 Author Share Posted March 6, 2013 I wonder when NWS is going to wave the white flag, WSW 4-8 seems a bit silly. They drawing straws on who has to stamp their name on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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