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WNash

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About WNash

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    Buffalo, NY

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  1. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Yeah some nice returns headed this way. We have about 1/2” on grass and elevated surfaces, but nothing is sticking to the roads.
  2. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    That was a nice band that set up for a while around 3AM. We had a half inch of pure fluff fall while the band was still consolidating towards the near southtowns. We have had about five inches total. When we were forecasted to get several inches, we got less than an inch, but when we were forecasted for a dusting, we got a couple inches. In defense of the Buffalo WFO's forecasts for the Buffalo metro, I don't think they have good modeling or data for a mostly frozen lake with shifting patches of open water. But that doesn't account for their weird snowfall forecasts for Rochester or the broad brushing SE of Lake Ontario.
  3. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    It looked to me that mixing was a big risk for NYC and the WSW was a bold call. Looks like NE didn’t get the p type issues.
  4. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    What the hell are WSW criteria for Upton? 4-8" tainted by sleet in NYC but there are warning headlines. That might not even get an advisory in WNY/North Country.
  5. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    This sounds awesome but I'm genuinely afraid of downed trees and powerlines here. A neighbor just lost about 10% of his shingles, a large branch came down in another neighbor's backyard. Our house is shaking in the strongest gusts. I've been hearing emergency vehicles every 5-10 minutes!
  6. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Flagstaff gets a lot of snow, but they have snowpack loss way worse than we get in WNY.
  7. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    That move is awesome. Full of very dated cultural references, the science is pretty dubious and the climactic scene in the barn is just ridiculous, but it is a blast and I'll watch it any time it's on.
  8. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    I can see why professionals would want to experience weather that extreme. Understanding that the stakes are so high probably keeps good mets very, very focused.
  9. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    I would love to go to northern Honshu. They have perfect OES parameters, with prevailing NW flow over a mile deep sea constantly warmed by a current from the south, and orography that has a rise of 1500 meters over 15 miles. Look at this - Google street view from May 2013 showing a dense snowpack of three feet or so, after months of melt. It looks like a glacier.
  10. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    It's not for everybody, and definitely not for me, but I respect the honesty. I get more annoyed when thrillseekers pretend that they're doing storm chasing for science or whatever. In some cases, the videos can be useful for storm analysis. Morgerman spends big for travel and for equipment. Undoubtedly he gathers data that can't be obtained elsewhere and there is no way that selling his videos comes close to making that money back - he reminds me a bit of Richard Dreyfuss' character Hooper in Jaws, who owns his own damn scientific research vessel because he has $$$. But fundamentally people are doing it for the thrills, and it takes a lot of ego to say otherwise (and Morgerman, who without met training claims to "reanalyze" historic storms, always to lower them below the level of storms he has personally experienced, does not lack for ego).
  11. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    The ego and cowboy mentality of hurricane chasers - even the competent ones like iCyclone - is pretty gross, but those videos from the eyewalls are more frightening than any horror movie. (A separate category of insanity is from the dumbass yokel chasers like the guy who almost drowned in Hurricane Michael last year.) Residential and commercial construction, flora, etc. are not capable of standing up to sustained hurricane force winds here. Can you imagine how many steep pitched roofs with three foot exposed overhangs would go flying in a 100 knot storm here? You look at a palm tree bent to 60 degrees... imagine that kind of force applied to the maples and honeylocusts and aging oaks here.
  12. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Sunshine up here - wondering if this is a good indication that the lake is pretty well frozen up.
  13. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Nice surprise in that squall, probably 2”/ hr at its peak. We had perhaps 5” since sunrise - hard to be certain because of the wind.
  14. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Absolutely ripping in NE Buff
  15. WNash

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    A friend of my wife's grew up in Boonville. Her wedding was here, but a number of her friends from back home attended. Ag and dairy are big, along with paper products. One of the people at our table taught high school there and her husband does shorthaul driving.
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