wolfie09

WPC QPF for the lake effect portion.. Heaviest looks to be in C Oswego county, which looks about right from what I have seen..

So who's chipping in? Lol I asked the old lady we can afford another mortgage right? Yeah didn't go over well lol Would be a nice LES getaway..

Front has totally cleared kbuf CWA, winds have flipped W/WNW on the backside..

In and out of"heavier" showers, storm total up to 1.41"..

They go by what's reported from the spotters.. Phoenix for example had 22"..That's how lake effect rolls lol Two to four feet fell within the narrow band off Lake Ontario as well...from Wayne County to the Syracuse area. In fact, some Syracuse area locations received close to five feet. The gradients were extreme though...with only a few inches falling over many nearby locations. Off Lk Ontario: Lacona....51 inches Newark....42 inches Fulton....29 inches Marion....29 inches Phoenix....22 inches Rochester area....14 to 24 inches Syracuse area....40 to 60 inches

It's lovely out lol Pouring with almost an inch on the day.. Next update sizzlecuse should be lower, we went from 68° to 62° once the heavy rain moved in..Winds starting to pick up as well..

It wouldn't be a lake effect event without the potential for graupel lol Graupel and a few rumbles of thunder are possible near the lakes in these bands of rain Hi Rez Canadian has some stronger bands tomorrow morning, early afternoon..

Not getting much here tonight but quite the lightning display to the west..

Thanks.. The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Cayuga County in central New York... Southwestern Onondaga County in central New York... * Until 430 PM EDT. * At 403 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Levanna, or 10 miles south of Auburn, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Venice Center around 415 PM EDT. Fleming and Scipio Center around 420 PM EDT. Casowasco and Cascade around 425 PM EDT. Owasco, Moravia and Niles around 430 PM EDT.

First warning popped up SW of syracuse..

Radar back up just in time..

It's always tough early in the season near the lakes BUT first potential frost/freeze during that time frame as well.. (if GFS is to be believed) We'll see how it looks when we draw closer lol

Same with the GFS, 3rd week in October..