ChrisM Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Lol Mpm sleet while Me to Ginx to you snow? It has absolutely no snow for you and I so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Hr 66 per the paid maps on storm vista, 850 freezing line crashing south and east. Surface is still west of Boston. Eastern Mass does okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 You can see how it goes bonkers once the energy catches up to the system...faster southern energy is what we want in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 What bust potential though in lower/cstl areas. As usual, won't know for another 24 hrs anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Different evolution, but still 1.5" to 2.0" QPF ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 It just doesn't add up - it starts out with MORE dynamics between 12 and 51 hours compared to the 12z's same time intervals, but then ends up much weaker exiting the MA than the 12z - it's like its randomly adding or subtracting dynamics which f version do you trust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 BOS would be ok if we get into the CCB. Hate throwing all the eggs in one basket when it comes to that, but we'll need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Lol over an inch of qpf as ice for me. Yes please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 To bad its the Nam out of its range, I would bang it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Well we ride the Srefs for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 It just doesn't add up - it starts out with MORE dynamics between 12 and 51 hours compared to the 12z's same time intervals, but then ends up much weaker exiting the MA than the 12z - it's like its randomly adding or subtracting dynamics which f version do you trust! Neither. The model blows outside of 18-24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Would be ironic if this storm ends up more wet than white..and the opposite ends up holding true for the 27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Would be ironic if this storm ends up more wet than white..and the opposite ends up holding true for the 27th. I wouldn't be surprised on the first part. The second part... nah brah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 No matter what the solution I end up with like 5-8"...maybe 10" on some. But in CT/eastern mass...hell of a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlsnowman24 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Lol over an inch of qpf as ice for me. Yes please Honestly...can you read a map? 2m SFC and 850's are north of you until hour 63/66... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Honestly...can you read a map? 2m SFC and 850's are north of you until hour 63/66...I guess you don't know SNE climatology lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This storm sucks. That's all I've got to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Looks like ENY escapes with less than 2" of snow on the GGEM, Euro, and now NAM. The next cycle of the SREF should follow suit and then we just need the GFS, which should shift the precip field east as well. If we can get the low to spin up quick, we might achieve the largest seasonal snowfall disparity between coastal NE and ALB in history. Epic 2 year stretch going on out here. The last two cyles on the NAM have been overdone in terms of QPF. But the lingering of the SLP is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I guess you don't know SNE climatology lol I doubt there's going to be much ice in this event...either rain or snow. There could be a thin band of sleet where the transition zone is though...maybe some brief ZR, but it doesn't really have a ZR look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Honestly...can you read a map? 2m SFC and 850's are north of you until hour 63/66... Run a sounding before making like you know what you're doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I doubt there's going to be much ice in this event...either rain or snow. There could be a thin band of sleet where the transition zone is though...maybe some brief ZR, but it doesn't really have a ZR look.Yeah for me its looking like a blizzful of sleet with a few inches of snow on either side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This storm sucks. That's all I've got to say. We'll be fine. I'd take 4"+ and run with it and everything else is just gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 How much for Philly? I'm not liking the mid-levels or BL for this storm in my area..but hoping for something on the tail end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 You don't know weather.ive forgotten more than you know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Par for the course last couple winters, but that's the way it goes sometimes. Eventually lows will start crossing inside the benchmark, but until then we'll wait our turn and wish them the best. Extreme western Mass and Vermont have had it the same, but most posters are in the populated areas east of the CT River. I spent the first couple decades of my life in the Western CT hills, and even with my higher elevation I remember too many storms where I flipped to IP or rain while Upstate NY and ALB were ripping... as it is, my climo is more in line with interior New England than it is with the lake areas of NY, so much of my time is spent here. Looks like ENY escapes with less than 2" of snow on the GGEM, Euro, and now NAM. The next cycle of the SREF should follow suit and then we just need the GFS, which should shift the precip field east as well. If we can get the low to spin up quick, we might achieve the largest seasonal snowfall disparity between coastal NE and ALB in history. Epic 2 year stretch going on out here. The last two cyles on the NAM have been overdone in terms of QPF. But the lingering of the SLP is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GWR Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Warning points don't seem to be working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This storm sucks. That's all I've got to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I wouldn't be surprised on the first part. The second part... nah brah. 6 days out..I don't think its that much of a stretch for things to trend east. But would not be surprised either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Par for the course last couple winters, but that's the way it goes sometimes. Eventually lows will start crossing inside the benchmark, but until then we'll wait our turn and wish them the best. Extreme western Mass and Vermont have had it the same, but most posters are in the populated areas east of the CT River. I spent the first couple decades of my life in the Western CT hills, and even with my higher elevation I remember too many storms where I flipped to IP or rain while Upstate NY and ALB were ripping... as it is, my climo is more in line with interior New England than it is with the lake areas of NY, so much of my time is spent here. Which part of CT did you live in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlsnowman24 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Run a sounding before making like you know what you're doing. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.lat=41.8532&sounding.lon=-72.2791&sndclick=y&prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=02&model_dd=21&model_init_hh=18&fhour=63¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=y&output=text&view=large&archive=false that is NOT a ZR sounding, no matter how much kev wishes it is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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