calculus1 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Here's some love from the 12Z Hi-Res NAM for the Columbia folks! This is 23Z tonight: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Holy cow! All of a sudden, monstrous, destructive flakes, just obliterating everything in sight! You know you're getting screwed when Cold Rain is getting more snow than you . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 About one inch or so on the ground with a nice steady moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Read the RAH updated discussion. Things are getting interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Holy cow! All of a sudden, monstrous, destructive flakes, just obliterating everything in sight! Is it snow you're seeing or an asteroid? Down to 39 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Here's some love from the 12Z Hi-Res NAM for the Columbia folks! This is 23Z tonight: I'll take some of that. Heaviest snow I've seen today thus far at the moment. Maybe we can sneak a dusting in before it all melts after it calms down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Here's some love from the 12Z Hi-Res NAM for the Columbia folks! This is 23Z tonight: Hey now. You're talking my language. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 For the first time since I moved to Columbia in 2011, it's snowing. Congratulations man. Thats a milestone right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 For the first time since I moved to Columbia in 2011, it's snowing. Yay!! Here's some love from the 12Z Hi-Res NAM for the Columbia folks! This is 23Z tonight: I hope it's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 About 1/4" in 20 minutes or so with ground and midday factors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 You know you're getting screwed when Cold Rain is getting more snow than you . Lol! I usually am in the screw zone too. Funny thing is, Fishel was all depressed about the boundary layer thing yesterday, but it seems to be overperforming. Looks to redevelop for you too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wow. Huge fluffy waffle flakes now. Starting to accumulate better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Is it snow you're seeing or an asteroid? Down to 39 here. Haha! Both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Lol! I usually am in the screw zone too. Funny thing is, Fishel was all depressed about the boundary layer thing yesterday, but it seems to be overperforming. Looks to redevelop for you too. Not really. It's redeveloping over me and moving east to where the rich are getting richer. Another precip hole is headed this way, and the back edge is weakening, not redeveloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1151 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013 NCZ064-065-507>510-SCZ002-003-006-007-161900- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE... RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG 1151 AM EST SAT FEB 16 2013 ...SNOW SHOWERS INCREASING IN THE MOUNTAINS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER... AT 1150 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER THE MOUNTAINS FROM BREVARD TO HENDERSONVILLE. ANOTHER BAND WAS DEVELOPING FROM ROSMAN TO CAESARS HEAD. THESE SNOW SHOWERS WILL EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND POSSIBLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST PICKENS COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENVILLE AND NORTHERN SPARTANBURG COUNTIES...AS WELL AS THE FOOTHILLS FROM RUTHERFORD TO POLK COUNTY...SHOULD SEE INCREASING SNOW SHOWER COVERAGE FROM THE WEST. THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A QUICK ONE INCH COATING OF SNOW...WITH VERY ISOLATED 2 TO 3 INCH TOTALS POSSIBLE ON GRASSY SURFACES IN A FEW LOCATIONS. $$ GERAPETRITIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Tell tail sign something is afoot... Turkey buzzards are starting to roost in the big trees out back, maybe a dozen so far, but more are flying in. Precip may be delayed, though we would be in the rn/sn by 1pm, banding over the triangle having a hard time moving east. Could be good new though, thickness after 18z would support sn as the dominant type, I was kind of worried some moisture would be rn, not as worried now since it should start later this afternoon. Heading to Wilson for a couple hours, y'all play nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 CR, you got some good stuff coming and over you now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 National Radar gives the presentation of the front bottom end starting to kick out as the trough is going neutral negative tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Looking good here in Southern Pines! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 RAH update: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 1145 AM SATURDAY... A CHALLENGING AND COMPLEX FCST... AS AN ANOMALOUS AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH LIFTS NORTH AND EAST OVER THE AREA...TAKING ON A NEG TILT WITH CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES UP THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS ARE IMPRESSIVE WITH A VERY STRONG VORTMAX PROGRESSING INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. QPF AMOUNTS HAVE DEFINITELY INCREASED OVER THE AREA BUT THE KEEP WILL BE HOW MUCH OF THAT PRECIP WILL FALL THIS EVENING...BETWEEN 00 TO 06Z. STRONG LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CURRENT BAND MOVING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL NC HAS PRODUCED A QUICK AND EARLY BURST OF SNOW THIS MORNING...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS SUCH AS MOORE...ALAMANCE AND PERSON COUNTIES HAVING REPORT SOME SPOTTY 1 TO POSSIBLY 2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS...CONFINED MOSTLY TO GRASSY AREAS...WITH SLUSHY ROADS CONDITIONS. MELTING OCCURRING WITHIN THE HEAVIER BANDS HAS EFFECTIVELY COOLED THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE...EVIDENT IN WATCHING THE LOW CC(CORRELATION COEFFICIENT; NEW DUAL-POL PRODUCT)PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH THE TRIANGLE. AS ALLUDED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...THE FACT THAT THIS SNOW BAND IS OCCURRING DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS...WITHOUT INCREDIBLY HIGH PRECIP RATES(AS WE HAVE HAD IN A FEW SPOTS)...IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO GET WIDESPREAD SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF MORE THAN 1-2 INCHES. WHICH LEAVES US TO LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING... WHEN ALL THE VARIABLES COULD PERFECTLY COME TOGETHER TO PRODUCE RARE WARNING SNOW AMOUNTS(>3" IN 12 HOURS)WITH SUNSET PROVIDING MORE FAVORABLE/IDEAL NOCTURNAL TIMING AS THE VIGOROUS VORT MAX SWINGS ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE COASTAL LOW REALLY BEGINNING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY. THE ARRIVAL OF THE STRONG TROUGH DYNAMICS AND RESULTANT COOLING ALOFT/STEEP LAPSE RATES TO GO ALONG WITH THE CONTINUED DEEP LAYER FGEN...COULD SUPPORT A BAND OR MULTIPLE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL PIVOTING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC. AS MUCH 3 TO 6 INCHES WOULD BE POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THESE BANDS...WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF US 1 AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 64 AND INTERSTATE 85. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AND THESE AREAS COULD BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA BETWEEN 06 TO 12Z...WITH CLEARING SKIES ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...WHICH WILL ALLOW ANY MOISTURE ON ROADS TO BECOME SLICK...MAKING TRAVELING DIFFICULT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 That was briefly some of the heaviest snow I have seen in NC in quite some time (perhaps even heavier than the 1/17 thundersnow on my chase). Video coming later. Bitching over with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matt4pack Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Wow North Raleigh is getting the biggest snowflakes I've ever seen right now. It's a white out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 That was briefly some of the heaviest snow I have seen in NC in quite some time (perhaps even heavier than the 1/17 thundersnow on my chase). Video coming later. Bitching over with. My mom just sent me a pic from CH that showed flakes easily two inches across and the ground covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 Here's some love from the 12Z Hi-Res NAM for the Columbia folks! This is 23Z tonight: Thats a nasty band over eastern NC I hope this pans out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 RAH update:.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...AS OF 1145 AM SATURDAY...A CHALLENGING AND COMPLEX FCST... AS AN ANOMALOUS AMPLIFIED UPPERTROUGH LIFTS NORTH AND EAST OVER THE AREA...TAKING ON A NEG TILTWITH CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENINGINTENSIFYING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES UP THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTCOAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS ARE IMPRESSIVEWITH A VERY STRONG VORTMAX PROGRESSING INTO THE SOUTHERNAPPALACHIANS. QPF AMOUNTS HAVE DEFINITELY INCREASED OVER THE AREABUT THE KEEP WILL BE HOW MUCH OF THAT PRECIP WILL FALL THISEVENING...BETWEEN 00 TO 06Z.STRONG LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CURRENT BANDMOVING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL NC HAS PRODUCED A QUICK AND EARLY BURSTOF SNOW THIS MORNING...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS SUCH AS MOORE...ALAMANCEAND PERSON COUNTIES HAVING REPORT SOME SPOTTY 1 TO POSSIBLY2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS...CONFINED MOSTLY TO GRASSY AREAS...WITH SLUSHYROADS CONDITIONS. MELTING OCCURRING WITHIN THE HEAVIER BANDS HASEFFECTIVELY COOLED THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE...EVIDENT IN WATCHING THELOW CC(CORRELATION COEFFICIENT; NEW DUAL-POL PRODUCT)PUSH EASTWARDTHROUGH THE TRIANGLE.AS ALLUDED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...THE FACT THAT THIS SNOW BAND ISOCCURRING DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS...WITHOUT INCREDIBLY HIGH PRECIPRATES(AS WE HAVE HAD IN A FEW SPOTS)...IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULTTO GET WIDESPREAD SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF MORE THAN 1-2 INCHES.WHICH LEAVES US TO LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING...WHEN ALL THE VARIABLES COULD PERFECTLY COME TOGETHER TO PRODUCE RAREWARNING SNOW AMOUNTS(>3" IN 12 HOURS)WITH SUNSET PROVIDING MOREFAVORABLE/IDEAL NOCTURNAL TIMING AS THE VIGOROUS VORT MAXSWINGS ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE COASTAL LOW REALLY BEGINNING TORAPIDLY INTENSIFY.THE ARRIVAL OF THE STRONG TROUGH DYNAMICS AND RESULTANT COOLINGALOFT/STEEP LAPSE RATES TO GO ALONG WITH THE CONTINUED DEEP LAYERFGEN...COULD SUPPORT A BAND OR MULTIPLE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOWFALLPIVOTING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC. AS MUCH 3 TO6 INCHES WOULD BE POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THESE BANDS...WITH THE HIGHESTACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF US 1 AND NORTH OF THEHIGHWAY 64 AND INTERSTATE 85. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITOREDAND THESE AREAS COULD BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON.PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE AREABETWEEN 06 TO 12Z...WITH CLEARING SKIES ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TOFALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...WHICH WILL ALLOW ANY MOISTURE ONROADS TO BECOME SLICK...MAKING TRAVELING DIFFICULT EARLY SUNDAYMORNING. Wow, yeah in Moore County we've easily got an inch right now, and this is saying it's going to get heavier tonight? It's supposed to snow continuously until the evening? Hell yeah. It's only noon. It wasnt forecast to start here until 1PM, and that was a 40% chance of rain/snow. This is great! Taking the kids out to play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 National Radar gives the presentation of the front bottom end starting to kick out as the trough is going neutral negative tilt The latest RAP brings a ridiculous band through our areas around dinnertime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 The blobs are starting to have more of a northward component to them. That's a good sign. We'll see if it results in any sort of accumulation for Durham. Probably not, but I'm sure Raleigh will get dumped on, before Elizabeth City gets half a foot later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 All rain still over here by KJNX. Temp's been hanging around 41-43 most of the morning. Edit: 10 minutes later and it's trying to change over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2013 Share Posted February 16, 2013 CR, you got some good stuff coming and over you now. Yeah, this is just beautiful. Snowing hard and a solid dusting. Radar looks good for a while. Just read the RAH disco and looks like some areas could get upgraded to a warning. Technically, a perfect prog would be just north of me, but it's fun to be in the game for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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