ineedsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 historic!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We toss? Lol game on, exactly what I was hoping to read. You think it is good up here Dom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Rough estimate...48hr QPF valid 48hrs 0.50" PQI-1V4-MPV 0.75" HUL-BML-RUT 1.00" MLT-IZG-DDH 1.50" BHB-CON-POU 2.00" PWM-PSM-FIT-CEF-BDR Number towards here Brian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 chris m judging by dentries depiction i'd guess 1.6-1.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Noyes will bust on the changeover. BOS isn't raining at any time if it hasn't flipped yet. E winds >20kts for the past 7-8 hours and the best they can do is 33. F"ck you December, it's February now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Congrats everyone, enjoy until 4:30 pm when the next GFS rolls out and the weenie suicides start again. This is the one we'll be telling our kids about, it's coming and it's going to crush all of us. Ride the euro all the way to the promised land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Noyes will bust on the changeover. BOS isn't raining at any time if it hasn't flipped yet. E winds >20kts for the past 7-8 hours and the best they can do is 33. F"ck you December, it's February now! I'd agree. It's still at 32 here and snow. It may flip here for a time but I wouldn't think for more than a few hours and much further north than Marshfield or Duxbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 "Like" very much It's amazing. I love his analysis, but I agree, his posts come off that way. Not sure why. Anyway, Euro says, crush, kill, destroy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Number towards here Brian? I'd estimate near the middle of 1.00-1.50. pickles is about right for far NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Euro is a massive crush job. How does this area look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Rough estimate...48hr QPF valid 48hrs 0.50" PQI-1V4-MPV 0.75" HUL-BML-RUT 1.00" CYFC-IZG-DDH 1.50" BHB-CON-POU 2.00" PWM-PSM-FIT-CEF-BDR Map for the weenies. http://coolwx.com/analysis/surface/current/stns.ne-large.png Thanks for including that map with it!!! I should have opened it up before I started googling all the codes. I'll take 1.5". Hopefully add a reasonable ratio and eek out some thing good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 snowman did you get hit in the head with accordian this am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'd estimate near the middle of 1.00-1.50. pickles is about right for far NW CT. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'd estimate near the middle of 1.00-1.50. pickles is about right for far NW CT. Yeah I'm in Torrington, so not far NW but I'm up there in CT. Thanks a lot guys! Good luck to all, I'm off to the banter/obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I may go home and nap till around 7-8. 8-4am should be quite a show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 UPDATED snowfall map (final) Not much change to my earlier forecast, all changes were slight increases with various zones moved 10-20 miles south mainly, also added a 40-inch zone and revised the 3' contour to 35" for continuity. Forecast -- expect large area of 2-3 ft accumulations in southern New England, trending to 1-2 ft NYC metro and n NJ, central LI which receive similar QPF but suffer occasional mixing and lower ratios. Expect steady drop in accum southeast of a zone from Brockton to Fall River with 8-12 inches for south Cape Cod and the Islands. Possible max of 40-45 inches on higher terrain facing east in eastern MA and (isolated) east slope to height of Berkshires. As mentioned before, thundersnow potential looks highest around 06z (0100 EST) to 09z (0400 EST) in an arc extending ISP-eCT-ORH-BOS including most of e MA and n RI. At this time accumulation rates could reach 3-6 inches an hour boosting totals to 30-40 inches locally in favoured upslope locations from se NH across e/c MA into ne CT. A secondary max will probably run down the eastern flank of the Berkshires and into s VT, and a third max can be expected largely off-map in the Catskills and southeast Adirondacks. My predicted track takes center from 38N 72W to the benchmark around 0300h EST into southern Gulf of Maine by 0900h. Furthest northward extension of rain shield would be around midnight then phase will change back in affected areas. Peak wind gusts 85 mph Cape Cod and Islands, 60 mph BOS (80 mph higher elevations) and 55 mph Long Island Sound across Long Island. Short people should wear tall hats for later ease of discovery. Drifts of 7-12 feet possible into early Sunday in parts of e MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ec went SE but is a prolific precip producer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Boston north shore ema qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How does this area look? Nevermind. Saw Dendrites post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You think it is good up here Dom? Judging from what Brian posted, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 UPDATED snowfall map (final) Feb 8-9.jpg Not much change to my earlier forecast, all changes were slight increases with various zones moved 10-20 miles south mainly, also added a 40-inch zone and revised the 3' contour to 35" for continuity. Forecast -- expect large area of 2-3 ft accumulations in southern New England, trending to 1-2 ft NYC metro and n NJ, central LI which receive similar QPF but suffer occasional mixing and lower ratios. Expect steady drop in accum southeast of a zone from Brockton to Fall River with 8-12 inches for south Cape Cod and the Islands. Possible max of 40-45 inches on higher terrain facing east in eastern MA and (isolated) east slope to height of Berkshires. As mentioned before, thundersnow potential looks highest around 06z (0100 EST) to 09z (0400 EST) in an arc extending ISP-eCT-ORH-BOS including most of e MA and n RI. At this time accumulation rates could reach 3-6 inches an hour boosting totals to 30-40 inches locally in favoured upslope locations from se NH across e/c MA into ne CT. A secondary max will probably run down the eastern flank of the Berkshires and into s VT, and a third max can be expected largely off-map in the Catskills and southeast Adirondacks. My predicted track takes center from 38N 72W to the benchmark around 0300h EST into southern Gulf of Maine by 0900h. Furthest northward extension of rain shield would be around midnight then phase will change back in affected areas. Peak wind gusts 85 mph Cape Cod and Islands, 60 mph BOS (80 mph higher elevations) and 55 mph Long Island Sound across Long Island. Short people should wear tall hats for later ease of discovery. Drifts of 7-12 feet possible into early Sunday in parts of e MA. Like the 30-40 from here up to ORH Roger that ..10-4 Over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was just calculating different ratios of that for my daughter and wife. I said if we can manage 15:1...... and my 8-year old said she wanted 20. Sounds like a deal to me. 22.7/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'd agree. It's still at 32 here and snow. It may flip here for a time but I wouldn't think for more than a few hours and much further north than Marshfield or Duxbury. Man. 37f and mostly rain out here. I'm fooked for just about anything until it's long gone. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 well i guess that about finishes the model looking on the globals. time for the meso models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It's amazing. I love his analysis, but I agree, his posts come off that way. Not sure why. Anyway, Euro says, crush, kill, destroy! A run or two ago it had the height of impact overnight into the morning with a stalled low SE or SSE of the Cape. Where it stalled for a couple/several hours. The last two runs have moved that what is now a significant amount NE. Luckily the intensity of what happens the first half of tonight makes up for later. But it's fairly significant as DT mentioned, it was where it stalls that makes or breaks the legendary status. Ec went SE but is a prolific precip producer Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 There's something very important I forgot to tell you! Don't cross the streams… It would be bad… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ec went SE but is a prolific precip producer did the QPF go SE as well. i.e BOS has been at like 2.7 for eva. just say its still 2.5 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 A run or two ago it had the height of impact overnight into the morning with a stalled low SE or SSE of the Cape. Where it stalled for a couple/several hours. The last two runs have moved that what is now a significant amount NE. Luckily the intensity of what happens the first half of tonight makes up for later. But it's fairly significant as DT mentioned, it was where it stalls that makes or breaks the legendary status. Yep. It's honestly just set up the SE MA area as ground central with the shift SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 15z HRRR incredible snowfall rates region-wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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