Fozz Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 whoa.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1123 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013 DCZ001-MDZ009-010-013-014-016>018-VAZ042-050>057-501-502-170030- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0001.130117T1400Z-130118T0700Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-PRINCE GEORGES- ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA... ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF...ST MARYS CITY...LEESBURG...CULPEPER... MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH... FREDERICKSBURG...WARRENTON 1123 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AT THE ONSET...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DC THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL END THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ Surprised they pulled the trigger so soon. I was expecting something later this evening. Now I'm interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
columbiawx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 WSW includes Howard County. Seems a little bullish, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I had to read the watch like 6 times and still nto sure i believe it Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Feb 18th was awesome down here in LYH.. 8.2 inches... nice event, 2.5 in on hour, 3 other hours of inch an hour and then a long ending of flurries and light stuff that was awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I expect a flurry or two out this way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1123 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013 DCZ001-MDZ009-010-013-014-016>018-VAZ042-050>057-501-502-170030- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0001.130117T1400Z-130118T0700Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-PRINCE GEORGES- ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA... ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF...ST MARYS CITY...LEESBURG...CULPEPER... MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH... FREDERICKSBURG...WARRENTON 1123 AM EST WED JAN 16 2013 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AT THE ONSET...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DC THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL END THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ That's beautiful. Might have just brought a tear to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Same hereGo big or go home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 WSW includes Howard County. Seems a little bullish, no? As has been stated - it is always possible for the storm to edge a bit farther north. It is also possible that the gradient won't be so tight as the models are showing. PLUS, it is only a WATCH - they can downgrade to an advisory if they need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Go big or go home Let this be the first of many events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I had to read the watch like 6 times and still nto sure i believe it 5"????? Best weak/neutral nina winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I guess they saw enough from the 12z model runs to issue the watch... i hope this isn't one of those reverse LWX watches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 16, 2013 Author Share Posted January 16, 2013 looks damn close to march 2 2009 4" of slop then some upper level loving with 4" of fluff March 09 gfs hr. 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 WSW? 5+ inches. It seems like it's finally happening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 .WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGHLATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAYMORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES.* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. Biggest take away.... thats all I could read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Note that sterling has little more guidance than we do and perhaps little more skill. Them issuing a Cover their ass watch or DT releasing some map with 20" doesn't change anything about the content of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 .WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. Biggest take away.... thats all I could read My main focus was on the "possible" - This is very encouraging, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 .WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. Biggest take away.... thats all I could read I think that's just standard txt if they arent expecting mix etc. We need that to verify a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 WSW? 5+ inches. It seems like it's finally happening! .WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. Biggest take away.... thats all I could read They have little more guidance or experience than we do. This doesnt mean a whole lot. I'd not rely on Sterling very much. I'd use CWG as the best guide. LWX releasing a product or someone issuing a bullish map makes it NO more likely that we get snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I might be crazy, but I really am not worried about that sharp cutoff around DC. I feel very confident we'll be getting reports of heavy snow from Leesburg and Manchester, as usual. A band will park over those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 They have little more guidance or experience than we do. This doesnt mean a whole lot. I'd not rely on Sterling very much. I'd use CWG as the best guide. LWX releasing a product or someone issuing a bullish map makes it NO more likely that we get snow In this case, nice post Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 They have little more guidance or experience than we do. This doesnt mean a whole lot. I'd not rely on Sterling very much. I'd use CWG as the best guide. LWX releasing a product or someone issuing a bullish map makes it NO more likely that we get snowit's totally warranted imo. the signal is there for a decent event if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I might be crazy, but I really am not worried about that sharp cutoff around DC. I feel very confident we'll be getting reports of heavy snow from Leesburg and Manchester, as usual. A band will park over those areas. Crazy. But hope you are right, because if it plays out like currently modeled...this one hurts bad for Balt and north residents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I might be crazy, but I really am not worried about that sharp cutoff around DC. I feel very confident we'll be getting reports of heavy snow from Leesburg and Manchester, as usual. A band will park over those areas. The bands on 12/26/10 were awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I feel this wave of energy propagating north from DC. LWX snowfall map from the pre-watch update: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Its a good thing we have a storm to track becaucse the 12z GFS long range is atrocious. Hope Zwyts enjoys tracking bad tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 it's totally warranted imo. the signal is there for a decent event if it happens. It is too early...they are covering their ass after 1/26/11....The chances of a metrowide 5"+ snow are not very high right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 The bands on 12/26/10 were awesome Dead on point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Its a good thing we have a storm to track becaucse the 12z GFS long range is atrocious. Hope Zwyts enjoys tracking bad tracks I do if it is cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.