Zeus Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 NAM has a Dec 2005-esque commahead go over E MA at the end...so even BOS might get nailed for a few hours there. Ugh. MORE thundersnow? Just what I need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Todd Gutner (sp?) was suggesting up to 12" (or more) near ORH/hills on his radio WBZ thing And he hardly ever says things like that... i honestly don't get the conservatism thing at this point out...at least every model is a lock for at least a foot for worcester west (and that, in and of itself, is conservative given 2"+ QPF) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 If all else fails as you wonder about this, just remind yourself "I could still be in Dobbs Ferry, I could still be in Dobbs Ferry, I could still be in Dobb" He's gonna get smacked. Cold enough, high enough, north enough, west enough (but not too far west or north) 14" for Tubes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Ugh. MORE thundersnow? Just what I need. lol... thunderbolts for all? WCVB was showing that this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 thats awesome, good thermal indicator inside 24 CF looks to be near KBEV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 15"+?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Ugh. MORE thundersnow? Just what I need. This from a poster named "Zeus" hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 not going to make a map but i say 8 to 15 in the valley and 12 to 20 in the hills west and east of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Same here, Both my oaks are loaded IIRC, they're pin oaks, which are pretty tough, and their horizontal/downsloped branches are usually less vulnerable than the upturned limbs on red oak. I have the pin oaks so they will be kissing the ground.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Can someone explain why Wunderground does this and why it just doesn't use the previous 3 or 6 hours precip total? Seems, unnecessary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I love Twitter. What an awesome thing.. Get on it folks..It's such a great communication/following tool Any suggestions on good meteorologists to follow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Those Nam qpf totals are ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Lol. Seriously considering it. Of course then I need an electrician to make sure I don't burn the place down. 50% oaks here. Loaded with leaves You are welcome to have any you want for cordwood You might be able to get an electrician out tomorrow morning though. If you've got the cash, you might want to run out and get a generator, the wiring and gas cans just in case then return the whole lot if you're spared. Our neighborhood had only the light tree trimming crew come by this summer. The large branch/tree removal trucks never made it due to Irene. Since our power goes out so often, I'm pretty much planning on it. Generator's already full, 7.5 gallons extra. -monadnocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 He's gonna get smacked. Cold enough, high enough, north enough, west enough (but not too far west or north) 14" for Tubes Yes, NWS does have a WSW for 6-12" for the Monadnocks. I could see Dobbs doing almost as well in this storm, though. Having 350' of elevation on the NW side of that intense deformation band as the upper lows close off NYC could be a good thing. I'd obviously be nervous about temperatures looking at the 12z GFS, but I still tend to side with the colder Euro and NAM. It looks as if 700mb really tightens up with the trough going negative as the storm approaches NYC, so that could be a sweet spot. I remember in the Boxing Day blizzard, everyone thought the jackpot would be in New England and it ended up in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Check my pics..Are those Oaks at risk lol? Look mostly like reds - strong wood but bad branch angles and any narrow forks would be vulnerable to splitting. (And do you have any idea how much consulting foresters charge per hr? jk - and it's chump change compared to computer techs, anyway.) The only trees near my house still holding many leaves include a 70' red oak (easily the nicest oak on my 80 acre woodlot), and my 3 apple trees. Might have a chance to shake off the apple limbs (assuming they don't shatter during Sat-Sun overnight), but the oak starts branching at about 40' off the ground. Maybe it starts late and dry (for October, anyway) up here? Can hope, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 NW CT and GC up through Socks seems the "best" right now, but it will depend on where local bands set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Bos map gives me 9". WSW for 6-12+. October 28th. Just unbelievable. I wish I had more time to look at things, but this is absolutely awesome. Nothing else to say haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Any suggestions on good meteorologists to follow? Tim Kelly of NECN is @surfskiwxman Loves to tweet, or twit, or whatever Example: NWS forecast for Central MA Hills: 'ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.' huh? what am I missing.. looks more like 10"-20" from here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 NW CT and GC up through Socks seems the "best" right now, but it will depend on where local bands set up. There's probably going to be multiple bands too in this setup...with the 700 low tracking south and staying fairly compact...we will see continuous regeneration of the bands most likely...kind of like 1/12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Any suggestions on good meteorologists to follow? @ryanhanrahan @scottnogueira @capecodweather.net @bigjoebastardi @mattnoyes @bobmaxon @ryanmahue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 There's probably going to be multiple bands too in this setup...with the 700 low tracking south and staying fairly compact...we will see continuous regeneration of the bands most likely...kind of like 1/12. No one is calling you "kook" anymore methinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I'm sure its been mentioned, but most of the locals still have this as a 3-6", 4-8" event at best. ....why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Any suggestions on good meteorologists to follow? BarryWBZ Barry Burbank ddreyeron7 Dylan Dreyer HarveyWCVB Harvey Leonard Henry_Margusity Henry Margusity JoeJoyceWBZ Joe Joyce jreineron7 Jeremy Reiner klemanowicz Kevin Lemanowicz MackWBZ Melissa Mack MattNoyesNECN Matt Noyes MetMikeWCVB Mike Wankum pbouchardon7 Pete Bouchard ryanhanrahan Ryan Hanrahan TerryWBZ Terry Eliasen ToddWBZ Todd Gutner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 There's probably going to be multiple bands too in this setup...with the 700 low tracking south and staying fairly compact...we will see continuous regeneration of the bands most likely...kind of like 1/12. We may see a 2ndary maxima in association with the cf convergence, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I wonder whats Upton's holdup on issuing warnings for their interior sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Okay, the 18z NAM is veering more... We got an 07 at BOS and that is no good at this time of year, whatsoever for snow on the coastal communities. My personal feeling is that the NAM may be ok with the storm track but that we end up more compact with the thermal gradients - perhas even inside the grid of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Killington open Saturday Maybe Wachusett opens Sunday... jk How far inland will the good winds (25 kts+) make it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Those euro weenie maps crush nw CT to TOL and up to Will and socks..points nw. I think best banding potential (just a guess at this point) may be a bit more west, but when everything comes back east...I could see it moving further east and then one last hurrah across ern mass. Maybe secondary max west of coastal front? That also brings up the idea of any weird subsidence zones, but those are difficult to pin point. I mean, giving the banding, all the warmth and moisture thrown into this....I don't think it's ludicrous to think 15"+ for someone. Potentially. I still can't believe this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 Do you feel that the Monadnocks are in a prime spot for this storm, Will? I notice we're over 1" QPF on the 18z NAM, but it seems as if we might not get quite as much as the NW CT hills and the Berkshires. Do you think the heavy banding will make it this far north as the NAM shows? As a reference poitn--Albany's forecast for eastern Windham County is calling for 2-4 tomorrow and additioanl 5-10 tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2011 Share Posted October 28, 2011 I wonder whats Upton's holdup on issuing warnings for their interior sections. They're trying to figure out who lives where on American before figuring out how to distribute disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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