ThreeRedheads Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 White rain He's due for a win, more power to him. Oh no! Hush you! Are you doing an article for CWG today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 00z CRAS is a beast: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/00/images/cras45na_pcp_078l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm loaded up on the NGM Are we good with the Brazilian and KMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Are we good with the Brazilian and KMA? I don't like the Brazilian, it smooths the data too much... HI-YOOOO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I don't like the Brazilian, it smooths the data too much... HI-YOOOO a level headed approach for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 longer term good news looks like the CFS is pulling back on the NINA of death yesterday was not as dramatic so hopefully this is a trend http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/PDFcr_nino34SSTMon.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 a level headed approach for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 00z CRAS is a beast: http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_pcp_078l.gif I'm not going to even pretend to understand how it came up with that 850mb 0C line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 a level headed approach for sure Your a sickly individual . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 12z RGEM at 48 - looks like the h5 vort is going into extreme SW VA -- http://www.weatherof...ast/600_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm not going to even pretend to understand how it came up with that 850mb 0C line. the cras is due for a win.. if only it were the gfs http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/00/images/cras45na_500_072m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 00z CRAS is a beast: http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_pcp_078l.gif You need to put a disclaimer on this that says "DO NOT TAKE SERIOUSLY" I don't like the Brazilian, it smooths the data too much... HI-YOOOO You like the 70s bush look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm not going to even pretend to understand how it came up with that 850mb 0C line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 who predicted snow in texas this am.? WEST TEXAS WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. TXZ004-006>008-010-012-014-016-OKZ002-271600- TEXAS PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS AMARILLO SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.20R VSB 1/2 WCI 22 BORGER CLOUDY 37 33 85 N10 30.21R WCI 30 CANADIAN CLOUDY 41 36 81 N10 30.19R DALHART CLOUDY 34 28 79 N14 30.23R WCI 25 DUMAS CLOUDY 34 32 93 N15 30.20R WCI 24 GUYMON CLOUDY 36 31 82 N12 30.22R WCI 28 HEREFORD LGT SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.19R VSB 3/4 WCI 22 PAMPA CLOUDY 32 32 100 N12 30.19R FOG WCI 23 PERRYTON CLOUDY 36 32 87 N17 30.19R WCI 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 ^^^ Ed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 You like the 70s bush look? That is called the spaghetti plot look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I don't like the Brazilian, it smooths the data too much... HI-YOOOO It shaves a bit off our totals, though it waxes SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm not going to even pretend to understand how it came up with that 850mb 0C line. CRAS runs new physics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 who predicted snow in texas this am.? WEST TEXAS WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. TXZ004-006>008-010-012-014-016-OKZ002-271600- TEXAS PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS AMARILLO SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.20R VSB 1/2 WCI 22 BORGER CLOUDY 37 33 85 N10 30.21R WCI 30 CANADIAN CLOUDY 41 36 81 N10 30.19R DALHART CLOUDY 34 28 79 N14 30.23R WCI 25 DUMAS CLOUDY 34 32 93 N15 30.20R WCI 24 GUYMON CLOUDY 36 31 82 N12 30.22R WCI 28 HEREFORD LGT SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.19R VSB 3/4 WCI 22 PAMPA CLOUDY 32 32 100 N12 30.19R FOG WCI 23 PERRYTON CLOUDY 36 32 87 N17 30.19R WCI 25 probably jb at some point in time I miss those old football stories Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Your a sickly individual . I worry my glib, sarcastic attempts at humor today are getting through on my posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 That is called the spaghetti plot look Nicely done... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 who predicted snow in texas this am.? WEST TEXAS WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. TXZ004-006>008-010-012-014-016-OKZ002-271600- TEXAS PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS AMARILLO SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.20R VSB 1/2 WCI 22 BORGER CLOUDY 37 33 85 N10 30.21R WCI 30 CANADIAN CLOUDY 41 36 81 N10 30.19R DALHART CLOUDY 34 28 79 N14 30.23R WCI 25 DUMAS CLOUDY 34 32 93 N15 30.20R WCI 24 GUYMON CLOUDY 36 31 82 N12 30.22R WCI 28 HEREFORD LGT SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.19R VSB 3/4 WCI 22 PAMPA CLOUDY 32 32 100 N12 30.19R FOG WCI 23 PERRYTON CLOUDY 36 32 87 N17 30.19R WCI 25 i see it in the lubbock afd at least two days back. that part of tx has pretty high elevation too... hereford ~3800', amarillo ~3600' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 http://spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/sref_matrix_hover.php?fhr=f057&startdate=2011102709&field=SREF_SNOWFALL_MAX_ .... SREF max ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 CRAS runs new physics Does that involving dividing by 0, because if so... Turtle Hurricane beat you to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 http://spc.noaa.gov/...F_SNOWFALL_MAX_ .... SREF max ftw 8" for leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I think the reason we are seeing this thing coming west and that it's going to be a historic life changing wx event for many of us is the fact that Rina weakend. If it had stayed strong and made more of a north move..it would have prevented our snowbomb from happening. The reason why the Euro has had this snowblitz is because it consistently weakened Diarrhena. Same with the Ukie Ok MA weenies, the bar has been set. I know you can beat this. GO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Saw somebody post the SREF snowfall map...Dont remember them being terribly accurate last winter but they are pretty bullish for an inch of accum for most of the state of MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Does that involving dividing by 0, because if so... Turtle Hurricane beat you to it. Nope...Kevin Martin's new math. GFS and the Euro all run the old math. New math >>> old math (although in the new math, they don't use > signs, so that's a bit of a clunky equation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 http://spc.noaa.gov/...F_SNOWFALL_MAX_ .... SREF max ftw I'll take that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 who predicted snow in texas this am.? WEST TEXAS WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1000 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. TXZ004-006>008-010-012-014-016-OKZ002-271600- TEXAS PANHANDLE/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS AMARILLO SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.20R VSB 1/2 WCI 22 BORGER CLOUDY 37 33 85 N10 30.21R WCI 30 CANADIAN CLOUDY 41 36 81 N10 30.19R DALHART CLOUDY 34 28 79 N14 30.23R WCI 25 DUMAS CLOUDY 34 32 93 N15 30.20R WCI 24 GUYMON CLOUDY 36 31 82 N12 30.22R WCI 28 HEREFORD LGT SNOW 32 32 100 N14 30.19R VSB 3/4 WCI 22 PAMPA CLOUDY 32 32 100 N12 30.19R FOG WCI 23 PERRYTON CLOUDY 36 32 87 N17 30.19R WCI 25 The chatter started last weekend. Nice to see it verify. Good luck to you folks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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