JeanineJ Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I see my shadow. Garden is flooded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 ...MID AND SE ATLANTIC AREA THIS AFTERNOON... THE PRIMARY MIDLEVEL LOW WILL DRIFT EWD FROM OH TOWARD WRN PA/WV...WHILE EMBEDDED SPEED MAXIMA ROTATE SEWD/EWD FROM THE OH VALLEY TOWARD THE CAROLINAS. ASCENT WITH THESE FEATURES WILL SPREAD EWD FROM ERN KY/TN TO WRN VA AND THE WRN CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH SLOW EWD PROGRESS OF A LEE TROUGH ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND JUST E OF THE BLUE RIDGE...WHERE CLOUD BREAKS WILL ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW 80S THIS AFTERNOON. MLCAPE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 1500 J/KG ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH...AND 1500-2000 J/KG FARTHER E ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS ARE WELL INTO THE 70S. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON NEAR OR JUST E OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM WRN VA TO THE WRN CAROLINAS...AND STORMS WILL SUBSEQUENTLY SPREAD EWD/SEWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON EVENING. THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THIS AREA WILL BE THE LINGERING CLOUDS AND THEIR IMPACT ON AFTERNOON INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MIDLEVEL FLOW AND LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION WILL PROMOTE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...AND PERHAPS SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 F this hobby. Sun has been out for a few hours now here. 80 degrees. What a joke. Hobby schmobby. I would just like to see my grass a color other than dead. I was cutting it 3x a week in May and now 3x total since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I see a good period of sun (sun and clouds) for a while... this will def help destabilize a bit more than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 This storm is doing a good job of prepping us for the upcoming winter and we are rounding into form post wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Nada here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Sunny, 83. Actuallly very nice outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I see a good period of sun (sun and clouds) for a while... this will def help destabilize a bit more than I thought Yep, clouds breaking up and full sunshine over Curtis Bay. (And the fishermen who took cover during the downpour, have returned to their spots on the bridge.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 90 day actuals. Frederick County, MD...desert of the mid-Atlantic! Goog to know I'm not alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Well with all the talk about the sun destabilizing the atmosphere, I better get a nasty storm later. The sun has been out for hours here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Drats, just lost the Sat signal in the Bridge tower, and it's getting dark again. Something wicked this way comes.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 well over an inch of rain this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 1700 SPC meso 1500-2000 SBCAPE ~1000 MLCAPE 900 DCAPE along Apps 30-35 kts 0-6km shear 30 kts effective shear LI -2 in NE MD to -5 in W/SW portion of LWX CWA LL Lapse Rates 7 to 7.5 WEST of I-95 ML Lapse Rates -- You don't want to know (its terrible) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Well with all the talk about the sun destabilizing the atmosphere, I better get a nasty storm later. The sun has been out for hours here. Hard to get the hopes up this yr, but yeah been sunny since about 11 this morning, nice and toasty now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Started the morning with approx 0.31" from Saturday to 7am today. One downpour of about 1/2" rain in 15-20 mins Sunday morning. Total for the event is now 0.96" up thru about 11am Sunday w/sunshine now at 1:30pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Sun for 10 minutes for the first time all day and now it's gone again with the building storm SE of BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Not a meteorologist, but aren't troughs supposed to be accompanied by clouds? I've seen about 3 of them all day so far. Forecast: Hi: 77 °F Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms late this morning...then showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Some… more Actual: Sunny. Hi: 88 F I'm still waiting for the relief from the heat due last Thursday. Our coolest day so far has been 4 F above normal (Thursday). 89 F on Friday and yesterday, and headed to an easy 90+ today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 90 day actuals. Frederick County, MD...desert of the mid-Atlantic! This map shows it all, well that and all the dead grass. Has been sunny up here since about 11. Temp is 84 and what my girls call "Cotton Candy Clouds" all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 got 1.25" according to radar here in southeast dc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Watch up well south of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Watch up well south of DC You and Mark should chase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Baby downpour overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Not a meteorologist, but aren't troughs supposed to be accompanied by clouds? I've seen about 3 of them all day so far. Forecast: Hi: 77 °F Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms late this morning...then showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Some… more Actual: Sunny. Hi: 88 F I'm still waiting for the relief from the heat due last Thursday. Our coolest day so far has been 4 F above normal (Thursday). 89 F on Friday and yesterday, and headed to an easy 90+ today. Mostly brown at my home in Boyce too with just a trace for the "huge rain event" . Drive through Stephens City all the time on my way to WV and the story of 2 worlds. The 277 area of Stephens City is brown and desperate for rain. Plush green here in WV, it has been mostly sunny and sweet all day here with a high of 78.8. Very little rain here with with this "event" (.35) clouding up now but unless things change in the next few hours this has been a horrific bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Quite the temp contrast at the 3 airports at 2 pm DCA -- 81 (has reached 82) BWI -- 74 IAD -- 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Very surprised to see the watch that far south and not closer.. didn't expect it to be imby but did expect to be somewhat near Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 1700 SPC meso 1500-2000 SBCAPE ~1000 MLCAPE 900 DCAPE along Apps 30-35 kts 0-6km shear 30 kts effective shear LI -2 in NE MD to -5 in W/SW portion of LWX CWA LL Lapse Rates 7 to 7.5 WEST of I-95 ML Lapse Rates -- You don't want to know (its terrible) 1800 SPC meso 1500-2000+ SBCAPE ~1500 MLCAPE 900 DCAPE along Apps to Blue Ridge 30-35 kts 0-6km shear 30-35 kts effective shear LI -2/-3 in NE MD to -5/-6 in W/SW portion of LWX CWA LL Lapse Rates 7 to 8 WEST of I-95 ML Lapse Rates -- 5.5 to 6 C/KM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Very surprised to see the watch that far south and not closer.. didn't expect it to be imby but did expect to be somewhat near Don't often get widespread severe once the trough is already overhead IMO. Want to see it push toward/into primed air. May get a pulse svr tho everything still kinda west for nearing late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joeride Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Man, what a bust! Approx. .25 of rain in 2 days here in Thurmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 I disagree that this storm is a bust. Maybe in a widespread soaking sense but it still produced for some. JFK got all time daily rain. Of course that's no solace in winter so maybe not now either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Man, what a bust! Approx. .25 of rain in 2 days here in Thurmont. Try not one drop, see how you like that one. However, I haven't given up yet. Maybe the storms firing up to the west can gain some steam and deliver some much needed rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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