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Interesting. I guess it is possible that the electrical charge in the air acted as an amplifier/carrier??

Lots of greenhouse gases emitted making and installing those 800 windmills

Currently 47.8/33.4 at 10:50 pm. Although there are frost advisories around me (not my county) I think we will be OK as long as the NW/NNW winds running 4-7 mph continue. Forecast low is 38 here.

It only goes out to +24 months. It would have to be manual to do +3 to +4 years. What I like about the correlation composites, is it takes both sides of the variable into account.. so those images are Solar Max minus Solar Min. Lots of data.

Would you please do this for other years of the cycle?

I'll be at the 500 that Sunday so fingers crossed. I've been to 25 of them. I've seen every type of weather there, 90's fry you like an egg, 40's and 50's freeze your ass off all weekend. Back in the70's and 80's when it was really fun, like no rules fun, you could camp outside the North 40 until 5am Saturday morning then they'd let us into the North 40 to drink all day and night then go into the infield at 5am Sunday and never remember who won. You didnt have to leave until Monday. Think it was 83 when they let us into the infield for the race at 5am Sunday it proceeded to absolutely pour rain off and on for 2 days. They didnt finish the race until Tuesday. They couldn't kick us out. It was absolutely insane. Saw some Canadians fishing from the top of their motorhome with a dildo on the end of a fishing pole by the ladies restroom. Hey 50k bored drunks shits gonna happen lol. (sorry that 5 day weekend was a memory of a lifetime lol). It even snowed (didn't stick) the night before one year. The shit we used to get away with. I ramble.........

Prediction of heavy rain and thunderstorms never materialized but we did pick up .20" in one lone brief heavy rain shower. Temp dropped from 80 to 67 with the rain.

Good post.. lots of data shows +years after a solar peak has the highest cold season NAO correlation Solar Max +0 years Solar Max +1 year Solar Max +2 years As you can see, the south part of the NAO measurement (central North Atlantic High pressure) increases pretty substantially +2 years time from Solar peak. The final image looks more uniform +NAO, vs just a northern latitude feature in the first image.

Lingering misery mist. .82” today. 3.4” for the month. Good for the ducks and the grass seed I put down on Sunday.

62.5 for high and 51.5 at 10pm

1.71" today. 5.77" since last Friday

I'm pretty pessimistic for the NAO the next few years....descending solar sucks. Only caveat being is if we hang near solar max for awhile, maybe we can stave of the dispersing of the geomagnetic particles by the solar wind, which is what porks the NAO.

Google AI just told me it would take 800 windmills to replace one nuclear reactor. Doesn’t fit the narrative though.

Water is a substance that makes things wet. Water isn’t wet.

We've only had 1 strong Aleutian High pressure pattern since November.. Jan 15 - Feb 10. LR models are showing the PNA dipping below -1 at Day 10+.. but yeah, it's been a little different for the last 6 months. The long range could favor a strong ridge in the Midwest and Southeast (correlation this map is opposite for negative phase) if the -PNA pans out

I'm down to 48F already.. during strong +AO. This shows how shortened wavelengths in May make different things possible.. if it were January, I might still be 48F

I mean, I certainly won't be stunned if next winter is -PNA....all I mean is the days of troughs down to the baja in the seasonal mean are gone for awhile. I think last season was a sign of change....maybe it's a one step forward, two steps backward (next year), but times are changing.

That wind is just howling out there and the rains keep on falling. We’ve had far weaker storms than this in the middle of the winter than this evenings madness. Go friggin figure! Oh and we’re now at an 1.5” of rain on the day..I’m sure the exploding flowers and trees appreciate every bit of water!

Good to see that South Carolina is getting some warm weather though.

No mention of the 12z run that had the same area in the mid 70s with dps in the mid 60s huh

The terrific May wx continues. Looks like temps are spring like with the showers & storms thrown in for the next 2 weeks. Everything is so green. My yard & landscape best it’s looked in a long time. So my first woolly worm today. All black. Wonder if that’s saying snowy winter incoming.

I really hope that fake drought comes back so we can talk about how dry and sunny and not humid it is again.

Here…get yourself a tissue.

Speaking of Memorial Day, the 18z GFS run has a bit of an ugly look for this Memorial Day weekend with a potential cutoff low and being stuck in the 50s Saturday May 24th: Sunday May 25th:

Overdone again like the last storm generally when some models had 4”+. Was pretty obvious what the outcome would be early this AM with the split-screw setting up. Hopefully the last places with drought get a good benefit. SE NJ still needs a soaker.