Jackstraw

Well it certainly didn't quite pan out to what would be expected of a PDS watch (I guess unless you were directly affected). Interesting that NOAA's project vortex was flying around and reported a couple but looks like strongest may have been EF-2 as of right now. Tornado Reports (CSV) (Raw Tornado CSV)(?) Time Location County State Lat Lon Comments 1212 9 WNW STERLINGTON UNION LA 3272 9222 ROOF AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WITH TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. (SHV) 2118 MOUNTAINBURG CRAWFORD AR 3564 9417 SPRINGDALE ASP ADVISES THAT ONE HOME DAMAGED. (TSA) 2304 8 NNE DE KALB BOWIE TX 3362 9456 TORNADO ON THE GROUND REPORTED BY BROADCAST MEDIA. (SHV) 2332 WINTHROP LITTLE RIVER AR 3384 9435 TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND ON HWY 41 AND 231. (SHV) 2335 7 SSE DOWNSVILLE OUACHITA LA 3253 9236 TORNADO OBSERVED BY NOAA AIRCRAFT PROJECT VORTEX 1 MILE NORTH OF CALHOUN. (SHV) 2335 7 SSE DOWNSVILLE OUACHITA LA 3254 9237 REISSUANCE OF ORIGINAL LSR - TORNADO OBSERVED BY NOAA AIRCRAFT PROJECT VORTEX 1 MILE NORTH OF CALHOUN. (SHV) 0008 8 NW STERLINGTON UNION LA 3278 9216 NOAA P3 AIRCRAFT SIGHTS TORNADO 8 NW STERLINGTON AND POWER FLASHES.(SHV) 0012 9 WNW STERLINGTON UNION LA 3272 9222 CORRECTS FOR TIME TO PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 9 WNW STERLINGTON. ROOF AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WITH TREES SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. (SHV) 0013 MACOMB WRIGHT MO 3710 9249 AN EF-2 TORNADO 100 YARDS WIDE WITH ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 130 MPH TRACKED FROM NEAR MACOMB NORTHEASTWARD FOR 9 MILES BEFORE LIFTING 5 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST O (SGF) 0020 12 NNW DIERKS HOWARD AR 3429 9406 HIGHWAY 278 WEST OF UMPIRE TREES DAMAGE. (SHV) 0021 7 SSE DOWNSVILLE OUACHITA LA 3253 9236 HIGHWAY 151 IMPASSABLE DUE TO TREES ... POWER POLES DEBRIS DOWN NORTH OF CALHOUN. (SHV) 0035 1 W DAWSON WRIGHT MO 3726 9233 AN EF-1 TORNADO WITH MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 75 YARDS AND MAXIMUM WINDS OF 100 MPH MOVED NORTHEAST FROM DOVE CREEK ROAD TO BATY ROAD. TREES AND OUTBUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED. (SGF) 0050 3 W PENCIL BLUFF MONTGOMERY AR 3463 9379 BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN REPORTED(LZK) 0415 9 SSE ORE CITY HARRISON TX 3267 9468 NUMEROUS UP ROOTED TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES IN DIANA ... TEXAS ON DUNN BOTTOM RD. OFF HWY 154. (SHV)

/\Nice! When you first get a good thunder pinger it's great. When you get pingered year after year not so great lol. Enjoy the kitchen sink! Loves me some Haywood county. Miss slinging the dogs around in the back of the SUV coming in on 276. Had a little cabin up around Cataloochee. Miss the sounds of the Elk in the evening and my "very" occasional run ins with Popcorn many many years ago.

Sun came out and we've hit 80 degrees for the first time in 2018.

That southern WS cell was a pretty prolific hailer... or was it just giant pingers? Which thread does it go in lol?

SPC pulled the PDS trigger down in AR. Is it just me or have we been seeing more and more PDS TOR watches nationwide lately? I remember maybe 1 or 2 a year but seems like there's been a lot more the last few years.

Day 2 wording for IL/IN. Yes we're pretty familiar with these speed demons around here, especially if some of the shear profiles pan out. The chaser becomes the chasee(?) lol. ...Lower Ohio Valley (IL/IN)... Forcing for ascent within the exit region of a strong 500-mb jet translating into the eastern periphery of the central states large closed low will spread into the lower Ohio Valley by late Saturday afternoon to the early evening. A surface low induced by this feature will track east along a warm front which will extend through central IL, IN, and OH. The strongest diurnal heating/steep low-level lapse rate environment should be confined to portions of IL/IN immediately ahead of the surface low. Low-topped strong/severe convection should develop ahead of the cold front by early afternoon across IL then spread into western IN by late afternoon or early evening.

SPC is considering PDS TOR Watch for Arkansas

/\ Don't think I'd ever seen a severe thunderstorm warning and winter storm watch over the same counties before. Guess there's a reason those colors don't go well together lol.

Speaking of So. WS........

75 and very breezy today. I can't catch a break. Half way decent days during the week. Every weekend, rain or snow or cold or wind..... or all of those combined.

Get that soil temp over 50 and we could have an explosion of these

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CDT Sun Apr 08 2018 Valid 111200Z - 161200Z ...DISCUSSION... The primary feature of interest during the extended period will be a deep/amplified mid-level trough that will reach the central US by D6/Fri. As it does so, strengthening west/southwesterly flow aloft will transport steep lapse rates over much of the southern/central Plains. Meanwhile, a robust low-level mass response will feature a narrow corridor of enhanced poleward theta-e transport, generally from eastern Texas to the lower Missouri Valley. As a dry line and cold front accelerate east across the region, low/mid-level ascent is forecast to strengthen sufficiently to overcome convective inhibition and promote thunderstorms from eastern Texas to parts of the Midwest through Friday night. While medium-range guidance continues to exhibit run-to-run variability with regards to the amplitude/timing of the trough, most deterministic/ensemble guidance suggest strong/severe thunderstorms will be most likely from eastern Texas to the Ozarks and Mid-South Friday afternoon through the overnight. Within this corridor, vigorous low/mid-level wind fields should overlap adequate surface-based buoyancy, such that all severe hazards may be possible with maturing convection. Therefore, a 15-percent probability has been introduced with this forecast cycle. Further refinements of this area (with some potential for a northward expansion) will likely be needed in future updates. The trough will advance further east through D7/Sat-D8/Sun, with pockets of strong/severe convection potentially persisting across areas from the Ohio Valley south to the Gulf Coast. Despite this potential, uncertainties regarding availability of adequate instability, the eastward evolution of the trough, and subsequent timing/placement of stronger convection remain too high to introduce probabilities beyond D6/Fri. ..Picca.. 04/08/2018

One Two Punch snow systems? They fight like girls

Thread needs deleted. Malware.

^ Yep, the 18Z GFS tries to spread it (pun intended). I feel ya. Even though I've had 10 inches of snow total from 2 systems in the last couple weeks, it's not the same when it's gone 24 hours later. Convenient, yeah no shoveling, but its not the same as if it came 2 or 3 months ago. If I was grading winter by snow amounts alone, these early spring snows would be graded on a curve, a downward curve. They just aren't enough to make up for the 3 months of suffering prior. The misery continues. Edit: Yes I know the graphic goes to the 11th. May as well merge the threads the way these models are dancing lol