That's why im not even concerned about what the models have for placement of features for the upcoming weekend. Look how many times the state is in the bullseye a couple days prior only for repeated mcs over Milwaukee or Chicago moving se.
I didn't leave bad axe til about 10 minutes before the waterspout I didn't think it would come close enough to land with the haze to get a decent look at anything and then at the last minute drove up there. I'm about 2 miles se of your location in my Pic looking nw