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Runman292

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About Runman292

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  • Location:
    Knoxville, Tennessee

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  1. Heavy sleet in northeast Knoxville.
  2. I got 4 inches in South Knoxville near the Knox/Blount border. I agree with Powellvolz that the WSW was the correct call.
  3. John, do you think the snow is coming to an end for areas in and around Knoxville? It's tapered off to flurries in South Knoxville .
  4. When was it supposed to start?
  5. In other words, the Central Valley (Knoxville and surrounding areas) will be downgraded to an advisory, right?
  6. John, do you think that MRX is going to upgrade the watch in the East Tennessee Valley to a warning?
  7. I have a question . Is the GFS and Euro still reliable when we're this close to the system?
  8. Light flurries in North Knoxville.
  9. Here's the latest disco from MRX: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 355 AM EST Thu Jan 5 2017 .SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)... Clouds will increase across the forecast area this morning, ahead of a clipper system that will push through the area this evening through Friday morning. High temperatures today will reach the upper 30s across the Cumberland Plateau and southwest Virginia, the lower 40s across the Tennessee Valley, and the mid 40s near the TN/GA line before colder air rushes in behind the arctic front. Rain showers will change over to snow this evening across the northern Plateau and Cumberland Mountains, then snow showers will spread further south overnight. With overnight lows in the 20s, snow will accumulate and cause some travel difficulties -- especially on untreated roadways. Total snowfall through Friday morning will range from 1-3 inches (with locally higher amounts) across northeast TN and southwest VA to 0.5-1 inches across the northern Tennessee Valley to a few tenths south of I-40. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)... As the first snow maker leaves the area tonight, a second system starts to wind up in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Models have been consistently showing this system for the last several days, but location is everything, and that is where the models have been a bit more inconsistent with it. ECMWF has been fairly steady over the last several days with sfc low moving along the northern Gulf coast Friday and moving off the SE coast Friday night. GFS and NAM have also been depicting low in the northern Gulf, but the track has been a bit further south. Models coming a bit more in line this morning on the track which brings wintery precipitation right to our eastern and southern doorsteps. Presently there is consensus among the SREF, GFS, ECMWF, and NAM that snow will be primarily confined to the extreme eastern portion of the area and southwest North Carolina. Similarly, snowfall totals look to be on the order of 1-2 inches in northeast Tennessee increasing to 2-3 inches over the southern third of this area. [B]Going back to the fact that location is everything, a slight change in the surface low track could have significant implications on snowfall in our area. A bit further south and the area in northeast Tennessee would see nearly nothing, a bit further north and portions of the East Tennessee Valley could see some accumulations overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Certainly need to keep a close watch on the model handling of this system over the next run or two.[/B]
  10. Here's the latest disco from MRX: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 355 AM EST Thu Jan 5 2017 .SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)... Clouds will increase across the forecast area this morning, ahead of a clipper system that will push through the area this evening through Friday morning. High temperatures today will reach the upper 30s across the Cumberland Plateau and southwest Virginia, the lower 40s across the Tennessee Valley, and the mid 40s near the TN/GA line before colder air rushes in behind the arctic front. Rain showers will change over to snow this evening across the northern Plateau and Cumberland Mountains, then snow showers will spread further south overnight. With overnight lows in the 20s, snow will accumulate and cause some travel difficulties -- especially on untreated roadways. Total snowfall through Friday morning will range from 1-3 inches (with locally higher amounts) across northeast TN and southwest VA to 0.5-1 inches across the northern Tennessee Valley to a few tenths south of I-40. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)... As the first snow maker leaves the area tonight, a second system starts to wind up in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Models have been consistently showing this system for the last several days, but location is everything, and that is where the models have been a bit more inconsistent with it. ECMWF has been fairly steady over the last several days with sfc low moving along the northern Gulf coast Friday and moving off the SE coast Friday night. GFS and NAM have also been depicting low in the northern Gulf, but the track has been a bit further south. Models coming a bit more in line this morning on the track which brings wintery precipitation right to our eastern and southern doorsteps. Presently there is consensus among the SREF, GFS, ECMWF, and NAM that snow will be primarily confined to the extreme eastern portion of the area and southwest North Carolina. Similarly, snowfall totals look to be on the order of 1-2 inches in northeast Tennessee increasing to 2-3 inches over the southern third of this area. Going back to the fact that location is everything, a slight change in the surface low track could have significant implications on snowfall in our area. A bit further south and the area in northeast Tennessee would see nearly nothing, a bit further north and portions of the East Tennessee Valley could see some accumulations overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Certainly need to keep a close watch on the model handling of this system over the next run or two.
  11. I know I don't post often, but I really love this board. I learn more about the weather here than I would anywhere else.
  12. Is the 0z UKIE run similar to the 12z run?
  13. I didn't notice. Sorry about that.