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Never gonna happen lol

PSA Reminder: All models are wrong, some are...that's right...useful. Even clown maps can be beneficial in signaling a storm or pattern's ceiling, laugh at them we may. Sometimes, we just got to zoom out and appreciate we're smack-dab in the best 7-month stretch of the year (10/1-4/30). Plus, we're looking at net positive trends approaching peak winter climo. That should keep our forum hopefully optimistic the next few weeks, barring anything unforeseen.

Heavy frost this morning with a low of 27. High was a mild 61.

Well 300 hrs out will do that. That’ll be gone at 0z…but you knew that already.

I’m going to need to check out the radar loop for that run. .

I've never witnessed a map like that outside of some lake effect in the Tug, and certainly never for SWPA. Like 50 inches of that falls in 24 hours. Dear God lol. That's a fantasy run if I ever saw one. The region would be crippled for weeks. Might never see a snow map like that again, need to save that one.

Wow, that 18Z GFS was smoking something!! I want what it's having!! Even here in metro DC, a ton of sleet followed by 6-10" snow with temps in the teens or 20s?? Gimme that! But in all seriousness, I don't quite get a lot of the cynicism here. OK, ignoring what the GFS shows verbatim at this point (which on its face is ridiculous amounts)...the fact is, there has been indication of that type of setup over the past few days for that time frame across different models and ensembles. Hell, even the venerated Euro a couple of days ago showed basically double the amount of PD-2!! I know these are extremes unless this really starts showing up across all guidance and it gets closer. Again though, that time period around Jan. 23-26 has shown several possibilities now for a potential moderate-major overrunning event with cold air pressing in up top and then behind the system. That's my takeaway right now.

I tend to get excited pretty easily about these things, but I’m having no excitement about one 18Z model run

Thank you @Blizzard of 93! Let’s hope that snow map you posted even comes to 1/4 true. It seems bleak at the moment.

And we've had so many great patterns produce nothing so I'll take our chances with cold air around. The dry pattern is obviously a concern

This is our reward for Patullo getting released! Seriously though It will be gone in one of the next two runs and I will be on here tomorrow morning bitching again.

I've had two nice hits of 3.5 and 4.5 inches right up the hwy here in Harrison this month - hopefully something will come along soon that hits Mt Pleasant.

Look how much this changed in just 2 days of runs:

Go in & select Account & then select Ignored Users and then enter their user name to add whoever to your list. It only took a minute to set up.

This was a lot like Jan '78 but further west track straight up over Kzoo! I'd stumbled on this years ago reading old newspaper clippings. Glad to see some confirmation that it was a beast of a storm west of the track. With cold era, this stuff used to have a chance. Can't buy a latitude bomb lately.

In early December there was much fretting about how we were destined to a pattern of cold and dry. Lo and behold, a 6"+ snowstorm for everyone arrives on the 13th. Then, just as the final flakes were falling from that storm, one could not get through 3 replies without reading about the inevitable torch headed our way and how it was unlikely to snow again this millennium. Instead the last two weeks of December had one day in the 50s, sure, but multiple days with highs in the 30s, multiple sub-freezing highs, and a 4-8" snowstorm. Then it couldn't stop flurrying every night for 3-4 nights straight. No one knows with any certainty whether or it's going to snow or not 10-14 days out and especially beyond. When there's cold air forecast to be around for awhile, things have a way of happening. I'm taking it a couple of days at a time, and I won't at all be surprised if we see measurable snow in that timeframe. And that's based on nothing but being around for awhile and having seen this movie before. That and having stayed at a Holiday Inn last night.

35" for Indy, 40" at Columbus, and 50" at Pittsburgh. Lol

Not saying there will be nearly that much but as far as the coverage area, that'll probably be about right if the MJO traverses through 7 and affects the Pattern as the Euro seemed imply then, with blocking in place. Hopefully the boundary sets up further South. Man, we'd be in big time business then.

I have a Koti tractor with a rear blower/front bucket. But felt it wasn’t worth getting it out for 1.5” of snow.

I love the patriots and hope Maye can get it done. Allen is a formidable opponent. I wish he had the arrogance of Rodgers so I could dislike him. He does not.

I was joking...probably should add an emoji.

Very cool you have that stuff. Pretty special, and definitely one of if not the greatest American rock band, ever. I'll have to give that show a listen. I was born that year, and similarly saw Phish for the first time as a Junior in HS, Worcester Centrum 2003. I am going to be an inconsolable mess for at least a week when one of them passes. I always enjoy hearing stories about the journey going to shows leads one on. To me, that's such a big part of the whole experience. That's where a lot of the best memories are, and when some of the deepest friendships I have were formed. If you were around for the club days, I'm sure you've got some good ones - would love to hear them sometime over a beer. Cheers!