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Coach B

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About Coach B

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  • Location:
    Marshall County, TN
  1. You really need to know your microclimate when it comes to last freeze/frost data. I'm 50 miles or so south of Nashville and have had more than one frost into May in just the last 15 years. Don't think we have been to freezing in May since I've been here, but I know its happened in the past.
  2. 1.5" on the snowboard this morning. Temp down to 26.
  3. Ive been in and out of the bands in middle TN all day and have yet to encounter a rain drop. Drove thru the heavy band near Nashville this morning. It was ripping between Murfreesboro and Lebanon. Caught back up with it in southern mid TN later. Both times there was some sleet/snow pellets at the onset. Now getting a light sleet/snow mix with the next batch. Edit: right after I posted went outside to a rain/sleet mix. Lol!
  4. No doubt the conservative approach is what on air folks should do at this lead time. I just get tired of the "more north and east" mantra that the Nashville mets use. I get that it often works out that way, but they beat it to death even when the models show otherwise. Wow at what the CMC is doing in NC!
  5. I like Paul. However, the middle TN mets often overuse/overplay the "north of 40" thing. Sure it works at times, but anybody watching these models run knows there is potentially a much different possibility going on. Even the NWS does it at times if you read the AFDs.
  6. Haven't the Euro weeklies been advertising a cool down during about the same period that the GFS tossed out today? We'll see what happens. While we have been absolutely roasting so far, climo says everything is still on the table for at least three or four more weeks. As far as the stove, Ive burned less wood this year than anytime since I started burning full time 15 years ago. You know its really warm for Jan and February when you can't at least light a small fire in the evening to knock the chill off without running everyone out of the stove room.
  7. I have seen quite a few positive winter posts on twitter in the last couple of days. Unfortunately, they are all about cold and snow in Europe and Asia!!
  8. Most of us know that a +PNA generally leads to cold for our area. But to link it to actual historical data over a long period of time takes it to another level. Thank you John! Fascinating reading.
  9. 06Z GFS lost it totally. Its still there in some form on four or five of the ensemble members. Certainly not a very strong signal at this point. I guess it still gives me a reason to check in on the models run to run, which is more than I can say for the last three or four weeks.
  10. The 12Z GFS has a remarkably similar solution. But I don't think I'd be jumping on any wagons just yet.
  11. That look is far enough west for most of the state to at least keep an eye on it. Upper Cumberland and mountains look good. Would like to see it slow down and come in later in the evening for any potential minor accums in non-elevated areas. Have to take whatever we can get in a winter like this.
  12. Jax, you got a link to that? Interesting info. So the last two weeks in Nashville is comparable to normal deep winter weather in New Orleans. lol
  13. That 51 storm in Nashville is likely the most epic winter storm in Nashville history. There was 4.86" of liquid equivalent in the sleet/snow/ice mix. 11.9" of total ice/snow. Sounds like four or five inches of brick like sleet/ice/snow combo covered up with five or six inches of powder! Snowcover from that one storm lasted at least 15 days and it took some 70 weather in mid-February to fully get rid of it. In addition January was actually above normal and February was normal in spite of three days of sub-zero to begin the month.
  14. Congrats to you guys who did well last night. I ended up with 2" yesterday. The snowcover no doubt helped it drop to the current temp of 7!
  15. I'd guess its actually outperforming expections in west and middle TN. Our expectaions were pretty low though. lol