Coach B

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Everything posted by Coach B

  1. I don't know if any of you follow Crankyweatherguy. He's New England focused but puts out some pretty good stuff. From what I can surmise he thinks deep winter hits all at once this year for a four to six week period(with no reloads) beginning around mid January followed by a normal spring by the first of March. Says we are in our "January Thaw" right now.
  2. Where do you guys think would be some good places to chase snow in TN? Although I'm several years away from retirement, one of my daydreams is to be able to model watch then rent a State Park cabin or airbnb at the last minute and ride out a nice storm or NWFS event. Obviously the exact location would depend on the storm, but getting up as high as you can in elevation is almost always going to help. I'm thinking the Roan Mountain area or somewhere on the upper Plateau. If nothing else this will provide some good map study for those geography nerds among us.
  3. Anybody know or have a link to the MRX CWA snowfall totals for the storm?
  4. It really is. This is the neatest thing Ive seen all week. Oh, and Nashville really is down in a hole. UHI and elevation really screw things up for them. OHX has more elevation to consider than we often think about. Lots of areas in southern middle TN over 1000 feet that doesn't seem to be mentioned either.
  5. That is cool! You have a link to that for the rest of the state?
  6. So while the trailing 850 low is actually extending snow/precip chances back this way its also screwing up the thermals? In other words, the thermals are not as clear cut like a consolidated low pressure system would be?
  7. Look at the warm nose into middle TN/S KY! Dang, I hate to waste a chance at a system taking what would ordinarily be a perfect track. I really cant figure a warm nose like that with the LP over Jacksonville?? Why the heck are the 850s not dropping when it goes by to the south?
  8. Spot on! The FV3 shifts the heaviest axis of snow to 40 north and Plateau/Mtns. Man, if we were getting this track in January we would be golden statewide!
  9. That FV3 is about the only thing that really likes south of 40 in TN. I won't totally give up hope as long as that low tracks down towards the Gulf coast.
  10. Nashville handles snow pretty well if you are patient. Tennessee actually uses plows and pretreats roadways with brine and salt. In my experience it's much better than the states to our south which apparently budget next to nothing for snow removal. That said, it won't be anything like removal in Toronto. We really only work the major roads and interstates. Nashville is far enough north to get some snow every year, but they'll get pretty wound up for the first one. If we are lucky enough to have a winter with multiple significant winter events they'll be complaining about it just like the Yanks.
  11. Don has done some really good work in the past. If I remember correctly, he's not prone to hyping cold and even been more negative than most at times. For this year he's giving double weight to 78, 03, and 2010 in his analogs, so that's being pretty positive about snow and cold. He even throws a bone our way by including Nashville and Atlanta in his snowfall predictions. His total for Nashville was not all that impressive(5-15"), but considering how our 30 year snow drought has tanked the average, not surprising.
  12. They are pretty common in the hills around here. Built like tanks out of stainless steel. My FIL has had his for over 20 years and an older man at church is working on 25 years on his. The huge firebox has a large water jacket around it. Hot water is pumped into a heating coil inside the duct work of the central unit. I'm heating my entire house and dumping 170 degree water into my hot water heater with it. The downside is the older units while very tough are not really efficient and produce large amounts of smoke at times. I used to run it from October through April, but because of concerns about all of the smoke and use of wood have cut back to Dec-Feb. They really shine during extreme cold.
  13. I fired up the Jotul(inside stove) back in October. The cold next week will force me to fire up the big dog(Hardy outdoor wood boiler). That sucker is a beast when it comes to heating in really cold weather. Unfortunately, its also an older model so it smokes like a freight train so I limit it to the core of winter. Nashville recorded 7.2" of snow on November 2nd back in 1966! I think 96 was the last mid-November or earlier significant accumulation I can remember.
  14. Thanks! You are right down the road from where my folks live and I grew up. Spent plenty of time running up and down Concord Road back in the 80s and 90s!
  15. What do you all like to use for wind forecasts? I can't stand the little flag and hook thingies! I know they are out there somewhere because I saw them(using actual shading and numbers) during the hurricanes. For some outdoor activities the wind forecast is more important than the temp at times. Plus it always seems wrong whenever I go fishing.
  16. Great link there JAX! Good overall explanations on the major drivers. Those young men were impressive with the info. They are quite bullish for our area.
  17. We are way behind. Had some frost this morning so not a big deal except for the lack of early season stuff. Supposed to get it tilled tomorrow, then will have to fence out the chickens. Hopefully will get much of it in the ground by Friday. MIL says we are getting our own tiller for the tractor next year.
  18. Had some snow in the air down this way earlier this morning. Loaded up the stove with a mix of red oak, locust, and bois d'arc before I left. That's a mid-winter mix of serious hardwoods. Come on spring!
  19. Are you still in Brentwood? I'm near Lewisburg and we've had accumulating snow 5 out of the last 6 years in March. A couple of them were trivial, but three were over an inch. Edit: Sorry, didn't mean to come across argumentative. Just seems like the March nuisance snow is pretty standard.
  20. We've had a little of everything here near Lewisburg in the last hour. Mostly snow now. Looks like it's going to get out of here before it can accumulate.
  21. Only one of the top 10 was in January and three of the top ten were not only in March, but the second half of March! Add to note: I have noticed in the last 25 years that all directions from Nashville seem to regularly record higher amounts. I wonder if this is due to incorrect measurements from observers or simply Nashvile's very low elevation down in a bowl and heat island effect compared to the surrounding areas. Or is it a combination?? Another note: the late 70s were considered some of the best for snow and cold and are not on the list at all!
  22. I've had 1.8" here near Lewisburg. I think areas down around Fayetteville and Winchester may be closer to an inch total. N Bama has not done very well either.
  23. This sounds great, especially with some mini-thaws in between. Jeff is MONEY!
  24. I know what you are saying but anybody north or west of Nashville has been cashing big checks compared to the rest of us.
  25. I expect mass preemptive closings for tommorow in West and middle TN. If we get an inch or more most rural counties will be lucky to go back by Friday.