Coach B
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Everything posted by Coach B
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Great, now you've added yet another thing to my "one day when I'm retired" day dream bucket list. I've already got trips in there for the Keweenaw Peninsula and the Tug Hill Plateau. I'm going to have to keep working longer to afford all these trips.
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- snow elk
- wooly worm
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Coach B replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Have I read that phase 7 in February is actually pretty decent for se snowstorms? Maybe that's just for the east coast?- 1,263 replies
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Tough morning to forecast temps. My low was 19 here on the hill, but there are near 0 readings within just a couple of miles.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Coach B replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The NWS coop site less than two miles away was at -13 at 6am. There were several -15 readings around on personal weather stations. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Coach B replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
He's a retired meteorologist from OHX so he's probably as good as anyone. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Coach B replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Coach B replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe going with a NBM approach? That seems common from WFOs at this range. NBM has always seemed very conservative to me for a supposedly blended model. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Coach B replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Coach B replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looked like it was trying to transfer the energy over south middle and east TN to the coastal bomb. Is that the first time we've seen that look with this storm? Strange- 1,263 replies
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March 1st, 2009 is the last biggie I remember. There were areas of 9-11 inches across southern middle Tennessee.
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Jan 31 - Feb 1 Ice Possibilities
Coach B replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm close to mm 30 on I-65. Got about .1" of glaze on elevated surfaces here. Nothing on the roads best I can tell. Temp bottomed out at 29. Currently holding at 30. Curious to see how temps recover today and if there is some chance of a little more tomorrow morning. -
January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Coach B replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
At this point I'd say yes. GFS and Canadian cut the low right across TN while the Euro is down on the gulf. If we can split the difference we'll be golden.- 923 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Coach B replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
It happens. I missed meaningful accums both to my north and south today. I'm saving my luck for a good one in late January. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Coach B replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Forgot to mention I lost power for three hours last night immediately after the front came through. Luckily the wood stove was cranking! -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Coach B replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm at -2 with just a coating of snow along I-65 in Marshall county. RGEM and Canadian were spot on with my minimal accumulation. I'm not sure this is one where you eastern guys can entirely blame the Plateau for the lack of snow. I think the dynamics and trajectory of the system were just yanking it to the northeast. I usually do pretty well compared to the Memphis to Nashville corridor even though I'm 50 miles south of Nashville. Not this time. My elevation, topography, and ruralness got me nothing. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Coach B replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty sure you are correct. I know Nashville averages more snow in March than December. Obviously March is warmer, but its also prone to some big hitters with snow. December, seems to be more likely to have little nickel and dime events.- 582 replies
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- snow
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Coach B replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ugggh..... Nashville only reached 40 degrees once during the 1983 holiday 9 day arctic plunge. You guessed it.... it rained over an inch that day and other than some token flakes/dustings it was basically bone dry and frigid the rest of the time. I think most of the state got a couple of events during January 84, but the repeated cold/cutter combo had to be painful during that period.- 582 replies
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Unfortunately, I think that's pretty normal. There is a large urban/rural split in many areas. Plus in much of middle and eastern TN topography as you mentioned is a huge variable, especially in regards to overnight lows during a dry fall. I'm in a hilly area in southern middle TN and commonly see 10 degree differences over just a couple of miles this time of year even in my mostly rural county. Our growing season is almost always over before we see the actual frost/freeze warnings.
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March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
Coach B replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Jackson, KY radar looks great upstream for you! -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
Coach B replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
I measured 3" on the snowboard but got some 4-5" measurements in the yard. This is one where the patio table and back deck measurements will probably be especially high because of all the snow blowing off of the rooftops. OHX only measured 2.8" but lots of 4-5" reports around Nashville. -
March 11th-13th Winter Weather Event. Winter's last gasp?
Coach B replied to Windspeed's topic in Tennessee Valley
Anafrontal snow. I think we had about the same thing on January 3rd. -
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January 28th-29th Clippers/NW Flow Obs/Last Minute Forecasts.
Coach B replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Only had a dusting at the house, but it looked like half an inch just a couple miles away. HRRR and NAM 3K nailed the idea of minor accums from the streamers in middle TN. -
The January 84 dates coincided with a 3.5" snow in Nashville that laid on the ground for over a week due to a major cold shot that included four days in a row with below 0 lows! The double weighted February 97 dates were nothing to write home about though.
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I did some rudimentary monthly snowfall numbers for Nashville several years ago. While January was the snowiest month, it was only a slight edge. So slight in fact, that if you divided the monthly average by the number of calendar days, that February actually averaged slightly more snow per day. It just likes to snow in February even though the average temp is going up and days are getting longer. I suspect it has to do with the longer wavelengths and slightly less chance of a cold and dry pattern. As far as the LR pattern, I'll let those of you who know more break it down. However, to me it looks like the trough wants to set up a touch farther west, which should give us more chances than we've had this week. Question is, will it set up too far west and give us rainy cutters that benefit Oklahoma and Missouri, or potentially give us a shot at some over running wintry precip followed by serious cold.