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Coach B

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Everything posted by Coach B

  1. Coach B
    Great, now you've added yet another thing to my "one day when I'm retired" day dream bucket list. I've already got trips in there for the Keweenaw Peninsula and the Tug Hill Plateau. I'm going to have to keep working longer to afford all these trips.
  2. Coach B
    Have I read that phase 7 in February is actually pretty decent for se snowstorms? Maybe that's just for the east coast?
  3. Coach B
    Tough morning to forecast temps. My low was 19 here on the hill, but there are near 0 readings within just a couple of miles.
  4. Coach B
    The NWS coop site less than two miles away was at -13 at 6am. There were several -15 readings around on personal weather stations.
  5. Coach B
    He's a retired meteorologist from OHX so he's probably as good as anyone.
  6. Coach B
  7. Coach B
    Maybe going with a NBM approach? That seems common from WFOs at this range. NBM has always seemed very conservative to me for a supposedly blended model.
  8. Coach B
    It likes all of Tennessee.
  9. Coach B
    Looked like it was trying to transfer the energy over south middle and east TN to the coastal bomb. Is that the first time we've seen that look with this storm? Strange
  10. Coach B
    March 1st, 2009 is the last biggie I remember. There were areas of 9-11 inches across southern middle Tennessee.
  11. Coach B
    I'm close to mm 30 on I-65. Got about .1" of glaze on elevated surfaces here. Nothing on the roads best I can tell. Temp bottomed out at 29. Currently holding at 30. Curious to see how temps recover today and if there is some chance of a little more tomorrow morning.
  12. Coach B
    At this point I'd say yes. GFS and Canadian cut the low right across TN while the Euro is down on the gulf. If we can split the difference we'll be golden.
  13. Coach B
    It happens. I missed meaningful accums both to my north and south today. I'm saving my luck for a good one in late January.
  14. Coach B
    Forgot to mention I lost power for three hours last night immediately after the front came through. Luckily the wood stove was cranking!
  15. Coach B
    I'm at -2 with just a coating of snow along I-65 in Marshall county. RGEM and Canadian were spot on with my minimal accumulation. I'm not sure this is one where you eastern guys can entirely blame the Plateau for the lack of snow. I think the dynamics and trajectory of the system were just yanking it to the northeast. I usually do pretty well compared to the Memphis to Nashville corridor even though I'm 50 miles south of Nashville. Not this time. My elevation, topography, and ruralness got me nothing.
  16. Coach B
    Pretty sure you are correct. I know Nashville averages more snow in March than December. Obviously March is warmer, but its also prone to some big hitters with snow. December, seems to be more likely to have little nickel and dime events.
  17. Coach B
    Ugggh..... Nashville only reached 40 degrees once during the 1983 holiday 9 day arctic plunge. You guessed it.... it rained over an inch that day and other than some token flakes/dustings it was basically bone dry and frigid the rest of the time. I think most of the state got a couple of events during January 84, but the repeated cold/cutter combo had to be painful during that period.
  18. Coach B
    Unfortunately, I think that's pretty normal. There is a large urban/rural split in many areas. Plus in much of middle and eastern TN topography as you mentioned is a huge variable, especially in regards to overnight lows during a dry fall. I'm in a hilly area in southern middle TN and commonly see 10 degree differences over just a couple of miles this time of year even in my mostly rural county. Our growing season is almost always over before we see the actual frost/freeze warnings.
  19. Coach B
    Jackson, KY radar looks great upstream for you!
  20. Coach B
    I measured 3" on the snowboard but got some 4-5" measurements in the yard. This is one where the patio table and back deck measurements will probably be especially high because of all the snow blowing off of the rooftops. OHX only measured 2.8" but lots of 4-5" reports around Nashville.
  21. Coach B
    Anafrontal snow. I think we had about the same thing on January 3rd.
  22. Coach B
    Came across this online today:
  23. Coach B
    Only had a dusting at the house, but it looked like half an inch just a couple miles away. HRRR and NAM 3K nailed the idea of minor accums from the streamers in middle TN.
  24. Coach B
    The January 84 dates coincided with a 3.5" snow in Nashville that laid on the ground for over a week due to a major cold shot that included four days in a row with below 0 lows! The double weighted February 97 dates were nothing to write home about though.
  25. Coach B
    I did some rudimentary monthly snowfall numbers for Nashville several years ago. While January was the snowiest month, it was only a slight edge. So slight in fact, that if you divided the monthly average by the number of calendar days, that February actually averaged slightly more snow per day. It just likes to snow in February even though the average temp is going up and days are getting longer. I suspect it has to do with the longer wavelengths and slightly less chance of a cold and dry pattern. As far as the LR pattern, I'll let those of you who know more break it down. However, to me it looks like the trough wants to set up a touch farther west, which should give us more chances than we've had this week. Question is, will it set up too far west and give us rainy cutters that benefit Oklahoma and Missouri, or potentially give us a shot at some over running wintry precip followed by serious cold.
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