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Yup

WB 18Z EURO

He likes to attribute it to CC and west pacific warm pool and the pac jet being too strong, but while those things aren’t wrong, I attribute it to something much simpler - there is no blocking and no 50/50 low. Get those two in place, that high is staying put.

A 40 mile shift south would be sweet for many.

The 'implicit subsidies' are subjective non-quant unverifiable estimates, hardly the stuff of science. There is no attempt in the paper to quantify or account for any offsetting derived benefits of fossil fuel use. The paper isn't peer-reviewed scientific lit, in fact it's a working paper, ie purpose is to "...describ'e research in progress by the author(s) and... published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management." It's interesting to note (since you did not) that of the relatively tiny proportion of 'explicit subsidies' cited, the main source is China, hardly representative of the global subset of countries at large, followed by the Saudis, Russia, No Korea and Iran. The US accounts for little more than half a percent of the cited 'explicit subsidies' - good luck changing the industrial policies of the aforementioned chief 'offenders' of fossil fuel subsides who account for the the lion's share of 'explicit subsidies'. The authors of the paper (and you, using it as evidence) completely avoid dealing with the cost/benefit of direct, explicit subsidies to so-called 'clean energy'. A clearer example of a gaslighting post would be difficult to conjure. LOL

Looks like I double Kevin.

Euro Def edged north here. It’s a slow cave, so everyone can say how steadfast it was

If you make your way towards me there’s a great diner called New Freedom Family Diner just up into PA

I said 2 -3 days ago this would be the storm the GFS wins and the Euro caves. I had a bad feeling and unfortunately it was the right idea

IDK, thinking sloppy inch here then rain. Elevation to our North into in NW RI starts to accumulate

212 yds rushing for the Bills. Calling Todd Monken? Paying attention you dumb fuck?

I can vouch for this. Coming over the Catoctins from Smithsburg to Thurmont daily for work it's a different world above 1500. There's been rain on both sides of the mountain with several inches of accumulating snow in the Catoctins on many occasions over the years.

WGAL on board for 2-5 for everybody, Steverino our big winner at 5-8.

This has been an ongoing issue for many years it seems. Believe even @bluewave posted on this a while back. And, its even more of an issue down in these parts. Need a locked in slowly moving high not racing due East.

Snowy pattern! 6.8" was my LES total, though I never had more than 5" on the ground (the last 2" or so was very spread out) and it's been melting/compacting. Had 1.5" last night, with 1.3" falling with the leading band around 8:30 PM. Not much snow, but it dumped with that band and roads were trash for a couple of hours. A little LES for the snowbelt tonight (not expecting much for MBY), and then another light-moderate synoptic snow Monday night into early Tuesday. I don't expect that one to steadily trend down as we get closer like with what happened to last night's snow in most of OH.

Soundings tell me rain

Ya it’s def warmer from the surface to 850 along the rain snow line.. which was expected..

Nice 18 Z Euro run so isothermic and then convective someone at the CF pulls some 2/3 per hour ORH KEV Ray and NW lollies with fluff, cement IJD NWRI Foxboro

At 48hr it is way behind the other models with the moisture advection at 925.

Got far more snow from that turkey day storm the mid-west got than expected, was pegged for 5cm got nearly 8cm instead of heavy wet snow. SN during a good chunk of the morning then lasted til 1pm unexpectedly. It was above 0C by then so it was melting mostly. I even got a period of sun after. I got another wave at 4pm but it didn't stick well; high gusts for Nov's final arp.

You at Pit 2 for this one?

Not sure if you are aware but we do have an interior thread that gets fairly active during interior only events.

No one is listening!

MSP officially recorded 4.8” Snow depth 7”

Yes. I guess you are right. But still, this is an interesting storm to track. Could be surprises? I don't forecast, so I enjoy reading all the tracking, thoughts, and forecasts of members.