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There is a connection; i spent a large part of growing up in Plano- i had mentioned this in a earlier post about N Texas being a good place to monitor with regards to what happens during the initial part of the storm
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
psv88 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
NAM, which the naysayers cling to for mid level warming, popped the secondary earlier and further SE. this ticked the mixing south. Great run of the NAM. the RGEM was less snowy due to a weird QPF min around the city. The ICON has been wildly inconsistent. so far I like the 12z suite -
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
HIPPYVALLEY replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
MPM's stress level heading North as QPF trends South? -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Stormlover74 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah it didn't change much other than got drier so looks like less snow. Nam got wetter. -
Just comparing surface maps...GFS basically the same so far
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Yeah both sides of the argument are maybe meeting in the middle, the GFS "winning" at this point is not really like what it would be like if it "won" with one of its earlier runs, for sure. It would just give its depiction some more credence even if it was over-committed.
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23.4 for the low this morning. Currently 36.3/12.9 at 10:35 am.
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah. Not happy about the totals being cut. But again. The Detroit area has 4-7" of packed powder base, so add several inches and more powdery snowbanks...deep deep winter. -
Take us home @stormtracker
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People have short memories
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slightly juicer out front at 24...no major changes
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
Paleocene replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
This. Lord is it so bad sometimes. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
EastonSN+ replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Compare RGEM from 6z, definitely improved with the primary speed and location. Can't take the snow map or mix timing at this long range. -
Going to be fun to watch how far north the mixing issues occur
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Maybe this squall line can stay together as it heads south and we get brief heavy squall later this afternoon -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH
mimillman replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This should be quite different for ERCOT. 2021 the main issue was freeze offs in the Permian. That won’t be the case for size this time -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
HIPPYVALLEY replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Reggie QPF output looks more in line with what you would expect from a SWFE. Doesn't have the steroids look of some of the other guidance. -
Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
SACRUS replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
1/23 12z GFS -
Nope. That isn’t the reason. .
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
Baroclinic Zone replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Yep. Start there. 12” is baseline for majority across the 3 southern New England states. -
New GFS running now.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
eduggs replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Add the RRFS to the models that have improved at 12z. It shifted the thermals and surface features south. Looks like a great run for most of our forum. And it's not quite over here with some light wraparound stuff still to move through.
