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Shorts are on from late Morch (ish) - Tgiving (ish)

Mark McGuire, Sammy Sosa, and Barry Bonds were crushing homeruns when the league average was .270

A focus on the "three true outcomes" - walk, strikeout or home run. It's led to guys swinging for the fences or getting on base with walks or striking out a ton.

You bundled up like Wiz on days like this?

2.0 ONI in mid-July is pretty impressive. JJA ONI has never been higher than +1.6c [1997, 2015] since 1950.

Don’t forget that CDAS is slightly cold biased. But this chart isn’t relative. Relative OISST is in the +1.6-+1.7 range. I’m guessing that tomorrow’s weekly relative Nino 3.4 release will have it at +1.5 with +1.6 on the high end.

you're going to find with you heptic sensors that it has about five different rainfall capacities and the air percentage is sort of different for all of them it also matters how exposed to wind it is and eventually also the temperature aspect. the 17% is pretty much my air percentage over the last 90 days. I've been comparing the three gauges since April. if you really want to get into it the manual one has issues with undercatch and the tipping bucket when it rains hard as issues this rain will miss it when the buckets tipped this technically if you want to get exact there are percentages that they usually add depending upon the rain gauge. to find out those percentages and try to find rain gauges all different types of what the air rates were I could do not they probably spent worldwide millions upon millions of dollars and I have least have seen probably 84 scientific studies just based upon or engage measurements and it's to this day a very active field and a nightmare for everybody Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I think this happened a few years ago. We had a block but the air was stale. Just give me coastal storms and I will roll the dice. I foresee alot of snow to rain events for my area.

.02" yesterday, which guarantees yet another below 2" precip month. Unreal. It never ends.

Voyager, I don't know what networks your station is connected to but if you DM me your station info and at least 90 days of preferably sub hourly (most stations are network updated at 5, 15 or 30 minutes intervals) I can do a simple QC check based on actual published methods. For a basic 90-day quality check, I compare each weather station with about 6 to 10 nearby personal weather stations, ideally within roughly 5 miles, plus a reliable airport or professional station if one is close enough. For every hour, I calculate the median of the surrounding stations and compare the station being tested against that local reference. The median is useful because one bad or poorly placed station cannot easily distort the result. I then look at the average bias, which shows whether the station usually reads too high or too low, the mean absolute error, which shows the typical size of the difference, and the correlation, which shows whether it follows weather changes correctly. I also check for missing data, stuck readings, sudden jumps, unusual day-versus-night behavior, and repeated differences during rain, strong sun, or calm nights. The result gives me a practical estimate of whether the station is trustworthy, slightly biased but correctable, or unreliable for a particular measurement. that goes for anyone else as well. I have API setup with xweather, keystone Mesonet, NWS MADIS feed. I ran right to the pipeline knife and messing around with them this is what comes out at the end see attached Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

How was your winter forecast for last winter ? No one should put out a winter forecast this early no matter if it shows warmth or cold.

That July 16th Tahiti 1018.25 mb is its 2nd highest on record back to 1991. The highest is only barely higher, 1018.35 (mid-2004).

Why did the baseball league batting average drop from .270, 20-30 years ago, to about .245 now?

74° / 51°with Crystal Blue skies. Doesn't get much better. Feels like I'm still out West.

Some key injuries aren't helping an already precarious situation. Both catchers are having health issues and ofc Blaze is out for an extended period. The pitching has been solid lately so lets see if that continues. Fun to watch Mayo bash long homeruns whenever a pitcher makes a mistake, but otherwise he is an easy out lol. He will probably hit 20 HRs with a batting avg of .195 because there are so many shitty pitchers.

I think they are re-adjusting some of the daily SOI's. I remember it being higher in recent days. This is quite a streak: 19 Jul 2026 1013.04 1016.50 -27.15 -27.71 -19.78 18 Jul 2026 1013.56 1016.50 -23.95 -27.02 -19.48 17 Jul 2026 1013.50 1016.95 -27.09 -26.34 -19.15 16 Jul 2026 1013.27 1018.25 -36.50 -25.58 -18.73 15 Jul 2026 1012.10 1017.65 -40.01 -24.45 -18.16 14 Jul 2026 1011.36 1016.35 -36.56 -23.53 -17.62 13 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.10 -34.53 -23.20 -17.20 12 Jul 2026 1009.89 1015.20 -38.53 -23.21 -16.92 11 Jul 2026 1011.77 1015.80 -30.66 -23.06 -16.66 10 Jul 2026 1013.16 1015.45 -19.94 -22.84 -16.52 9 Jul 2026 1011.59 1014.45 -23.45 -22.68 -16.60 8 Jul 2026 1008.90 1015.20 -44.63 -22.32 -16.71 7 Jul 2026 1009.02 1015.35 -44.81 -21.68 -16.58 6 Jul 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -31.33 -21.34 -16.28 5 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.25 -35.46 -21.21 -16.03 4 Jul 2026 1010.84 1015.20 -32.69 -21.02 -15.72 90-day SOI hasn't been -20 since 1998.. first biggest El Nino event of the 2000s.

Lots of 50s for lows tomorrow morning

A cooler regime, less smoky regime has settled into the region just in time for the World Cup final. The pleasant temperature regime will continue for an extended period of time. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week into the start of the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some areas could pick up heavy downpours. The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -27.15 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.800 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.0° (0.5° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

+2 for Nino 3.4?

Conquistadors win. What a day. Beautiful all around. Was emotional seeing Messi take in the praise for him after the match. End of an era for him at the helm of the Argentinians.

haha, tipping bucket. if you want I can get you the exact error measurements of heptic vs tipping vs manual gauge. heptic has about a 17% error vs tipping bucket 3-4% Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Just don’t get swept in Boston and 4-2 to start the second half is great. But they have a tough schedule the rest of the way. They’ll have to earn it, even with the soft AL.

Yeah but Texas does NOT need more rain

I think they are arguing for +EPO correlation, scarred from recent Nino's I think. The map above has a negative 500mb right in the NPH region.. that's El Nino! I don't think the EPO is always positive in El Nino, it's further north so more variance. The 1895-1950 anti-La Nina is very -EPO in El Nino. -PDO does favor +epo/+wpo

Already moving in that direction . Hot with a Stein look. Enjoy the next couple days cockers