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I suspect elevation will play a role in this one....some valley locales may struggle to accumulate. I suspect a slushy 2 inches above 600ft and less than an inch below 400 feet

It’s been like 6hrs straight of flurries today. lol

ZR FTW

Because we tried every variety of chips…and porn…now we are bored

going to be a gradient, hopefully we are on the snow/ice side rather than ice/rain side.. C

You sure? That would cause a lot of issues..

We’re fine . Especially N CT

I respect your precision. I used "explains" in a statistically descriptive sense, not to talk about causation. I could have used more technical language talking about measuring the predictable variation (via linear relationship in this case) between the independent and dependent variable(s). Keeping in mind that the Board has an audience, some of whom have yet to enter college, such terminology would create more confusion than clarity. Unfortunately, there are trade-offs involved in simplifying discussions.

gorgeous day outside 45/21 warm sun nice breeze happy valentine’s day too wow

Mostly rain for us, some snow some ice a lot of rain, we need all guidance to trend colder..

You guys are going to argue until the cows fart all the way home. There is a main forum thread for this. We have warming. Let's just leave that here. Go argue why over in the other thread

I think I actually remembered this from some sorta movie, but it just occured to me that a lot of methane is contained within our ice caps. When they melt they are released. But thank you for clarification about water vapor feedback.

Eh technically the h20 vapor feedback is less important than you’d think. When I was younger I thought the same thing but it turns out the lifetime of water vapor is so low it prevents this buildup. Ofc, it’s still significant to our warming but not doomsday feedback look. Methane and permafrost release is more concerning but we also have some negative feedback loops for now.

I think I’m in the wrong forum. I take a few days off and everyone is talking radiation, mountain peaks, and math. I just need some pretty pink (or green) snow maps. I have a ton of meetings the week of the 24th, so maybe it will happen. I also keep wondering about the promised warm-up. I mean, it’s not 21 degrees anymore, but the torch hasn’t happened yet. It’s been a cold winter.

Great post!...100% correct on the ready for spring crowd lol

CO2 levels around 1800 were approximately 280ppm. That number has raised to 420ppm, an increase of 50%! It's not about the small percentage that's in the atmosphere. It's more about the drastic increase! Without CO2 (assuming plants weren't affected), Earth would probably be WAY too cold for the current multicellular organisms to survive save for a few species. Despite how little CO2 makes up the atmosphere it leaves a big impact!

You guys are still trying??

I do like seeing the healthy looking established precip shield already covering most of Missouri & extending the whole way down to the Texas Gulf coast. The ingredients are there for us to over perform if we get the rates in southern PA tomorrow evening.

I would advise caution here against a misinterpretation of the data. The statistical definition of "explains" means correlation. It is not the same thing as the plain English language understanding of "explains" that implies causation. All we can say from the data is that warmer winters are correlated with less snowy winters. And about half of the correlation can be accounted for by the correlation. But hypothetically, if the root cause is not warm temperatures, but something else related to both variables - say "unfavorable storm tracks" the data might still look exactly like that. In this scenario, a 3rd variable would be causing both warming and less snow even if there were no causal connection between them. I'm not arguing that this is the case... just that we can't really say what is "driving" the decrease in seasonal snow at State College. With this kind of statistical test we can only identify correlations. As an engineer and hydrologist I am a stickler for analytical preciseness. I'm not saying you don't know this. But some might come away believing that State College gets less snow these days because its local climate has warmed

Today your first day this week without one?

9.5" snow depth wtf

I'm not digging it...too early.

Off and on lazy flurries the past few hours. 33F