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All Good points. The tenor marches on.

Lets take one weak ass event at a time, okay?

Did you check the ensembles for that time period? We don't really go by op models beyond day 5-7 or so

850 was a big component for the snows over Charlotte and Triad. Strength and placement-

I believe we will get warmer..And that’s actually a good thing. Don’t need 13 degree highs and below zero lows. As Will said…if we are near climo in the heart of winter, it’s not a bad thing at all. I’ll take my chances with that look in February.

I've been lurking for years (had an older account that I couldn't remember my password) and rarely post, but I would like to say: I temporarily moved in with my folks last week, because my father's fight with brain cancer is nearing it's end. 20 year Special Forces medic and range instructor, loving husband, amazing father and best friend to me, who has fought this whole time like a mf. All of you folks have kept me distracted from the down times here and have been a huge help, wether you know it or not. Cashing in on a little snow this weekend while making Pops laugh and spending quality time has been EVERYTHING. I'll remember this week for the rest of my life. Thank you.

https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2018005302247931955?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Yes! 52.9 F that October. Hasn't averaged below that since. Number 10 since records kept. Good catch. @NorthShoreWx

Pretty dry for the area up to Feb 16 on Euro, Euro AI, GFS with the exception GFS AI is real wet.

Definitely impressive for many areas, especially Charlotte and the Triad.

For fans of deep winter we just experienced a true masterpiece Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

That Sounds a lot like Rays problem….

Wow you mean weather enthusiasts discuss the chance of a big storm on a weather forum? Who knew? We should all stay silent until it’s a lock…that sounds very intellectually stimulating!

There’s no warmth in sight with that block . Looks like Dec with fake warmups that never happen

Definitely warmer changes over the last several days.

Based on the Winter Severity Metric (WSM) and the recent weather data for Harrisburg (including the record 11" snowfall on January 25th), here is how the last seven days and the overall month of January 2026 rank historically. January 2026: Daily Standings The 11" snow event on the 25th was the clear heavyweight, immediately breaking into the Top 100 most severe days in the record (Rank 62 out of over 15,000 winter days). | Date | WSM Score | Daily Rank (All-Time) | Commentary | |---|---|---|---| | Jan 25 | 8.91 | #62 | Extreme: Record snow + high depth. | | Jan 26 | 7.20 | #704 | Severe: Deep pack persistence. | | Jan 27 | 5.96 | #1971 | Significant: Cold with standing snow. | | Jan 28 | 5.37 | #2662 | Moderate: Temps began to recover. | | Jan 29 | 6.46 | #1370 | Significant: Light snow / secondary wave. | | Jan 30 | 6.67 | #1120 | Significant: Deep cold return. | | Jan 31 | 6.47 | #1364 | Significant: Persistent pack. | Weekly Ranking (Jan 25–31) The final week of January averaged a WSM of 6.72. * Rank: It stands as the 119th most severe week in history. * While the daily peak of the 25th was historic, the gradual temperature recovery in the middle of the week kept it from breaking into the all-time Top 10 weeks (which usually require sub-freezing highs for all 7 days). Monthly Ranking (January 2026) This is where the 2026 season truly shines. Driven by the massive storm and a consistently cold pattern throughout the month: * Monthly Average WSM: 6.72 * Historic Rank: #6 all-time January 2026 now officially joins the ranks of the "Great Winters," sitting just behind legends like January 1994 (#5) and January 1918 (#1). It is the first time in the 21st century that a winter month has cracked the all-time Top 10 for severity. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

flurries most of the day with occasional burst of light snow. maybe a heavy dusting here. too far east and too far west.

Judah is a quack. And his explanation is so ambiguous, it’s comical. We’ve heard and seen that before this season…take the under.

Took a walk this AM- figured I wouldn't see something like this event again IMBY anytime soon, so I took a bunch of pics around my house- enjoy!

It might not be that cold mid-month. But if it’s near climo, that’s usually good enough in mid-February. Ideally we’d get the reload for late Feb and into first half of Mar when climo starts going the wrong direction at a faster pace. Remains to be seen on that part.

Maybe we need to flirt with the edge for a bit in order to get some precip

Torch incoming