All Activity

I am thrilled to have a number of days of model runs to look forward to! It's been years since I was active here. As a chemistry/marine science major at the USGA with a personal interest in meteorology, I know just enough to be dangerous. Actually, my coworkers rely on me to interpret the multiple forecasts. I can read weather maps and follow model runs, but I rely on y'all for official tie breakers! My son, a Central Dauphin High School graduate (college time at Susquehanna for 2 years, UTI, etc) finally found his path, in the US Space Force and is looking forward to applying his science knowledge(well after he ends his tour representing the Space Force as part of the Honor Guard)! He has spent hours on here and evaluating models with me (we have multiple aviators and USCG sailors in the family, so weather is a passion for many of us) and is comparing my opinion from his interpretations (from Joint Base Anacostia Bowling). We all know how that thread goes! Lol!

It's about to get busy in here

Yup, we truly could be screwed here over the weekend. Could be without power for days. Just imagine all the pools with frozen pipes, and houses also. Truly a nightmare if it happens.

EURO north and has the backside snow.

Oh my god

Yea Euro is almost 100% an ice event

HH brought the goods. Thanks for the pbp

EC is close to a top end scenario, but I would put it at the 75-90th percentile at this point. 12z UKMet yesterday was the 99th percentile. This run is very very impressive.

Damn! It changes east TN over to rain:

seems were on our way there.. this could be great!

Caution, mix in southern zones.

It does exactly what I wanted it to do in my analysis: "In order to reach our theoretical limit we want to see 1. All of the SW energy comes east 2. A sharper and further west NS trough 3. A more south NS trough to capture the surface low and prevent mixing."

We got it!!

NWS and local mets lean heavily toward EURO. Expect their forecasts to shift accordingly.

The Euro is not the model you want to hope is wrong. No model is perfect including that one. But that’s not the one I would want to be rooting against.

Yep, some mix at the end but the damage is pretty much done by then

Holy shit. This is a memorable one if it holds.

Euro was about to cook!

Euro is a FOLKS! Thank you to all who joined us for Happy Hour. See you at 0z!

Look at the trends. It moves north every run. At this rate, only Washington DC will see snow.

18Z Euro Total QPF through 144 with seemingly more to come

Take the wheel of this effing bus! Hold up, you have a license dont ya kid? Meh, dafuq does it matter anyway. Ride on!

Ummm did you guys see the end of the 18z euro ? Waiting for WB but damn that’s close to a monster for us.. just saw brooklyns post after I hit submit

Just insane!!