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The 12z Canadian is an inland runner.

2/18 12z UKMET Total QPF

And the one model that really hasn't shifted its solution much in the last 24 hours....you already know.

You were right so far man...now what's your suspicion for 18z lol?

My deep dive question of the day. Do you (general) have issue with justifying purchasing things for yourself? I have gotten back into printmaking lately, did some holiday gifts for the kids and my husband. I did some lino blocks to make one of a kind t shirts. I do not own a proper printing press and have been using a brayer, a small hand press, or by standing on the inked block to press. My printing methods have been less than stellar according to my standards and I have seriously been eyeing a small handmade press. The thing is I am having issue with justifying getting it. The cost is not excessive but I think after being in mom mode I am struggling to convince myself of that. Mr. J has just told me to get it, yet I still find myself looking at it to order and am not pulling the trigger. I want to get back into my artwork and know the proper equipment is a must. But I am just finding it hard to spend money on myself. I am just curious if anyone else goes back and forth with this.

I mean I think I have broken a record this year with the most digital snow ever

CMC!!! shes back!!!

GFS CMC WXNEXT all look great

Things are still trending...this is not the final outcome we are seeing today. But everything is trending the way we want for now. That's all I'm taking from this. UK was nice except freaking torched at the surface...would have been a nice 4-8" snow across the area if it wasn't so damn warm at the surface.

it's a ludicrous output, but what i wouldn't give for it to be reality. I'd be working from home for a week.

Was also 100s of miles west of 0z last night. Just couldn't quite turn the corner. .

It won’t take much to move it another 50 miles…

Long way to go with this one. Lots of adjustments in models to continue for next 2 days at least.

We rain.

That is lol tastic- almost like we hacked the server and put in a dream scenario.

Would the nam have been good ?

Yeah Canadian is also much better. I don't like this setup because it's inherently volatile and dependent on getting the trough to tilt negative at just the right time. The ridge being through Montana and not Idaho could be the difference between a NW of I-95 storm or a SE of I-95 storm. Obviously lots of time to track and I think the entire subforum is still well in the game!

Need to get the confluence over canada to lift out a bit sooner and a bit more ridging out ahead of this system on approach would get us a decent event.

dont worry, brooklyn, NY isnt, either.

2/18 12z UKMET closer and close to the GFS/GEGM Solution - UKMET does have a suppressed bias (at least it used to)

Yeah UKMET is better. Pretty dry but I definitely like the trends at 12z so far

With this setup maybe we have so many opposing ways this storm can go wrong that they end up canceling each other out

UKMET takes a step in the right direction

I’ll take that bet

Not with that attitude...