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I won’t dare risk it despite being the leader in the clubhouse so far this season, but it’s time for a Boxing Day thread.

I hope you’re right-hoping for an inch tomorrow so that would get me to 9” for the month, then this could add quite a bit if it goes well. These usually trend north at the end, we’ll need confluence and blocking to keep it south. I’d feel a little better about this one for Boston but we’ll see.

Y/w

Hopefully an inch or so where I live, it’s usually a couple to few degrees colder than the city so that should help.

Euro a couple runs in a row trying to show a little enhancement in E MA tomorrow evening…maybe someone can crack 3” if that happened. Prob in the 128 belt to maybe 495..esp N of pike. Then there’s still the OES sig as the IVT rotates S and veers the winds back N for a time which puts the Cape into a decent spot.

Just a warning criteria snow (4"+) thats not much really.

Noticed this a few times this year, think it’s some glitch, error, or something. Look at this precip output, ridiculous. .

Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least

2 inches for CPK, I'll believe that when I see 0.5" posted in the climate summary. My take on this one is, light coatings of snow grains, mixed with drizzle, not a great road scenario because it won't slow down traffic very much while adding the hazards of slushy partly frozen crud. Could drop 1-3 inches on colder northern suburban areas though. Widespread black ice the following morning.

And looking beyond, it’s pretty amusing to see clippers return from their multi-year hiatus. It looks like we might remain on the good side of this razor’s edge pattern. For now at least.

Congratulations SE peeps! I think we all willed the 18z into a classic Miller A. Now if we can only will it into actually happening.

Hopefully he stays a limited post member. The weenie tags from him get old after awhile.

Maine isn't even real, being the snow south.

There are still a significant number of ensemble members on both GEFS and EPS that hammer southern New England. Lot of spread. Honestly, anything is kind of gravy from that system as 2 days ago it looked like a rainstorm except way up in far NNE.

What does everyone want? Don’t tell me a foot+, that’s obvious. Give me something more attainable. I’ll start: I would love about 6” of snow with a delayed warm nose that delivers a 1” blanket of sleet on top. Sledding for days on the ice sheet with my daughter and brutal cold on the backside.

I generally keep my dumb thoughts to myself(cause I’m more wrong than right) but this is why I kept stressing a -NAO and have it more west based. Think of it like a wreck on the beltway before the 270 split. Only after you see how bad the wreck is will you then find out how bad traffic snarls and jams up. You gotta get the block first. Then let it jam up the flow. NAO or AO too far east lets too much traffic find other ways to escape. This storm might not be it. But if it helps keep things jammed then look for the next one.

Euro stays 30 or lower for Leesburg all of Friday

18z Euro noticeably better

Euro looks 1-2 degrees colder. Haven’t seen precip panels yet

Nailed it.

Love it. How long have you had a place up here? IIRC, you had it when I still lived in DC. We'd do nicely even back here, though probably not as nicely as areas to my north. The NAM is hot for the region.

What’s the timing on the potential wintry precip? Friday AM? Afternoon into evening?

Every time

Pretty wide swath of decent snow over a much broader area.