All Activity

Those analogs....pretty cold and snowy in December, except for 2012, but even that had some snow in Dec. Also 62-63 is coldest DJF winter (analysis since 1950), even colder than 1977 and 78. Fourth coldest is 2002-3. So....interesting.

PSU noted how 97-98 had close calls a number of times with DC at 35 and rain, Mason Dixon at 33 and slop and south central PA and n&w 31-32 and solid snows.

Multiple days of 80s coming up. Upper 80s for DC is also possible on Friday . After next week's cold shot warmth returns. Then back and forth.

Does this count as an excusal slip for me to leave work early?

Outlier, unfortunately. All other models taking the big time rain way south.

Wasn't it just last week people were questioning whether we saw the last 80s of the year? Lol. Barely even made it a week.

This is definitely the wettest day of the three in NW MA.

I'm ready for drought again, this weather is depressing.

It just keeps on raining.

The connection to CC that I've read on this board is that PWATS are generally 10% higher for any given system. I'm likely oversimplifying that, but I'm not a met. Looks like I'm finishing at 6.31"

Finishing up with a 4 day total of 2.87" here. The sun is struggling to break through now and everything is probably going to stay soggy for the remainder of the day.

2.12" now, most fell between yesterday afternoon and now

We’re totally in the “just get this the F out of here” stage.

1.1” for me. From the storm. Get your mind out of the gutter.

NWS-NYC mentioned 90F being possible. I wish they hadn't changed their AFDs, though, as they rarely speculate on storms beyond 4-5 days any more and I'd like to know what they're thinking for Saturday (any rain with the front) and Sunday - almost every model is showing major rain on Sunday (1-2+" - starting late Sat on some). .KEY MESSAGE 3... The modeling has been in good agreement for some time, including the CPC outlooks, that a quick warming trend will impact the area this week. This timing now looks to be focusing in on Thu and Fri before a cold frontal passage cools things off again. The NBM indicates 70s to near 80, but temps aloft combined with progged wly component winds would support highs near 90, especially the usual warmer spots in NJ and NY.

Despite how strong this El Niño gets its influence over the pattern will be restricted due to the fact that it’s not coupled. Expect a wide range of variables with the overall pattern this winter.

We'll be finished before it gets to 8 C

Location?

Winds are ripping... waves and splash over is awesome at high tide ill post pics when I get home later but this is awesome!

exceptional