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  2. feels like we've been stuck in this pattern for ages though i know the city got lucky and got 2" of rain back in january
  3. We've been looking at a 1-2 inch range, maybe 3 in an isolated spot to fall over like a 12 hour period. That still looks reasonable so not sure it's a "dud". Even if it ends up on the lower side of the range its still within the expectation. The more "steady" light snow wasn't forecast until late morning / early afternoon, then we see a lull until the cold front blows through. I do think we've seen a slight push for the better totals to the South and West over the past couple days, but these things have such a narrow area of "jackpot" totals its not surprising to see that move around.
  4. You're in a good spot up there - South Mtn just to your east should help squeeze more out! Cloudy and 20 here
  5. 12z HRRR even brings a little love up this way. Hope it verifies.
  6. I think that has a decent shot to be a nice event. That was starting to stand out later Wednesday, and more so yesterday. We watch.
  7. Where are our western posters? Curious if there is any ground truth there. Looks earlier than I'd've expected.
  8. 22 with light flurries in Wolf. It feels ominous this morning... there's sun in the valley but a big dark cloud hanging overhead. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
  9. A perversion of the Nina background state/correlation, probably could use the RONI technique I'm guessin' These ENSOs, warm and cold, have been sort of idiosyncratically uncoupled to hemispheres at times, more frequently over recent decade(s) - I recall writing about this in here, 15 years ago... Then RONI comes out and well... I don't have a problem with it because obviously (then) I was not the only one taking observational note about all this over the years. I'm just sayn' I don't have a problem and why-for there can be a generalized Nina and still manifest aspects that seem incongruent. Not that you asked LOL
  10. More than that , why does it end at 11 am? It’ll be gusting into the 40s all day Saturday.
  11. Thinking this is going to cause some problems today. People just see half an inch forecast and don't worry.
  12. 00z left ..06z right. Euro I mentioned this yesterday that there's a bit of a sneaky norlan look to this. Certainly an IVT of some sort. If the former turns out true and verifying, it is less likely the models will have nailed precisely where the "unscheduled" snow fall rates set up...
  13. Can i ask how the ENS look for next midweek? That system has kind of gone to crapola on the OP
  14. Already some snow showers moving into the western areas. Temp at the house is 16 and cloudy. Should be no problem with road stickage
  15. Yeah at this rate February may end up below an inch of liquid
  16. Perhaps .. but that looks like it could have easily set up W-N-S-E just given the Jackson Pollock look to that overall QPF artistry.
  17. You should send him a strongly worded pm to let him know your thoughts
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