All Activity

I have a feeling this thing is going to throw us some curve balls in the next 24/36 hours.

Yeah you may be right. 13" on 2/13/14 11.25" 2/5/14 those blend together.

Without digging deeper for a better example, 0z ICON last night had the closest depiction of this we have a closed low 925-850 just southeast-east with easterly flow well into 0z-6z Tuesday Not totally outlandish either for these lower levels... Higher up 850-700 probably not happening fast enough

It'll probably shoot up the Great Valley then may transfer East or start weakening and drift east. Strong HP may keep it from a strong transfer to the Coast.

Lived in CLT area for more than half my life- I have never seen below zero temps in this neck of the woods I also lived in Gunnison and Crested Butte for 3 years- below zero highs were pretty normal, especially in Gunnison (sub-desert cold air sink)...really strange seeing those type of numbers around Charlotte

Wound up coastal hugger can be mixy, so we'll see.

We pray

As long as i can get at least 6" snow before any mixing... I will be happy. Thank you for the write-up too

That is an absolute bomb. Storm center goes from 1003 off of the Outer Banks to 972 over ACK in 24h. Pressure at ACK falls 53mb in 24h. Cold airmass in place, coastal front setting up, just textbook. Lock it in / inject it into my veins.

All this talk about next weekend makes me giggle. It appears, as we sit, it's still too early to talk about this weekend. Gotta love southern weather. I don't envy the forecasters. But I do hold in contempt the ones that are weenies. Leave that to us.

Unfortunately that's a red flag to me. Still, we're at 72hrs out. Patience!

Just one damn time...

1/22 12z GEFS Total QPF mean - storm Total Snow / sleet (10:1) : LP Mean lean

pretty impressive this is still so high.. Isn't the NBM a blend of the GFS, GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and Euro/euro ensembles?

Watches are up!

You called it, I am already hyping this up to close friends. All snow this time !

Very very rare do we see everyone from the HV/Catskills down to SNJ receive a uniform amount of snow from a biggie. It’s almost certain they are gonna get skunked with taint

Thanks! I wanted to put on my meteorologist hat for that one. Now back to my regularly scheduled snow weenieing

A southern weaker low will be a huge factor too. If it drives into WV the majority of us will flip soon after sunrise on Sunday. If the transfer happenes down in TN/KY We should get less mixy

I agree. We are going to flip last. Concerned about the glacier that is coming after the snow though. It's going to be a mess.

NWS point and click is showing about 11”, for whatever that’s worth.

Yeah, next weekend has big potential.

He is right. The Euro is doing a piss poor job of handling the sleet aspect of this. The sleet bomb idea is real.

I long for the days of a storm like this...uncomplicated Miller A

This... I mentioned this after Mitch posted the 6z UK ensembles...the UKMET 10-1 snow maps counts sleet as snow so they are inflated on the southern end. Can't compare them to other models that don't do that...it gives the false impression the UK is further south than it is...if you just look at those maps...which you shouldn't anyways