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Going to be on vacation so I’m putting in early for August August DCA: +0.5 NYC: +1.2 BOS: +0.7 ORD: +0.8 ATL: +1.2 IAH: +0.3 DEN: +0.9 PHX: +1.2 SEA: +0.4

I don't think the trough parks on the EC tho... That almost never happens in JJA climo pattern/records. In fact, models will tend to over amplify that trough at this range, while getting the western N/A ridge probably closer to accurate compared to handling the east. Which ends up just being a weakness with a 500 mb flow paralleling the coast. That's why I suspect if that D8-14 range CPC temperature probability aligns with the pattern, BB is what we'd end up with in reality. Having said all that... if the CPC PNA outlook is correct, the correction vector is probably more WAR influence - if that starts emerging more and more in outlooks, that wouldn't surprise me... but WAR is also not really eye-stingin' heat, either. It goes sorta like this: Sonoran Release 102/62, WAR 92/72, Bahama Blue 82/78

It's probably 82/78 a Bahama Blue circulation mode... "Heat" is in the DP in that scenario, reflected in average highs over sweltering lows. Welcome to Nassau

EPS retrogrades the western ridge a bit, but it still looks a bit troughy in the OH valley. AIFS gets the trough and WAR more west. Regardless, it’s mostly chamber weather for the next 7-10 days.

CPC says above average comes back

Something to look out for is how cool October usually is in El Nino PDO has opposite correlation though, and it's strongest month of the year is October so we'll see how the battle of -PDO vs Super Nino goes, going forward.

WCS PDO is still dropping and is now down to -1.81, lowest since early Oct:

Yes very good synopsis. Please come to front of the class and keep Kenny in the corner with dunce cap on . Ridge trough ridge . It’s a warm to hot at times and humid pattern . Also with trough in Midwest if there were to be some home brew tropical system it could get pulled north in some capacity . That look verbatim is ACATT worse nightmare

Took advantage of the excellent weather yesterday to hike sky meadows. Only an hour ride from NOVA and nearly a straight shot on 66 West. Wasn't expecting too much, but was blown away by the views it offered. Highly recommend to anyone wanting to go on a relatively easy escape into nature. Best part of course was the weather. Mid to low 70s in the forest with nice dewpoints too. Also had the moon as nice friend the whole hike!

Western Atlantic ridge/Bermuda High backing up against the East Coast? Novice here… just speculation/guessing?! Gorgeous day down here in Phila. 84… might eke out 85 after a low of 65 this AM… DPs holding in the mid 50’s.

Quite impressive that most areas didn't get above 80. The high clouds staved it off.

I ment biotic and contagious.

High of 78 Currently 77 with a DP of 57 Gimmie this for the next month.

@Mount Joy Snowman It is a biotic and infectious tree disease that mainly affects conifers, but it can also spread the hardwoods but apparently it rarely kills hardwoods. Calling in a arborist to be safe, probably wouldn't be a bad idea.

There's a poster at another forum named warywarren who is impersonating you. I don't know who he is. But figured I'd let you know if you want to address it.

We are mostly getting this cool down because of -NAO, and less to do with the Pacific (El Nino's greatest effect). There is a trough in the GOA for a little while, but it's still not canonical El Nino in the Pacific.

Data reporting issue that didn’t get removed yet. But they did get close to the all-time February low set in 2015. The cold records in the Southeast were the most noteworthy this February. On May 24, 2026, weather monitoring stations in Youngstown, Ohio, experienced a data reporting issue where a spurious (erroneous) low temperature spike was briefly logged. Actual weather records show that May 24, 2026, was actually a mild spring day, with temperatures hovering around a normal low of 54°F and reaching a pleasant high of 66°F. [1] Time Series Summary for Youngstown Area, OH (ThreadEx) - Month of Feb Lowest Minimum Temperature Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2015 -16 0 - 1934 -16 0 2 1979 -14 0 3 2026 -13 0 4 1963 -11 0 - 1961 -11 0 - 1951 -11 0 5 1973 -10 0

I'm really not a tree guy, but i've seen a lot of different things in my landscaping. For my unprofessional viewpoint, the likely culprit looks to be annosus . Annosus Root Rot Courtesy USDA Forest Service, Bugwood.org Hosts Annosus root and butt rot is a commercially important disease of conifers. All southern pines are susceptible, but loblolly and slash pine are most severely affected. Identification Conks are often present in the litter at the base of dead or dying trees or tree stumps, or under root masses of windthrown trees. Conks, when fresh, are tan to brownish on the upper surface and white with tiny pores on the lower surface. They are rubbery and tough to tear. In the southern United States, conks are most common from December through March. Damage Damage from annosus root and butt rot may be scattered throughout a stand or in pockets of dead and dying pine trees called “infection centers.” Mortality is sometimes preceded by thinning and yellowing of the crown; however, some trees simply turn red and die. Trees in various stages of dying or death may suffer windthrow. Infected roots exhibit resin or pitch-soaking, and stringy root decay. Biology Annosus root and butt rot probably enters the stand when fungal spores land on fresh cut stump surfaces. The fungus grows through the remaining root system into nearby live trees via root grafts or contacts. Mortality usually begins 2 to 3 years after thinning and often ceases 5 to 7 years later. Damage increases with the sand content of the soil. Twelve inches (30 mm) or more of sand or sandy loam above a clay subsoil in a soil with good internal drainage is considered a high hazard site for tree mortality. Control Prevention and control strategies for annosus root rot include stump treatment, timing of thinnings, prescribed burns, and the manipulation of planting density

Up , up, and away !!

Ok ok ok The ratio of weather:political posts is taking a nosedive. Let’s at least sorta get back on track. 79.7/50.6 on the day here. Yore New England summer day.

no but the media went into overdrive-people spraying their mail lol

Think we will probably do the same. don't want to pay for parking, or for state park admission.

Don't make me go back to the old threads. You were wearing covid eye goggles.