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Every even year this decade (2020, 2022, and 2024) has had record warmth in the early part of November. It looks like the trend will continue this year.

Good example here on the AI of how forcing can pull the trough west from time to time. MJO exits the IO and MC where it is completely suppressed, then activates forcing over the dateline and slowly pulls east (along with the trough).

Hopefully we are free of any significant wx events for a while; let's San Diego!! New norm

Scrapping for the bottom of the barrel for wx content. This is what happens when the wx is quiet. They have to still have wx stories b/c wx gets the ratings, and you end up with minutia articles like this w/ loaded questions "what's driving all this bluster wx?" even if this is nothing specific or obvious or as if you can always pin down the reason, yet they ask the question anyways for tease. BOS avg wind speed so far this Oct is 10.2 mph. Normal is 9.5-10.5, so noting out of the ordinary. Peak wind gust for the month so far 42 mph. MEH in terms of sig. Sep was windier than w/ 11.1 mph (8.5-9.5), but that was due to the one big extended nor'easter Sep 22-28. One event does not make a windy season overall! That's like saying on big CONUS HU landfall means it was an active HU season. I mean really, 16 years windiest fall? Slicing and dicing that down to this level? That's another thing, you have virtually endless ways to slice and dice things down to certain periods (week, months, season, etc) along w/ any given wx parameters or phenomena and historical context, and voila, content! The thing is not all is impactful, recognizable, or significant, so why report on it? Once again, CONTENT, doesn't matter the subject or significant. And a sub-headline "BOS continues to clock is most blustery year yet". Ok, so which is it -- "windy" or "blustery"? For the fall season or for the entire year so far? Just confusing statements. And for those here, what is your definition of "blustery?" I always think of cold wx w/ wind chills. No one ever says "blustery" when it is warm out or in the summer!

An all-timer. Easily the most impactful winter wx event, but I think 2013 was my favorite. As I repeatedly say, the Mount Rushmore of CT winter wx events are 1888, 1978, 2011, and 2013.

I’m going to Edmonton and Calgary in early December to see the Caps in both cities…I might need two suitcases for all the layers I’ll need.

I'm so bored I've been perusing the Octobomb and Sandy threads. Halcyon days those were.

Gross! Starting to remind me of 2024 fall minus the wildfires.

Yeah, prob some +15 anomalies for the northern tier

We will get some Spartman tennessee valley snow fantasy maps too.

WINTER, WINTER, WINTER, WINTER, WINTER

Wife and I had a new 4wd vehicle at the time were doing a weenie tour of damage that next day. I did a drive up Mt. Uncannonuc in Goffstown - it was 32" on the level settled depth at 1250' the next morning. I know Dendy probably knows of the access road and trails Not sure if there were any higher event totals. 21" settled depth in Bedford around 5 miles away but obv. lower.

It actually went noticeably north from yesterday.

Get this all teed up for @bluewaveto compare it to future warmer runs as the ridge trends southward.

Straight up San Diego weather pattern here. Enjoying it before days and days of 50 and rain .

Regardless of the strat, today's weeklies have the first week of December looking exactly like the Euro and all other seasonal modeling for December, which is a good thing.

Today's Highs: Gorgeous for late Octo TEB: 75 EWR: 73 New Brnswck: 72 LGA: 72 PHL: 71 BLM: 71 JFK: 71 ISP: 71 TTN: 71 ACY: 70 NYC: 69

Are people unable to take their "heads out of their own arse" to blame when our society tells us to enjoy the smell of our shit? I have the upmost respect for you as both a winter weather posters and someone who doesn't back down when some posters poke the climate change conversation. But, anyone on "our" side who sees the conservative base as the enemies are looking through distorted glass as well. To place blame at the feet of those who bought into what our society tells them is taking the easy way out at best and malpractice at worst. We are all trying to make our one go around the sun worth it, nobody believes themselves to be using their one life to hurt others - but when our system is based on ruthless competition and a fight over every resource we all will wind up hurting someone for something we don't need. To reemphasize my point, to do so is not stupidity or a deliberative attempt to hurt one another but to go along with the natural forces that act upon us both sociologically and psychologically. A quote sums up my thoughts perfectly here: "I don't know why you did what you did. But it's hard to be mad when you're just as stuck as I am" My response to the claim of "there are too many stupid people who will always be easy to manipulate by powerful people with nefarious motives" is that we've (the left) won before. All the positive parts of the world we inhabit is because someone, somewhere in the past, cared and burnt their present to create the future we now hold. To reject the notion that change can come is to embrace the same song that those on the right sing, albeit with a different and arguably sadder melody. I don't know what the answer is. Frankly, if I get to live to your age I might agree with you, but I have to believe you are wrong. The most radical thing any person can do is to have empathy for one another, no matter how much "they" fight you. I know what I say is idealistic, that it is an opinion that will get me hurt, one that will leave me disappointed time and time again, and one that may never come true in my lifetime. However, the people believed, perhaps delusionally, that we deserve better than what we are told is possible have won before, and they will win again. Don't surrender to the ease of giving up hope in your fellow humans; that is exactly what those in power want the most.

This what I was getting at with a reflection event being the safer bet....these warmings are feast or famine, whether they result in reversals or not....yet they result in these mass cyber-orgies.

My place had a high of 72, low 47. It's so nice I think that's 15-16 degrees above normal for the high, maybe less above normal for the low of 47. The leaves are still green for several trees. I anticipate there will be a mad rush to pick up leaves when it actually gets cold. I have my window open right now, tonight. It's going to get warmer, up to 76 this week. Crazy! The weather systems are not delivering the cold air. (Toledo had high 74, low 42 at the airport) a couple of pics