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For me it’s the location of where the LP development, it’s not hugging the coast like the Euro

Pivotal UK clown maps count all wintry precip including ZR as snow for those who don’t know.

I feel like the GFS is just torturing us. It's hard to unsee widespread 20" clown maps, which would make 7" of snow/sleet to dryslot while BGM and ALB snows for 30 hrs more annoying. Storm after storm this year the GFS has been an outlier until under 48 hours. If only we had any confidence in the model... but maybe it will do better this time around with more southern stream involvement.

You said it, GFS looks good!

Yeah, you won't be melted out until May!

That looks pretty epic tbf. Border counties have done better

And lo the weenie went to the top of mount hopium. Where JB spoke to him and said “see the gfs and rejoice. For it will show the way. Now go spread the word that when the water is too cold for porpoises it shall not sleet.”

Interesting

So, they're expecting about 4 more inches after 7pm Sunday.

Pretty sure the RAP uses the same data as the GFS so this makes sense. It runs hourly to provide more up to date information. If it was any model besides the GFS showing this then I would be more concerned. Lets see what the 18z Euro shows. If it goes south then I might need a beer. Regardless if you would have told anyone in this forum 3 weeks ago we would be looking at a 4-8 inch storm 24 hours out ( yes, I know these are low just using them as reference ) I would say everyone in here would be thrilled.

Snowmobiling

Shhhhh. Don't say the "B" word u'll jinx it !!

18z GFS is colder. Less sleet. Higher Kuchera.

The fact that the AI GFS doesn't support the physics model is pretty telling IMO. This would be an absolutely devastating coup if the Euro were to cave. Like I said earlier, I think the GFS caves, maybe even at 00z... but I don't think this is over yet. We will get a last minute trend in one direction or another (hopefully positive).

Small world. I work for the owner. Can’t say enough about how much of a pleasure it is to work for him. Absolutely the best work environment one could ask for. I will be swinging by his place at some point during the storm. Main focus is on our shop though.

That looks to follow most of the modeling I have seen

I have been going through that and the MA gets huge amounts of sleet but not up here based on that GFS run!

Sweet mother there's someone in the models thread that needs a 5-posting bad.

We need it suppressed to Venezuela. Is it in Venezuela? If not, I'm not getting my hopes up

Let's pray that doesn't verify if we are going to have any freezing rain. That could be a catastrophic outcome leading to extremely long-duration and widespread power outages.

My wife went to get supplies from grocery store and came back with more wine and beer than a village could drink. Love her

Are you posting from Reston, VA or a rest home in Virginia?

I'd sell half my family for the GFS outcome

Updated. The one I saw earlier was time stamped around 1.

One of the biggest flocks of winter just headed north over my house. Going to take that as a sign that I’m far enough south for some goods