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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Heat index at my parents house today hit 118. -
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Now that's stupid. What, now cancel everything for a slight risk of svr? We can't be "held hostage" by the wx for the mere fact there is risk out there! I am reminded of the 2009-10 winter when DCA got slammed and CoastalWx was shutout. The hype was SO out of control, locations in the Northeast such as BUF, that were not going to see a single flake of snow, they cancelled things b/c of the crazy storm hype. I recall OCMs from YYZ at an AMS conference in 2012 stating the stupid hype from the U.S. stations bleed into Canada, and that was messing things up in Toronto! This is one reason why I slam the MSM so much, this constant hype and installing fear is counterproductive for society. There are real social and economic costs/losses b/c of being put in a state of alert all the time. Every inclement wx is treated as "so dangerous." The ordinary gets turned into the extraordinary needlessly. How did society ever survive and progress back in the day before all this nonsense? Society is being turned into a bunch of softies, unable to handle physically or psychologically any risk/hazard.
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I was hoping for a little more but I'm starting to think I am the rain shield. So far .18" this evening. Better than the shut out. Radar looks to be quieting down now. One more last chance of maybe a heavier shower with that cluster near asheboro. looks good up I 85 towards the state line though.
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Over 3 inches has fallen here since 3 PM.- 276 replies
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I will be surprised if that blob of rain goes higher than I64.
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Yes, we can see the shortcomings in AI in simple daily tasks , so how can we possibly expect it to handle complex problems/issues? There will be a societal/business self-realization soon enough once the hype and novelty of AI wears off. We will eventually figure out what works well and what does not for AI, and I think that will benefit society overall.
- 800 replies
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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I called this snoozer.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So much for everyone saying we can't have Super Nino's so close together. That's what I want to stress with a lot of this ENSO stuff, historical data isn't extensive and different periods of time have different conditions that are not universal constants. -
54 and rain at 0z on the 22nd of June would be something.
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I'm just tired of the Debbie Downer attitude from CoastalWx. Might as well call him EEYORE!
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Everything is always green. We haven't been in a true drought since 2002.
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I know this heat index sound impressive, but did you know that in the Middle East, it can go *far* higher? Every July-August at Qeshm Island, Iran (METAR code OIKQ), dew points routinely get into the 90s, and on some mornings, the heat index exceeds 150. A few years ago in August, they had 100/97 for a heat index of nearly 180! This is in the Persian Gulf. These very high readings occur in the morning w/ fog is present and light winds off the water. These readings are accurate looking at the daily observations, where the dew points are very high overnight and in the morning, only to mix out quickly by the afternoon and drop quite a bit. Population of the island is 149,000. Takeaways here are that it goes to show humans can endure far higher heat indices and do just fine, and what happens in the Middle East makes heat indices in the U.S. look like a walk in the park, relatively speaking. Context and perspective are important when discussing wx extremes and impacts.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I have been researching this for my upcoming blog....2015 had it somewhat, but it was much more pronounced in 2023. -
Wait what?! 3-5” around here.
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Today worked out pretty well. Performed as it should have
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Decent drink in this general area - I didn't look but guessing .75" to 1" or so
- Today
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lol....Stein won out for some, he's always lurking
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Today's Highs: ACY: 95 BLM: 92 EWR: 92 PHL: 92 TEB: 91 New Brnswck: 90 LGA: 90 JFK: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 87 NYC: 86
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Today's Highs: ACY: 95 BLM: 92 EWR: 92 PHL: 92 TEB: 91 New Brnswck: 90 LGA: 90 JFK: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 87 NYC: 86
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Beautiful sunset! NAM sounding expertly shows the distribution of the mid/high level clouds needed to make this sunset work
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This is comical……in a drought….severe for most and y’all looking months ahead like our moisture problem is just going to magically disappear
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Amazing stuff - well done
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You can't make this up...the entire system looks to be drying up compared to earlier today. Wow
