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  2. weatherwiz
    when I was outside with the dog this morning I was a bit shocked how it was outside...smoke was pretty evident. Thought at first it was maybe some fog but the smell of smoke was clear as day.
  3. wxmeddler
    The most impressive wind signature of the day so far is right over BWI... will be interesting to see what they report. TDWR says 55-60 mph.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    I just think it's the science of pointing out things after the fact. If the 500mb rise had occurred in Europe that would be the "after a higher baseline jump effect". There is probably something more meteorological going on. I don't think a higher global temperature hones in primarily on the Pacific Hadley Cells.
  5. Chrisrotary12
    Yes it appear so.
  6. gravitylover
    I didn't think it rained that hard but I'm at .6 (so far).
  7. RedSky
    Radar looks like ass for this evening can't believe i missed this
  8. Ginx snewx
    Still smoked too
  9. Amped
    25 degree drop in two hours.
  10. Chrisrotary12
    Was that gentle stratiform rain we just got the severe threat? Haven’t been paying attention.
  11. bluewave
    Both the mid-latitude North and South Pacific ridges have dramatically expanded since the late 90s. The first expansion coincided with the first global higher baseline temperature jump following the 1997-1998 super El Niño. The 2nd and more dramatic expansion occurred following the 2015-2016 super El Niño. This is the pattern which is driving the record -PDO since 2018-2019 with the record surface and subsurface warm pool from Japan to north of Hawaii. Some of the climate models run back in 2013 were showing a similar pattern developing. But it was forecast to be a much slower process than what has occurred and occur a little further north. So my guess is that the planet is much more sensitive to the effects of warming than the climate models forecasted. Plus the climate model that showed this mid-latitude ridge expansion also forecast to lower pressures over the Arctic the summer like we have seen since 2013. We were just discussing the very strong low north of Alaska during June. North Pacific 500 mb ridge expansion
  12. weatherwiz
    just edited...meant to say 3km is a bit off with how things are evolving. HRRR pretty good to get everyone with some amount of rain for rd 2. Severe potential remains complex. Might just have to watch where the instability gradient is. But even that will be tough to pinpoint because the warm front is moving.
  13. 512high
    70/70 .21" so far (well needed)
  14. Ginx snewx
    Round 2
  15. high risk
    Yeah, the good low-level shear is closer to the warm front in NJ.
  16. batmanbrad
    the stuff S/SW of Leesburg between Middleburg and Arcola looking quite healthy
  17. NorthArlington101
    Next
  18. Weather Will
    Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91): Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad surface low is forming over the eastern Gulf of America. However, the associated winds remain light, and the showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few days. Interests along the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if needed. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
  19. high risk
    Winds were probably in the 40mph here. Impressive rain rates. Radar suggests that we're not done.
  20. Itstrainingtime
    I've received 0.02" of rain today.
  21. 87storms
    I hope so. We’re due.
  22. TauntonBlizzard2013
    We 7/10
  23. weatherwiz
    The HRRR is wayyyyy off with how things are evolving EDIT: meant to say 3km
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Thankfully the tornado risk isn't playing out.
  25. AmericanWxFreak
    Prolific CG at 95 and 175/108 over last 15 mins .
  26. birdsofprey02
    Looks like severe is approaching Ravens stadium where Morgan Wallen concert opening bands are getting started.
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