All Activity

p strong agreement on more relief in droughtville

63 degrees this morning. Fishing yesterday pretty hard downpour 6:00am for 15 minutes and some strong winds. We took fish place yesterday. Been a tough year.

should be a safe miss south for my, not to bummed and will be nice to see the wet get spread around a bit

Thank you for adding Feb of 1995 and especially 2007 to the list. Indeed, two more cold Febs and they both had warm Decs! So, the idea continues to be that a warm Dec, which is expected especially up north and especially what @snowman19has emphasized and which El Niño climo favors, has little to no bearing on how cold Feb could be. That imho tells me the best way to look toward this winter, looking at its prospects month to month. Models and analogs are emphasizing the prospect for a big range from warm start to cold end.

That was an unusual MCS. It’s like it kept moving SE but storms kept developing on outflow boundaries that were pushing SW. Then quite a bit of convection just developed ahead of the main line to the west and SW of Knoxville extending all the way back to middle TN. That looked like some really intense rainfall and lightning around Knox Co. last night around 10-11 PM. Here I picked up 0.79, but some places had alot more. Now, there is another one knocking on the door again this morning. FFW today for a good chunk of E TN.

The Dust Bowl was a regional phenomenon focused largely on the Plains and Midwest (location of the extreme drought amplified by poor land use/farming practices). Heat occasionally spread outside that region. New York City's 106° record is one example. The heat was so intense that the contiguous United States recorded its hottest month on record in July 1936. That record has fallen now. Slowly but inexorably, as temperatures continue to rise, some of the site records from 1936 in the Plains and Midwest are also being erased. Over the next few decades, many more of those records will likely be eclipsed. It's plausible that the July 2026 mark will be surpassed one or more times in the next 10-20 years.

Top of the scale WWB on the 00z EPS.

US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·r͏n͏d͏o͏e͏s͏p͏t͏S͏o͏a͏1͏5͏3͏l͏a͏7͏3͏0͏h͏5͏1͏2͏3͏i͏f͏4͏i͏6͏m͏8͏0͏0͏m͏m͏g͏0͏0͏0͏6͏g͏l͏3͏4͏7͏7͏5͏8͏5͏l͏1͏2͏t͏0͏g͏3͏l͏f͏i͏m͏ · Wednesday August 12th, 2026 @ 6:00 AM EDT Marginal Risk (1/5) for Severe Storms Today Locally severe storms could bring strong winds, heavy rain, and hail later today Lower confidence for our SW counties, though a shift in the Ohio Valley storm track may bring severe storms into those areas as well

LGA came the closest at 99°. We could already begin to see the influence of the trees in Central Park after the new ASOS was installed in the shade in 1995. During the July 1991 heatwave Riverhead also made it to 100°. But the old Central Park station not under trees made it to 102°. Data for July 15, 1997 through July 15, 1997 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 101 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 101 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 100 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 99 NJ HARRISON COOP 99 NY MINEOLA 1 NE COOP 99 NY MINEOLA COOP 98 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 98 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 97 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 97 CT DANBURY COOP 97 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 97 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 97 NJ CRANFORD COOP 96 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 96 NY WEST NYACK COOP 96 NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 96 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 96 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 96 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 96 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 95 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 95 NY SEA CLIFF COOP 95 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 94 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 94 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 94 Data for July 21, 1991 through July 21, 1991 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. CT DANBURY COOP 105 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 102 CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W COOP 102 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 102 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 101 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 101 CT GROTON COOP 101 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 101 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 100 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 100 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 100 NY MINEOLA COOP 100 CT NEW HAVEN COOP 100 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 100

Another curious detail about this year. Decided to look at the AO data for those other strong and super nino's. In the Jun-Jul period it looks like they all average negative for that period. All of them. This year it was positive. Not sure what that ultimately means but thought it was interesting.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 502 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-058-130915- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- 502 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and small hail are possible late today and this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Low of 71 and .13” of rain. Onward.

July was a record for GISS 1.23 vs 1.20 in 2024. NOAA's July tied 2024. First of many monthly records over the next year.

Some years are missing, like 1995 and 2007. December 1994 and 2006 were very warm (actually the November-January period was near record warm), while February 1995 and 2007 were the outlier cold months.

Around this time next year there will be an eclipse in Morocco.

Thanks, so_whats_happening !

I never considered July 1936 to be such a hot outlier. For the middle of the country maybe but not really outside of the farming belt. 1936 was a one heatwave wonder for those of us on the East Coast and represents the folly of ranking summer months by average temperatures. From that sane period 1944 was a much hotter summer. Just take a look at how many 100 degree days there were and how far north they got. Burlington VT set their all time high of 101 that summer. If you connect together all the 11 year cycle summers beginning with 1911 you see that they stand out for exceptional extreme heat.

The human overpopulation problem is the main causative factor in climate change and pollution and everything else being discussed. Following the herd doesn't lead to a good outcome. It's why the planet was so much cleaner during the pandemic. And yes dirttiness predates ACC but ACC itself is the result of pollution that humanity has been known for since the industrial age began. You seem a bit too defensive to be objective about the self destructive nature of humanity.

That 100 degrees at Riverhead from 1997 is shocking. How did Riverhead hit 100 degrees that summer but no part of the city did?

No it really does not LOL. We regularly get 90 degrees to about the middle of September. You have August confused with October. And even October isn't all that cool anymore. Make it November. Also why would anyone want to rush in cold weather? I'd rather not shell out a thousand dollars a month in heating costs, thanks.

I think it might be showery for the meteor shower peak tonight unfortunately. Maybe it will clear out later so I'll be up around 3 am and go outside on my bedroom balcony to look. That's supposed to be the best time anyway.