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The CMC is also trying to turn Fri-Sat into an event followed by one of the biggest blizzards in NYC metro area history. If that’s correct, it would completely cripple the area for days on end, probably over a week

Huh? It’s been showing a biggie for many runs already…

RAP whiffs too. Even CT has 1-2 after changeover.

Always loved Canadians...

Thats almost identical to the March 58 map.

That's because its so nice out. Anyway definitely looks like a coastal hit but I wouldn't rule out an advisory event. Gfs shows it and CMC is close to it

what the fuck does LBSW mean? wtf does social diversification recognition have to do with atmospheric dynamics -

The ones I'm more surprised about are 1995-96, 2003-04, 2010-11, and 2013-14. Those were almost wall-to-wall cold in December-February, and I know all of these winters did 40+ inches in NYC. No way 2018-19 was colder than all of those. If anything 18-19 was near average temperaturewise December-February (though November and March were well below average).

Yeah, this is too close but too far away at the same time.

GFS winding up for the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe after our HECS

A pretty much perfect progression. Capture and stall off the Jersey coast, it occludes so you get snow right down to the LP center

GFS annihilation

Ukie looks like its in the Amped camp now as well. Wait and see how it translate to the surface

Really just the GFS... it could be right, but I am leaning into the closer range stuff going forward

Updated

This is one is gaining legs very quickly across all guidance.

Me too. It is brutal.

It’s too warm! Look it has 20” of rain over me

And the GFS AI which has Not been sniffing this one, says I’m In at 12z.

Holy Mary Mother Of God

It’s cause Central Park got 3” In December.

Won't be much sleep this week...

Insane 3-4 qpf now showing up

cmc that's the best case scenario for us! Biggest blizzard of our lives possible!