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FYI…. Looks like we’re going to have a red sunrise. .

I’m in the WSW and my point click forecast says 1 or 2 inches .

The ULL dug further south. The coastal low pops off the coast but doesn't have time to consolidate before moving off shore. Most of the moisture is to the East, need more negative tilt to throw moisture back to the west.

My wunderground shows nothing for the next 10 days. Could be right, but I imagine we’ll sneak in a clipper or two

8.4

I’ve actually experienced the opposite several times. When you see the bowling ball at 5h those things usually tend to do some damage. At some point it will obviously lose its punch as the coastal takes over but before then it can def be an overperformer for the right areas ala foothills on 6z runs

The map isn't popping up but thank you! 3 inches for Richmond, what do you think as far as 6Z € 5 inches for Midlothian? Sorry I'm voice texting if this doesn't come through clear lol

Frigid

Don’t engage in the game. He’s trying to get someone to tell him this could come back or even where it’s at, that Central CT will see snow. People obviously know you can’t rule out flurries or something. But outside of the cape, this threat is over

A whiff is a lot easier to digest when you've already got heavy snow cover and consistent subfreezing temps.

Looks like @John1122 was right again about the 6z and 18z Euro being much different than the 0 And 12 .

Looks good on Euro up this way man for .3-.4 I know we’ll both def take that in a heartbeat. GFS similar as of 6z

looks like 3 for RIC a bit more here

Got down to -9 overnight it's 4 above now.

-6.0° this morning, but the temp has been swinging around wildly with each little puff of breeze rolling through. It's not often that I'm 8° warmer than the center of town, given that we're both in a valley on the same river and I'm only about 200ft higher in elevation.

I’m a little sad that Loudon county didn’t make it into the wsw. I hope we at least get a few inches. .

It’s pretty much done

This 18/6 vs 12/0 Euro thing continues I see. So strange.

Be very careful relying too much on an ULL to provide copious amounts. They tend to underperform more than overperform.

At least we may have hit the bottom this morning. Maybe up from here

not really, no, you're right. It's just the off-hour waffling that's annoying and seems to be a frequent thing with 6/18Z EC especially. If it were 5 years ago and all we had was the 00Z/12Z Euro it would appear much more consistent at this range.

When is the met community as a whole going to care more about the Euro Ai vs the OP. This next event is another case study for it. Euro has been bouncing around run after run. It’s finally starting to get consistent, meanwhile euro AI has basically locked in as it usually does in this range outside minor ticks. It’s verifying better at H5, only caveat is its resolution gives it issues with QPF so you have to factor it in. Anyways, euro Ai has a nor’easter for the 6th The 00z OP run had snow down into The southern mid Atlantic for this one. End of 6z Op looks like it was about to brew something up. This one could have BL temp issues, need to get the low out of the lakes, but we’ll see…

This would be so much worse if we hadn’t just gotten a great regionwide storm, and if the pattern for February wasn’t looking so ripe with possibilities. Always sucks to miss a coastal bomb, but if February brings us over running and maybe the occasional Miller B we’d all probably do better anyhow. Coastals are always dicey.