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WB latest EPS extended. Impressive 30 day upper height anomaly.

Still melting it lol

It is slightly more amplified over TX by hr 60 ... not sure how that works itself out farther E as these changes are subtle, but there is a slight amplitude improvement at that interval

Snow breaking out in western NC and SC at hour 63 on the NAM.

I had an early appointment in Columbia and a midday one in Ellicott City, so dropped by Centennial Lake with my camera to see what might be around. As soon as I got out of the truck, this beauty was just sitting on a nearby post. I gave him some space and walked around him to get a better shot with the sun behind me. Also saw huge numbers of resting geese, cool ducks, and two different herons. And finally, just as I was getting back to my truck, this flew over. Not great photos because I was so surprised and not too smart, so I didn’t speed up the shutter. Pretty great winter day!

Ray approved as dynamics go flaccid to the northeast.

2-4” widespread for SNE

Webb still insistent that he thinks this trends NW at the end. He’s had a couple good calls on this specific scenario before. One eye ope

It def looks better than 12z, but that isn't saying much yet.

NAM looking decent

HRRR and NAMs are nice for many

It’s the NAM but this will probably be quite the run

Looking at that temp map I'd say well north and west. SE locations might get rates for a little while but it'll be falling on wet ground with temps at 35F. Hope I'm wrong.

3k is nice. Even gives Brett a courtesy.

Light snow at the house currently.

Watching the video now. I totally forgot about the kung fu part.

Scooter approved, he longs for that stuff with bare ground.

Yeah it’s not happening. I don’t even think that 120hr map I posted verified

Put there by a man in a factory downtown?

They come from a can you know

Looks like 1-3" for just about all of us overnight into tomorrow.

Copy that. Appreciate the context.

I think the current prog has a bigger/broader area of those extreme anomalies than ‘23 did. The odds of that verifying though is about the same as a blizzard at that range, no?

We should probably start a thread for model comparisons since the AI models have shaken things up. There isn’t much of a storm presenting at this stage, NAM sucker hole notwithstanding. Could also just rename this thread to keep the model disco rolling and not lose it when something else pops up. It is interesting and people are engaged with it.