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  2. Disappointing 12z runs. Guidance starting to converge on a miss next week just as we approach a more reliable model time frame. Ensembles have consistently shown very little snow through the end of next week. Next weekend's potential event is still in fantasy land so hard to get excited about anything that far away.
  3. Full Canadian run is more for East TN as wekk and still snowing in East TN at the end. GFS also has a good hit for East TN around the same timeframe!
  4. Pretty amazing depiction to get snow down to the Gulf states all the way into the Canadian Maritimes. No matter what this upcoming time period looks loaded.
  5. snow from Northern Maine to just about the Gulf Coast.. not often you see that
  6. Yea, I mean...those are Ginx specials since he gets off to minimum central pressure and beach erosion. All I care about is how deeply my yardstick becomes submerged.
  7. Yea, file that in the "never happen folder but fun to look at"
  8. Eastman Bubble Checks out, eh @Carvers Gap? lol
  9. 12z CMC is a hit on the 19th for a lot of folks with Snow/ice
  10. Very well said. You mentioned something last year that really hit home to me. There are times when we have a workable, or even favorable pattern for snow and we miss out due to back luck, etc. That's upsetting, but fine. Then you have the years where it's Pacific Puke™ all winter and nothing can save us. Those are heart wrenching. It appears that we are set up for success over the next month and it's all down to luck. That's fine, we just want to be in the game.
  11. CMC looks damn good. 4-6+" with more still to go
  12. It strings out the energy, way too far out to worry about that
  13. yup someone always seems to get screwed.. CMC is also trying now
  14. Nice run for Myrtle beach on the 16th. Way wide right up here. I’m pretty much writing that one off, you’re going to need pretty wholesale changes to get a configuration that will drag that close enough to be interesting.
  15. DESI has a phenomenal dashboard that allows you to generate custom graphs and maps for models, including using the national blend of models(below), AI models etc.
  16. Ya it’s like a cold front but does have a thick snow band haha
  17. TBH, I'd prefer like 970-980....the super intense lows always do strange things with QPF and end up porking in terms of snowfall...like that Jan 4th deal back in 2018.
  18. CMC was wester with the gulf piece but NS did not cooperate and it was too positive. Hopeful it can evolve positively from there though.
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