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  2. We reach climo min temps in another few days to a week depending on proximity to water. December felt long to me, but I will say that I blinked and it’s now the 2nd half of Jan. Tomorrow’s 12z GFS at 384hr will be the first Phil prog.
  3. its almost time to begin watching radars and other surface reports to see if they are matching up with various guidance
  4. The suppression issue is tempering my enthusiasm for this window for my yard and north. We are right on the edge with the suppression--and if the waves are just gonna slide by DC will be golden but up here? I don't know man...
  5. I would never drink and drive the snow bus or any vehicle for that matter. That’s plain dumb. I wait until a stoplight.
  6. @mappy I'll let you do the honor of showing him ArcGIS
  7. Chasing the white stuff both one and the same, it’ll kill ya.
  8. That “storm” at the end of the month on the GFS might be the first true fantasy storm of magnitude since 2022
  9. This is basically the same look by the GFS and GEM....this is the look you want at 500. Big, cold high sitting over the top w/ a little bit ridging just to our east. The 12z GFS does this multiple times. The GEM looked like it was set to do the same.
  10. Yepper, this run is 'volatile as fuck' , as @CAPE would say. Only a subtle change here or there from the end of the rainbow jackpot or bottom of the cliff carnage.
  11. Looks like the "potential" starts next Thursday per 12z GFS
  12. I'm trying to get myself from looking beyond 24 hours before this "hobby" kills me! Lol
  13. is everyone at lest half their seasonal snow totals then ?
  14. I think you’ll get some. But you are on the fence.
  15. Wow! CMC and GooFus is like a weenie parade.
  16. Only if @Scraffisn't driving, after seeing his fridge....dear lord!
  17. Gfs with 3 shots over 6 days there. Really close to an extended event too just missed some h5 energy that run. The signals are there let’s do this.
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