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Seemed like one bad run at 00z . With that cold high up there and - NAO. Cold should be the thinking

I'll take the 984mb low over the cape

This was my thinking as well. Bummer .

9z SREFS have a few fun members Well north of 3z

The bigger picture has been how we can’t get much precipitation of any P-type with the expanding drought across the U.S heading into the warm season. We had the one major system in late January with very high snow ratios before the mixing began. Even the clippers in December started out higher ratio before the mixing and dry slot arrived.

It's certainly possible we may not get much of anything out of this one but chances for something is at least better than 24 hours ago.

06z runs did look a bit colder again for late week. It’s like 00z all saw something to go warmer and then ticked it back a bit at 06z. Still need to wait and see on that.

Recent trend is not our friend. Let’s see if 12z can flip it back

Maybe this is our icestorm?

Wet ? Nah it’s been talked about as snowy period on all ensembles etc. A rainy week seems unlikely

We don’t get tingly about rain however

It may be one of those deals that has a band well north even if what’s modeled

Skied at Sugarbush on Thursday. It was very good. At Killington yesterday and found similar conditions. Stuck to groomers but peeking into woods coverage looked excellent. On the lifts, met multiple people from Midwest who had pivoted from western resorts to the east because of the lack of snow in the west. It should be a big week with vacations.

Why do we always end up back at the shit gfs showing the solution we want the most? there’s been good trends north on many models, but gfs is coldest at the surface

That's because they're all tingly about useless overnight trends

Is the GRAF model still showing a blizzard?

And a huge change with the west coast storm.

Everything should be onshore and better sampled at 12z..

We will be lucky to see more than an inch out of this. The trough is severely positively tilted, goes negative way too late because the phase is way late and occurs as it’s moving away over the open Atlantic and the flow is extremely fast, this thing is going to have the jets on. But this is my last comment on it, don’t want to get accused of trying to take your snow away. Btw, the new EURO AIFS just dropped accumulations again and the CMC/RGEM/GEPS want nothing to do with it. Best of luck tomorrow night

Was in the berks yesterday, surprised at the amount of snow up there and still a solid deep winter appeal. Way more than MBY. My pack is ripe and crusty, took a hit yesterday. I’d happily take a little refresh

I would love for the 6z GFS to be right for tomorrow pm… Hopefully we get some model consensus later today.

It’s been a slow trickle north. Promising look for south coast.

Yeah, kind of meh on guidance

Dude stop. We don't expect something big and most of us would be perfectly happy with a few inches considering where we were just 24 hours ago. You even just the other day posted the results of every single model run being a "miss" in the other thread, that's clearly not the case right now - maybe acknowledge that before finding yet another way to highlight what's working against us.

Because it’s been trending warmer recently and looks like mostly rain for SNE at the moment