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The weather channel weather app showing 80 and 83 for next Thursday and Friday here….that might be a little aggressive lol….it had 60’s last night. Probably be gone in the next few hrs anyway…thing is all over the map.

Hello Baseball! Go Yanks! .

We should be close to normal temperatures today (low to mid 50's) before a brief spike to well above normal for The Phillies Opener (upper 60's). Then back to below normal temperatures Friday through the weekend. Shower chances increase tomorrow night into Friday morning with a cold front.

We should be close to normal temperatures today (low to mid 50's) before a brief spike to well above normal for The Phillies Opener (upper 60's). Then back to below normal temperatures Friday through the weekend. Shower chances increase tomorrow night into Friday morning with a cold front.

The coming winter is going to be heavily influenced by how potent El Nino becomes, and it's orientation.

Yea, I missed on March this year, however, I did mention in my outlook last fall that the risk was warmer because it was dependent on a successful SSW....and obviously the can got kicked. This actually helped my DM aggregate seasonal call because I'm too warm.

the team at klot crushing it as usual

any report from Jan 26-27, 2015? @snywx as well

Areas like the CT Shoreline have been nearly 10° lower for the average highs compared to NJ this month with the backdoor pattern. Coastal areas are normally colder this time of year. But the stalling warm fronts near NYC have enhanced the gradient. Monthly Data for March 2026 for Upton NY NWS CWA Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 54.8 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 54.4 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 53.9 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT COOP 53.9 NY PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL ICAO 53.7 NJ HARRISON COOP 52.9 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 52.5 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 51.8 NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 51.6 CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 51.4 NY MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP WBAN 51.3 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 50.6 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 50.3 CT DANBURY COOP 50.2 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 50.2 NY SHRUB OAK COOP 50.1 NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 50.0 NY CENTERPORT COOP 49.8 CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 49.5 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 49.1 NY SYOSSET COOP 49.0 NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 48.8 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 48.7 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 48.3 NY ST. JAMES COOP 48.2 CT OXFORD WATERBURY WBAN 48.1 NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 48.1 NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 47.9 NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 47.7 CT GUILFORD COOP 47.5 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 46.8 NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 46.7 CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 46.6 CT GROTON NEW LONDON AP WBAN 46.0 NY CARMEL 4N COOP 45.5

Personally, I wasn't shocked that 2024-2025 didn't produce in terms of snowfall...my forecast totals were pretty damned accurate, as they were this past season.

Well, obviously the globe has continued to warm over the past 11-12 years, but you are also neglecting to mention that winter 2024-2025 featured a strongly +WPO. This past season had a strongly -WPO, as did 2013-2014 and 2014-2015, and what do you know...the snowfall showed up. Obviously not to the extent of the 100" in 30 days like 2015, but I think we all understand that that has a very low return rate, regardless of CC. I know there was a school of thought that this +WPO regime would be permanent as a result of the warmth in the western Pacific, but this past season clearly validated those of us that have maintained that these oscillations will remain cyclical in nature.

Inverted trough starting to show up on some models Friday night into Saturday morning.. looks a bit south and west for now though

I don't think these are mutually exclusive. It was warm for a couple of different reasons. 1982-1983 is the only super El Nino that was a accompanied by somewhat of a -WPO, which may help to explain why it's the only one to have featured decent snowfall throughout the NE.

The atmospheric response in 23-24 was a full super El Niño when viewed through the intensity and location of the 500mb ridge in North America and warmth along the Northern Tier. The troughs across the South and East along with the Aleutian low were much weaker than we typically see with stronger El Niños. It’s a similar effect to what we have seen the last two winters with the ridges becoming more expansive than 13-14 and 14-15 leading to a much smaller trough across the Great Lakes and Northeast So we didn’t get the magnitude of the cold or snow experienced during the 13-14 and 14-15 winters during 24-25 and 25-26. Goes to the shrinking Northern Hemisphere cold pool relative to similar teleconnections during the past. So metrics like ONI, RONI, and PDO need to be filtered through this newer expression of the ridges and troughs to arrive at the sensible weather.

Try consolidating your data you will find the story matches my above analytics.

Did you guys get any accumulation? Im in Florida its 80 here....

33° with a nice sun pillar to start the day in Burnsville. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

I will be on the Tug Hill Plateau Saturday morning, so this may actually happen.

Things that make ya go "hmmm".....

30⁰ here atm

Hope ‘Springs’ eternal! Stay well, as always …….

Probably nyc south