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Looks like it will be a fun 7-12 minutes lol

Hadn’t seen any in a few weeks. Yesterday they said …hey! Let’s fuck with y’all now!

Frankly until the PDO becomes less hostile (I don’t necessarily mean we go into a truly favorable PDO just that we get out of this run of near record hostility within the longer term PDO cycle) I don’t think the enso state means all that much. Out goalposts (outside the coastal areas where one or two 6” storms makes or breaks it) is likely between a total dead ratter and a median/80% of mean type winter. Of course the problem with persistence as the basis for a forecast is the pattern can flip and you don’t always know ahead of time when that will be. That said if we get to December without any sign the PDO is going through a significant phase alteration our fate is probably locked in.

Not duds for the MA region as a whole. The bomb cyclone in Jan 2018 and the 'Cape' storm in early Jan 22. There were additional light to moderate events for the coastal plain in those winters too. Sorry it didn't work out for the NW crew, but that's just kinda bad luck. Roll the dice with those synoptic setups again.

11 hours, seems less than that. I guess we only notice when the sun is up, versus twilight during dawn and dusk...

Betting line is open for the strongest mesonet/asos wind gust with the frontal passage this evening. I'm going with 45mph at Keedysville.

70 and. Breezy.

It won’t reach the bay because the mountains are going to be an anti rain force field.

Hum much more aggressive that most models which are trending poorly due to bad timing

74 here now, definitely t-shirt weather

very warm i even saw a few people wearing t-shirts..

Posted purely for entertainment value. We’ll see if that trough is still there a week from now.

Trash night, so I’m expecting a good gust or two when the front rolls through. 72F

That was hard to watch last year. Very hard . .

The gulf had more snow than you lol.

64 for the low here in Lizella. Got a drenching 0.15" from the little front that has now finished passing through. Was nice to see the clouds spittle a little down our domain, though. It's been a while and I could see the squirrels looking at each other in my acorn-dappled yard, their eyes blinking in the tiny drops, and go,"What's that stuff?"

No I've just seen several posters in and around the forum say that this winter is looking bleak because of the ENSO, the record water temperature of the coast of China, and global warming.

68 here

The QBO differences you point out are real. I am not sure why he grouped things as he did.

Once again the models 3 days out were way overdone. Maybe we'll get lucky and get a half inch

Angry bee season. They don't mess around in September and October.

Had a good view of it from the east side this morning. It was impressive.

I do think the mountains fair well this season. It could be hell in between cold shots but the pattern likely favors a lot of nw flow action with brief cool downs. The lakes are extremely warm compared to normal which will delay if not prevent them from icing over.

I'm not expecting much here tonight or tomorrow. The ingredients just aren't there. Set expectations low and once in a while be pleasantly surprised.

These warm days really over perform. Actually balmy out