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Per the 12z sounding at IAD, the Conv. Temp is 93°. Hoping to get us into the low 90s to maximize whatever we can today.

If you really want to see something depressing, check out the consistently large data gab of 00z/12z RAOBs across the intermountain west, desert southwest, and upper plains. Watching the US upper air network get decimated willy nilly is just a sight to behold.

-51F at 35k feet. @nycwinter hoodie weather. Should beat any wx into NYC terminal.

Am I gonna have to worry about any storms here during the 1-5pm range? Got an appointment I and some errands to run and was hoping I could ride my bike.

High stakes weekend... EPS/GEFS and EC are wettest models, but if anything maybe ticking drier AI-GFS/EC and GFS driest... 12z AI-GFS still a shutout until late Monday, but ticking less suppressed

88/70 with a heat index of 93 Still no 90. High of 89.3 so far but there's a very light sea breeze. Toasty on the south shore

The Brunswick tornado was a brief ER-0 event about 4 miles SW from town center, and did almost no damage. The Phippsburg tornado formed just past noon about 15 miles SE from the first one. It was an EF-1 with winds to 100 mph A pair of waterspouts/tornadoes moved northward from the Gulf of Maine during the early afternoon of Thanksgiving Day. The waterspouts/tornadoes formed along a warm frontal boundary that was associated with an area of low pressure which was bringing snow to much of the state of Maine. The first waterspout/tornado moved ashore over the southern tip of the Phippsburg peninsula near Bald Head, crossed Small Point, moved over The Branch, went ashore again on Hermit Island, lifted, reformed over Tottman Cove, and then went ashore once again near West Point. The second tornado/waterspout reportedly touched down as a waterspout south of Brunswick in Middle Bay, then moved ashore near the northern end of Mere Point Neck, moved back over water at the northern end of Maquoit Bay, then moved back over land and crossed Bunganug Road before dissipating.

Clouds came in too fast to keep the heat going. .

I drove through a pretty heavy downpour on the taconic yesterday. Unfortunately at home it didnt rain much and I had to water the grass seed I put down on sunday (in a vain attempt to making the front lawn look less than abominable). 93f in the bronx now.

Going to be interesting to see how much severe weather actually develops here this afternoon as the front is already moving east fast and runs from Milford PA southwest down to around Harrisburg with no mesoscale discussions or any severe watches/warnings anywhere-AS OF 12 NOON RWR from KCTP SPC Products Page

Stein skinny dip https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/2057070943621541916?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

A few cumulus starting to appear in Fairfax City.

Got snowed on yesterday up here outside Whitehorse, Yukon Territory.

It will never be the same.

Me too but I was pretty surprised to see that MDT topped out at only 93 yesterday. If you would have asked me at the beginning of the day I would have put good odds on hitting at least 95. Weather always has a way of teasing us, guess that's why we love/hate it haha.

CPC also making comparisons to 1997 now:

88/67. Love it

HRRR's still a bit out of range. 3K NAM is wild

https://www.sltrib.com/news/environment/2026/05/07/utahs-data-center-could-create/

HRRR continues to be pretty wimpy most runs, the RRFS has consistently shown a stronger signal and the FV3 GFS and NAM do too

Lol I just looked at the GFS. Ok, maybe the STJ has opened for business. Literally the entire SE area that is currently classified under drought is covered with red heavy precip amounts the next 10days. Crazy how basically it's just an inversion of the US drought monitor map.

Finished up some yard work from last night and it is miserable outside....

I hear you brother. I think many of us still have flashbacks. I was down by the lake last night and couldn’t help but think how ironic it was to see it at record low levels. It immediately reminded me of that day and what I saw on the opposite end of the spectrum.

Come on guys. Where have you all been for the last two years? I wouldn't write this whole upcoming weekend off as a washout. Maybe this time they won't be wrong and the forecast will verify...but I wouldn't bet on it.