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This is officially the wettest July to date in RDU history!
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75 / 55 2 more days of great dry weather before we head into an unsettled stretch Mon - Wed/Thu with on /off showers rain / storms as trough cuts off into the northeast. Beyond there and in time for the weekend a dry stretch Fri - next weekend. Overall below normal the next 7 - 10 days beyond there warmer to potentially hotter period from 8/3.
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Woke up last night a few times and each time I heard a light steady rain which is good for the drought. Unfortunately I didn't put my new rain gauge out because none of the forecasts showed any rain for us!
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warm and rainy. incredibly easy forecast
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Another downpour this morning. We are really eating into that drought now. Thanks El Nino!
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57 this morning
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Going to Sky Meadows always makes me want to buy a few acres out there with a modest house and live happily. Then I look at the prices in, say, Delaplane, and see that others with way more money than me have already had that idea. Got a few sprinkles overnight from the stuff that slid by to the south. Perfectly happy keeping the clouds around.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
MN Transplant replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
There's a version I used in my graduate studies called NCAPE (Normalized CAPE). Normalized CAPE (J/kg)The NCAPE (Normalized CAPE) is CAPE that is divided by the depth of the buoyancy layer (units of m s**-2). Values near or less than .1 suggest a "tall, skinny" CAPE profile with relatively weak parcel accelerations, while values closer to .3 to .4 suggest a "fat" CAPE profile with large parcel accelerations possible. Normalized CAPE and lifted indicies are similar measures of instability.- 1,469 replies
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Rapid warming in the western IOD region and cooling in the eastern IOD region around Indonesia/Australia. The +IOD is coming on fast. Once it gets established, it’s going to project onto (constructively interfere) that huge El Niño standing wave signal you showed and it’s going to increase the Bjerknes feedback even more @40/70 Benchmark@BlizzardWx @csnavywx @donsutherland1 - Today
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Blizzard of 93 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
These well below normal last few days have knocked down the monthly temperature departure at MDT to just +1.5 through yesterday. It’s hard to believe with the two heatwaves that we had earlier this month, but outside of that, it’s been a fairly pleasant July in terms of temperature. The severe weather has been the worst part for many of us. @Mount Joy Snowman it’s time for your back of the envelope calculation for MDT’s final monthly departure estimate. Do you think there’s a chance that a near normal month goes in the books when all is said and done? -
A cool 60 degrees after a light rain of about 0.15. I like seeing no heat wave in the forecast
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Gorgeous morning to play a softball tourney
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Messy setup.
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I'm down here just inland from Fenwick. Light shows and clouds here this morning. Hopefully it clears up this morning.
