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@Bob Chill just got NAM’d

Looks like 12z NAM is a little better than 06z through 54 hours. Not quite as suppressed.

Well, what was your answer?

Start drinking them again.

Yeah I already expect cherry blossoms in DC, forsythia in Central Park, and 33° and pea soup fog here.

I have a colleague who returned to the office yesterday from Potter County - said he left with just about 10" OTG and had a low the other morning of -16.6. He wanted to know if that was cold enough to prompt me to wear a jacket.

I think i saw a couple flurries

We ice storm?

Just had some flurries here. Yay! 33F.

I wish i was going back up this weekend. Ughh...

Little lake effect streamer with a little whitening here in NW Chester County

Picked up just under 2" from the snow yesterday evening and overnight. Nice LES band on the west side. None of the high res models seem to have that.

I retired from drinking 40's of Steel Reserve

There’s obviously plenty of ways to get a torching cutter too but this H5 look is very CAD-ish up in New England.

Oh, so now you’re a rip and reader, and crushing everybody’s morning. What has happened to you Paul.

Lmao, you Beat me to it…frieken guy is killing everybody this morning. Dam.

If it ain't gonna snow give me a 60 degree Christmas Day

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 845 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 CTZ005>012-NJZ006-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-112200- /O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0010.251211T1345Z-251212T0900Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Hudson-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)- Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 845 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

I don’t fear the transition. I fear the staying power of the transition.

Kind of dead in here? It’s gonna snow yall

I was just rip and reading the GFS lol. But I just happened to look at the Euro...what a difference. anyways I am with you, I think the extent of the ridging we've been seeing will end up getting muted (though we probably still end up on the milder side).

On which model? There’s like 10 different variations of what I’ve seen for that period.

You’re just full of good news, aren’t ya?

We have some some amazing photographers in our forum. Some amazing pictures are posted in here.

Gotta say...for that Christmas period, it is getting a bit more difficult to find any potential to wedge at the surface. The position of the sfc low would favor deep southwesterly flow across the eastern third of the country. Doesn't look like there is any room for a high to our north or northeast.