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The east based nature went hand in hand with the overpowering STJ flooding North America with mild Pacific air. So even storms tracking south of the I-95 corridor were all rain near the coast. It was one of the rare cases of the STJ pumping the Eastern ridge in January causing it to link up with the Greenland block.

Not expecting much here-still mostly cloudy after an inch of rain

peak 38kt gusts at Port Arthur Texas. Now that could blow my hat off my head.

87 / 75 sun out we'll see how warm we go 850 MB temps pushing >17c

.06" wheeeeee

There’s moderate CAPE well into Southern New England now and sun just broke out here in Bergen.

Sunny and 92/76, HX of 104 and no breeze. YUCK

CANSIPS had a cool August for places that ended up +4F at a 0.0 month lead. In the south it had near 0F forecast, and it was +4-6f. Terrible forecast when the first 15 days of the month are already short range modeled.

question guys... during strong el niños, does nyc get a lot of snow, a lot of mix events or just mostly rain?

84/58 currently. A warm day for sure!

Lots of this this winter

Pretty oppressive out there today ngl

Nov and Dec are the warmest months. Matches the ENSO analog set. Kind of interesting that 01-02 which was the strongest +EPO on record never got above 82F in Fairbanks all earlier that year. But that's just 1 example.

Aug was the 5th consecutive month of +AO. Here's how that historically rolls forward to the cold season

DC reached 98 in the first week of October 2019. Several years within the last decade have had 80s well into October, sometimes for an entire week in the latter half. November 2024 also had an 80 degree day.

Its crazy to think an area that relatively far north can have an entire snow season with 0.2" or 1.2".

At least September means the heat can’t possibly stay too long right? Right? This year has been boring weather-wise since February here in comparison to elsewhere in VA. At least it’s wetter in recent weeks!

Yeah it's pretty unstable out there. CAPE exceeding 3K too. Lots of sun

I just saved a GFS image from their site and it was a 125kb png.

lol…I’m just wondering why the model images are so large to begin with. I don’t think I’ve ever saved a non animated model image that was over 1mb. Screenshots can be a little different. Maybe we can revisit storage amounts for each member group in the future, but the current is 41mb for members and 5mb per post. I can increase the 5, but I don’t want people to blow their storage on a few posts. I find it hard to believe wxmodels is producing 3-4mb images for every map of every model. I’m assuming you screenshotted them as jpgs.

We all know how this ends.

Wretched. Absolutely wretched.

I dunno, it's juicy out there. An hour of sun could be all it needs to pop.

Cowser made nearly an identical catch in Norfolk. https://www.mlb.com/video/colton-cowser-robs-a-homer