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August 5 1904: A Detroit Lakes woman is hit by lightning. It melts her hairpins and the steel in her corset, but does not kill her. For Wednesday, August 5, 2026 1843 - A spectacular cloudburst near Philadelphia turned the small creeks and streams entering the Delaware River into raging torrents. As much as sixteen inches of rain fell in just three hours. Flooding destroyed thirty-two county bridges, and caused nineteen deaths. It is believed that several small tornadoes accompanied the torrential rains, one of which upset and sank more than thirty barges on the Schuylkill River. (David Ludlum) 1961 - The temperature at Ice Harbor Dam, WA, soared to 118 degrees to equal the state record established at Wahluke on the 24th of July in 1928. The afternoon high of 111 degrees at Havre, MT, was an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms raked eastern South Dakota. The thunderstorms spawned half a dozen tornadoes, produced softball size hail at Bowdle, and produced wind gusts to 90 mph south of Watertown. Hot weather continued in eastern Texas. Afternoon highs of 100 degrees at Houston and 106 degrees at Waco equalled records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Indiana and Lower Michigan to Pennsylvania and New York State during the day. Thunderstorms in Michigan produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Ashley, Hastings and Lennon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma, and from Iowa to the Upper Ohio Valley, with 216 reports of large hail or damaging winds between early Saturday morning and early Sunday morning. Thunderstorms moving across Iowa around sunrise produced extremely high winds which caused ten million dollars damage to crops in Carroll and Greene Counties. Thunderstorm winds at Jefferson IA reached 102 mph. Afternoon thunderstorms produced tennis ball size hail at Bay Mills, WI. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 5 Wed Blogger Day 5 Wed National Couscous Day 5 Wed National Dash Cam Day 5 Wed National Underwear Day 5 Wed Our Lady of Africa 5 Wed Work Like a Dog Day

Seems like you got a good grasp on what the future holds! Can you tell me tonight's lottery numbers? Powerball is at $786 million.

Yuck I dont think anyone anywhere likes murky high dew point weather. All it does is cause more air pollution by trapping car exhaust particulates closer to the surface and causes breathing difficulties for many. I live on a higher elevation now with very little vehicle traffic here (not even any street lights or traffic lights in this private community) and up here the air is thinner so the temperature falls quite a bit at night so higher dew points dont really mean much up here, I've even seen the Perseids up here through ground fog but I do want clear skies for the peak. But if there is any place that's relatively immune to climate change this is it. I run the heat up here even during the summer if it's not sunny. I'm going to look into solar panels because electric heat is very expensive and I dont feel completely safe with my propane fire places, people up here have had explosive problems with them. Literally!

Please deliver just one tstorm to me. Just one is all I ask.

I don’t deny that it could verify warmer than what the Euro is showing. The Aleutian Low/SE trough are not as cold in those areas as pre-2000s Ninos, I get it. The point I’m making is due to the fact that it’s record breaking, the odds of seeing a Jan 2024 type pattern (arctic cold dumping from the NW US, a parade of Great Lakes cutters) and Dec 2015 (more cutters) are lower, because if any Nino event is going to shut down the forcing that caused these to happen, it will be this one.

Saturday looks good

Yuck, this is ugly high dew point high air pollution weather with car exhaust particulates getting trapped near the surface. I hope this clears out before the Perseids peak next week.

At least where I was living for Irene, Ida and Floyd Irene was a distant third compared to Floyd and Ida. Also on Floyd, I remember looking at the radar starting around 6am and it was a text book Predecessor Rain Event (PRE) in the making. Classic.

Noted the paragraphs about 1965 and 1999 the droughts back then were far worse than anything that has happened since.

Epic winter coming

Yes this is the rubber band effect this is why very hot and dry summers usually lead to snowy winters. It also happened in 1966-67.

Brief shower in Silver Spring here at noon; soupy mcsouperson out there.

A stronger east based event. Not necessarily the exact anomaly distribution. What do you mean by trending colder since we are just starting to get into the winter range now from earlier forecasts?

Well the second eof i would add would be more reprsenttive of central pacfic el ninos for example in the dec jan eofs the -olr is further east then many central pac ninos and so is the minimum mslp correlation on the mei map l you can also see the sst are more favorable for ep nino. As for v wind no its not as important as u wind in the dynamics of enso sure v wind can be an indirrect enso forcer but it isnt as direct as u wind because u wind triggers the down/upwelling kelvin waves which are critical to enso v wind can do no such thing. In terms of wind and slp going hand in hand thats true so if we got rid of v wind i would say we can count things all the same. As for the wwbs yes they are important but im saying an enso event shouldnt be punished inhertly bc its wwbs were 20 degrees west of typical that could still produce a strong event just more center based then typical for strong events. As for ohc the reason I was adding it wass because mei is designed to measure how coupled the system is and to me high ohc is part of that coupling as well s ocean sfc currents. In terms of mid lattidues I dont really have anything to say on that tbh

Im getting more heavy tropical rain showers. My area is definitely doing well today. I'm sitting in my truck getting ready for a hike.

I don't agree that it's more east-based than 1997, but that is beside the point. You are obsessing over the temp anomalies themselves....it will be above average. We get that. The model will be too cold...got it. But why is it trending colder this late in the game is my point.

This is an even stronger east based event than 1997-1998 was. The charts below are for what actually verified in C and F departures for that era. It was more extreme than general El Niño correlations.

Got a whopping .19".

Rain stopped at Coppin State for now and sky is clearing. Absolutely sickeningly humid though, to the point the front doors of my building are fogged over.

Super El Niños are significantly warmer than canonical El Niño patterns. None of the seasonal models were warm enough for either 2023-2024 or 2015-2016. This was probably the case also with whatever guidance they were using for the 1997-1998 winter forecast also. Correlations can give general ideas of which areas will be typically warmer or relatively cooler, but are not designed to handle extreme events like this one and the magnitudes of both 500 mb ridging and warmth.

stfu already

I think it's important not to automatically dismiss the correction towards default El Nino leading into the strongest El Nino in history.

Been pretty consistent down pours all morning in warrenton. Sun peaks of for couple minutes and boom another down pour

About 5 miles N of Winchester on the east side of 81

I'm sure he picked up some today but the blob was definitely north of him this morning over me