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  2. I'd be wary of the gradient setting up farther north versus south on this. There should be a pretty solid narrow, elongated axis of heavy snow though. Even some hints at a bit of a MAUL on some soundings
  3. .55" rain last 24 hrs. Very close to the 7 model blend from last Thursday.
  4. Here is a clown map... over 200" sounding on near the Michigan bluff area. Looks like CA gets their water supply after all.
  5. Have we had a coastal like that at any point this season, even out to sea? Feel like save the the mega SWFE, we’ve trended towards weaker and less phasing all winter. Im deeply deeply skeptical of these runs for next week. Ensembles aren’t overly enthused
  6. Ended up with .50" yesterday. Hopefully that washed the roads off decently. Low was 47.
  7. Monday a.m. low 34. 0.50” rain on Sunday.
  8. DT’s weekend rule from back in the olden days.
  9. Looks like between 2-4 inches of the snow, ice pack left on the ground (at my place) to melt this week. The snow piles...thats a different story.
  10. 33 / 29 cloudy. Hope to see some clearing later today as it looks to be sun-less much of the week. Overall near / above avg and wetter week ahead. Next weekend and the period into the 23/24th looks interesting, before then, warmer and wetter with showers and light rain Wed - Fri. 2/16 - 2/21 : Warmer - above avg overall / wetter (2/18 - 2/20) 2/22 - 2/24 : Period to watch for next system 2/25 - beyond : Overall near / below avg
  11. Screw that rain .. I was a snowstorm, if it's not gonna snow then be clear and sunny!
  12. I just completed my study of La Niña March temperatures by MJO phase at Baltimore (as a geographically centered rep. of the E coast). Before I show Mar, here’s a review of what I found for Feb Niña by phase: 1: +2.1 (near Niña Feb climo) 2: +4.4 (2nd warmest) 3: -1.5 (coldest) 4: +3.3 5: +3.1 6: +5.5 (warmest) 7: +2.2 (near Nina Feb climo) 8: +0.7 (2nd coldest) AVG: +2.5 Range: 7.0 ————— Now, here’s the just completed March Niña by phase: 1: +1.0 (near Niña Mar climo) 2: -0.1 3: +1.8 4: +0.3 5: +2.1 (2nd warmest) 6: +2.6 (warmest) 7: -1.7 (coldest) 8: -0.7 (2nd coldest) AVG: +0.7 Range: 4.3 ——————— So, how does March compare to Feb? -phase 6 warmest on avg for both -phase 7 coldest on avg for Mar vs phase 3 for Feb -avg anomaly for Mar (+0.7) not as warm as that for Feb (+2.5), which is intuitive -Range of variation of averages by phase in Mar (4.3) not nearly as large as that of Feb (7.0), which is somewhat intuitive since temperature volatility tends to drop as we head into met. spring from the most volatile season, winter. This also may indicate that MJO, itself, as a factor may not have quite as much of an influence in March as it does in winter -It’s important to always keep in mind that these are just averages of a wide range for each individual case from MB to MA temp. anomalies. Thus, whereas averages are informative, they don’t tell us how any one case will actually turn out.
  13. About 1.5 here in Monroe, NJ 21.4 on the season
  14. Morning low fog - from snow melt. The banter part is...the poocopalypse dog version is at hand. Enough snow melt has occurred that...good lord. Got 17 bags on first sweep this AM before work.
  15. Pretty solid dip forming EOM. Not sure what the lag time is but could align with the 2nd week of March?
  16. Could always change your user name to EastonRA.
  17. 2” in Chester; whitened everything back up and no need to shovel.
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