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  2. Quite the storm coming into the Midwest. Significant snow for Minneapolis, blizzard conditions from Dakotas through UP Michigan. Even Detroit’s forecast calls for a few inches of snow on Monday and gusts up to 50 mph. Could be blizzard like conditions for that area too. Same with Milwaukee Sunday night and Monday morning. I wouldn’t be surprised if places outside the urban cities are upgraded to blizzard warnings (was already done for the Minneapolis suburbs). Big time lake effect will kick in Tuesday through Thursday as well. Good to see a big storm to change up the stagnant warm pattern across most of CONUS
  3. Hopefully Karen Rodgers falls down a lot and fumbles with Myles Garret in pursuit of the sack record.
  4. Rainy day in Cleveland tomorrow. You never know.
  5. I'm on the N edge with low expectations. N/NW wind with NE 850mb will keep the Lake hammer just to my S. A little syn of 3" (3-7" forecasted for TH) is all I'm expecting. WSW issued because of blowing with 30-40+ mph winds. Just a little more of a jog N, and I'd be golden. They also have Wind adv & High wind warning along the shore as well.
  6. LOL how about his game plan all year? And in previous big games like the AFC Championship against KC? This game likely means nothing dude. GTFOH. HE SUCKS.
  7. If you can spare the money, try to find a way to drop $25 or something into whatever coffer is needed to keep Ethan Grunkemeyer in State College. Get him a couple of offensive linemen, two wide receivers, and a solid offensive coordinator and he's the guy. Save the $3M that was allegedly offered to Beau Pribula. A rental is not needed.
  8. Around here the accumulations don't seem like they are going to be that significant, 2-4" or so. However, the wind and flash freeze are going to make things bad for travel tomorrow night and Monday morning. Actually it's probably a good thing we don't really have a preexisting pack for this storm or else this would be a slam-dunk ground blizzard for most of the region. Further N, easily the most severe winter conditions since 1/12/24, if not the March 23 set of blizzards. Wouldn't be surprised if the Blizzard Warning gets extended S into WI from the UP and the LE belts.
  9. There is a chance, if their defense shows up. Lately their D has been a sieve.
  10. Good chance of some freezing drizzle and or light freezing rain tomorrow afternoon. 00z HRRR soundings show a classic ZR signature for parts of the interior.
  11. I think CAPE has been drinking. You don't score 41 points on the road against a playoff team with your backup QB and fire your OC. It's interesting that Lamar has not beat a team over .500 all season.. both wins against good teams were Huntley.
  12. I think the Browns have a chance to win tomorrow with no Watt or Metcalf.
  13. Henry- 216 and 4 TDS In a game that probably means nothing. Monken is fucking incompetent.
  14. Another narrow miss of the 79 from 1991 today. Just seems to me 80 is not possible there in December unless its full sunshine and deep WSW flow. Today was just a bit too cloudy. Tomorrow definitely too many clouds so probably 73-75 is best that could happen.
  15. Henry on the bench for the last 12 mins of the game last week sealed it. The AFC championship game where he refused to run the ball was the 'hint' that he had no fucking clue what this team was about. Wrong guy.
  16. Its over lol. Changes must be made tho. Ridiculous this is how it ends.
  17. I’m feeling pretty good about this. I would favor the lower end for Boston and the higher end for NYC because of how December played out, but I don’t see any reason to deviate from the general idea of a great winter but not historic (eg 95-96, 14-15, 10-11) in terms of snow totals. Cold air has not been an issue, and there are signs the pattern could turn more stormy in early Jan with hints that the STJ will become more active.
  18. Blizzard to the north of me, tornadoes to the south, here I am, stuck in the middle with you
  19. Def seems like blizzard conditions will occur along the Lake Michigan shoreline in Western Michigan on Monday. Locally, the highest winds may not quite coincide with the best snows. Probably end up with an advisory IMBY.
  20. UVA wins, Caps win, I'll take it.
  21. I think it’s over. Although Henry should have gone down before the end zone.
  22. FIRE MUTHAFUCKING MONKEN. Thank you.
  23. I’ve been quite curious about what phases the MJO would be in during the heart of the widespread historic US warmth of late Dec, Dec 23-27. We needed to wait due to several days of reporting lag. Would any of it be in the typically chilly in the E 1/2 of the US phase 8? Well, now we have the answer for the first 3 days, Dec 23-25: not surprisingly, none of those first 3 days were in phase 8. It turns out that Dec 23-4 were in very weak phase 7 while Dec 25 was in very weak phase 6, which I consider intuitive: 2025 12 23 -0.28945175 0.37228486 7 0.47157007 Gottschalk10_method:_OLR_&_ACCESS_wind 2025 12 24 -0.12800699 0.45807526 7 0.47562456 Gottschalk10_method:_OLR_&_ACCESS_wind 2025 12 25 0.16766728 0.36077648 6 0.39783412 Gottschalk10_method:_OLR_&_ACCESS_wind Based on a combo of the above diagram and a related adjustment to the model prog consensus, I’m predicting that Dec 26th will be in very weak 4 and Dec 27th will be in either weak 3 or weak 2. Will we get back into phase 8 before the end of Dec? The GEFS, JMA, and CFS with my adjustments suggest likely not whereas the adjusted Euro suggests there’s a chance for at least one day of weak 8 then. Will we get back into phase 8 in early Jan? As of now there’s a moderate chance of mainly a weak 8, but that’s all I can say right now due to model disagreement and it being too far out for a confident prediction.
  24. To answer the previous poster's question, these are averages I worked out previously, for each 30-year interval (except I added 1869 and 1870 to the 1871-1900 interval). These are monthly averages for both precip and snowfall ... the general trend for snowfall seems to be that 1991-2020 returned close to the peak value set by the earliest interval, or exceeded it (Feb), and in most cases 1931-1960 or 1961-1990 had the lowest 30-year average. For December however, the peak average was 1931-1960 and the recent rebound was not as robust as for Jan or Feb. Not part of this discussion but it is clear also that average precip has increased considerably for most months in the 1991-2020 interval. It should be added that if one extended 1991-2020 to 1991-2025, it would probably not be as robust a recovery for snowfall, the averages would fall back closer to the lower thirty-year intervals. Month ___ 1869-1900 ____ 1901-30 _______ 1931-60 _______ 1961-90 ______ 1991-2020 ___ all data JAN ______ 3.60 _ 9.0 ___ 3.40 _ 7.4 ___ 3.29 _ 6.1 ___ 3.50 _ 7.6 ___ 3.48 _ 8.7 ____ 3.49 _ 7.8 FEB ______ 3.64 _ 9.0 ___ 3.69 _ 9.4 ___ 2.84 _ 6.8 ___ 3.29 _ 8.5 __ 3.19 _10.2____ 3.33 _ 8.8 MAR _____ 3.75 _ 5.9 ___ 3.76 _ 5.1 ___ 4.01 _ 5.4 ____ 4.13 _ 3.3 ___ 4.29 _ 5.0 ____ 3.99 _ 4.9 APR ______ 3.03 _ 1.1 ___ 3.79 _ 1.3 ___ 3.44 _ 0.9 ___ 4.31 _ 0.4 ___ 4.09 _ 0.8 ____ 3.72 _ 0.8 MAY ______3.13 _ 0.0 ___ 3.50 _ 0.0 ___ 3.67 _ 0.0 ___ 4.45 _ 0.0 ___ 3.96 _ 0.0 ____ 3.73 _ 0.0 (Tr) JUN _______3.12 _ 0.0 ___ 3.74 _ 0.0 ___ 3.31 _ 0.0 ___ 3.69 _ 0.0 ___ 4.54 _ 0.0 ____ 3.67 _ 0.0 JUL _______ 4.60 _ 0.0 ___ 4.45 _ 0.0 ___ 3.70 _ 0.0 ___ 4.35 _ 0.0 ___ 4.60 _ 0.0 ____ 4.34 _ 0.0 AUG ______ 4.42 _ 0.0 ___ 4.42 _ 0.0 ___ 4.44 _ 0.0 ___ 4.16 _ 0.0 ___ 4.55 _ 0.0 ____ 4.40 _ 0.0 SEP _______ 3.59 _ 0.0 ___ 3.45 _ 0.0 ___ 3.86 _ 0.0 ___ 3.95 _ 0.0 ___ 4.31 _ 0.0 ____ 3.83 _ 0.0 OCT _______ 3.51 _ 0.0 ___ 4.02 _ 0.0 ___ 3.14 _ 0.0 ___ 3.56 _ 0.1 ___ 4.38 _ 0.1 ____ 3.72 _ 0.0 (Tr) NOV ______ 3.63 _ 1.8 ___ 2.66 _ 0.2 ___ 3.39 _ 1.1 ___ 4.53 _ 0.4 ___ 3.58 _ 0.5 ____ 3.56 _ 0.8 DEC _______3.07 _ 6.1 ___ 3.77 _ 6.2 ___ 3.25 _ 6.5 ___ 3.91 _ 3.3 ___ 4.27 _ 5.1 ____ 3.65 _ 5.5 year _____43.10 _33.0__ 44.64 _29.6__42.34 _26.9__47.82 _23.5__49.40 _29.9___45.43 _28.6
  25. 36.3/33.8 at 10:45 pm. Forecast low for the night from NWS is 36....
  26. To be fair, before the interception they were still in it. And even with that, I’m still not convinced. The Ravens are like the 2010 Boxin…
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