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  2. Normal defines something as standard, typical, or average, conforming to a regular pattern rather than being abnormal or unusual. It refers to actions, states, or measurements that fall within expected, natural, or healthy limits. As a noun, it refers to the standard condition, or in math, a line perpendicular to another. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7] my interpretation in this instance: A typical spring back and forth temperature pattern with frequent bouts of rain, and thunderstorms including some early spring snow events. Interspersed with some spectacular weather days reminding one summer will soon be here in all its beautiful grandeur.
  3. A Nino should make for a wet summer in a lot of areas which would help keep heat away. The country could use the rain.
  4. On X today ABC Chief Meteorologist Ginger Zee answered a message I sent to her regarding the controversial NCEI temperature adjustments that have been made to the actual historical raw NWS Cooperative Data. Below is her response and a link with her "deep dive" report on the controversy. To be honest her report for the most part simply repeated the standard response saying "the science supports it" which is what you will always hear. For many folks with that answer from a professional meteorologist, they will simply nod their heads and say well if the science says it must be so. This in most cases will often stop any further questioning of the data. To Ginger's credit she agrees with my long-held stance in the video that science should always be questioned and evaluated. I certainly have questions and have to date not found any solid support for the consistent 2-to-3-degree chilling of the old data for every single year from 1895 through 2000. So, I will continue to question these adjustments. Science is always about questioning data not blindly following! https://t.co/e5CFYdO803 Below is my response to Ginger with the data to try and support any adjustments to the raw data. Thanks Ginger but you didn't get into the deeper detail as to the explanation for the changes made to not only the ASOS sites at Airports you mentioned but to the NWS Cooperative Observer Data. A case in point is the long running Coatesville 1SW NWS Cooperative Station data for the philly burbs of Chester County PA with data from 1894 through 1983. There are many reasons given for these post observation ad hoc adjustments. The most common are station moves and time of observation adjustments. Below shows that for this station NCEI chilled 86 of the 89 years between 1894 through 1982. Below are the station moves grouped by year. These were all within a couple miles in each case with annual clear consistent cooling adjustments applied to the raw data. The time of observation adjustment also is not relevant in this case as only for 11 years (1910-21) was the daily observation taken only in the evening. So how and why exactly was this particular station chilled so consistently across 97% of all years?
  5. Today
  6. Two ugly losses to a lowly A’s team and two hits in last 14 innings . After the UConn loss. Not a great time here
  7. Next week is our I&A so it’s mostly PI planning related and it’s a big project…but still a lot of meetings. I feel for the developers.
  8. Well we had to get you on the board. I mean it was 19-0
  9. Been a good normal Spring thus far.
  10. Low of 43, high of 70. Wind kept us from bottoming out.
  11. Next Wednesday looks like it may be the day. I don't think the burbs but Philly maybe? 60F
  12. global ocean temps from previous super el nino were cooler then what is forecasted to be this year super el nino. the 82 one global ocean temps were much cooler then normal..
  13. Yeah... I can feel the moisture being sucked out of my skin
  14. First tick of the year on me in the books
  15. Two years ago we were all reflecting on the second total solar eclipse in seven years. Now I look up and see boring. Only 19 more years until the next big total solar eclipse in the South. August 2045 will offer six minutes of amazing!
  16. Rain Saturday night was an Easter miracle. I don't see much more for a couple weeks. Might be able to get some quality precip late April but delays would not surprise me. Gotta chip away at what will become a significant SER and Mid-Atlantic ridge. Then getting into May (note weeks 3-5 are notoriously awful forecasts) charts show WNW flow and only normal precip. Meh. Weeks 3-5 are considered the un-sweet forecast range beyond daily extended forecasting yet not covered by reliable seasonal signals. Hope for all our yards is El Nino signal kicks in quickly in June. Normal heights and seasonable moisture would open the door for summer thundershowers. We'll see if / how the drought impacts dewpoints though.
  17. Memphis Pyramid Effect.. or the Great Wall of the Mississippi River.. or a stubborn Southeast Ridge. My chips are on the latter. Frustrating!
  18. First time since October I don't see an arctic airmass moving southeast in the long range. Seriously.
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