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Still a while for leaf out to happen here. Some of the maples have just started to unfurl. Smaller stuff for sure but not the trees.

Not one . Look up

Illinois is the new Oklahoma.

I prepared for tomorrow morning by looking at a list of DCA "latest last freezes" through 2023. The most recent one on April 10 (or later) was 2016. More on this if DCA does indeed hit freezing tomorrow (it MIGHT not).

First thing they think is probably damn that windex!

Cranked mine up again last night. Still running. Hopefully last bag tonight.

I'm kind of trepidatious of picking up our top "need" after Malaki Starks. Good WR's are hard to come by - there is a big difference between the good and bad ones. I think when you have an all star QB that can run you have to make the team about speed. At least keep the range of availble picks open, imo.

Here comes the next WWB and downwelling KW for May. It is also likely to spawn more TC’s with the associated WWBs behind them…..

There were issues with the offense from a coaching side, imo. But either way we cannot afford to ignore the trenches: that is the main reason we lost last year. Could not get to the QB late in games. Could not protect Lamar. You HAVE to address that. I feel like our fanbase in general has a never-ending appetite for 1st rd WRs every year just out of habit, lol Adding a rookie WR doesn't help when the OL doesn't give Lamar any time. Trenches, trenches!

Truth! Only long running climate data works!

Truck was frozen shut this morning. New plants are doing ok. We'll see about tonight. Winds are howling.... No surprise :/

Say wut?

Will I ever turn off the pellet stove?

You can't tell by personal observations, of say snow, that things are progressing in a direction?

Anyone who received sleet/graupel today and consider it an event should contact ChescoWx immediately so he can update and upload his 1300+ spreadsheets across 18 servers worldwide. Unfortunately I was hung out to dry and did not have a event.... 48F Probably last freeze tonight, forecast low 29F

Looks like some garden variety storms tomorrow evening across much of S. MI, IL, IN and OH.

34 degrees this morning on a forecast of 41. I covered my tomatoes and will again tonight.

pea sized hail/ice falling..39°. seems more like sleet now

Radiational cooling is very efficient here with clear skies, low dews, no wind, and cold HP overhead. Nothing resembling UHI here. 29-30 seems doable. Should I cover my Hydrangeas or can they survive this and still bloom?

We'll see. It's a strong PMM spike relative to the PDO so this is a good test year.

Research link: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adv8621#:~:text=Other climate modes further complicate,and NPO%2C on ENSO evolution. As per that research: “A positive Pacific Meridional Mode (+PMM) acts as a crucial driver for developing eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño events, particularly by facilitating wind-evaporation-SST (WES) feedback that warms the subtropical Northeast Pacific and promotes westerly wind anomalies at the equator. This interaction commonly triggers EP-type El Niño, characterized by peak warming in the eastern Pacific, as opposed to the Central Pacific (CP) type.”

85% of our months are above average these days. The question is how we are relative to that 85% number

Yeah. I fully believe mostly warm temps and strong or super. I see the difference between basin wide vs EP as “do we get a couple of more cold intrusions on the back side of winter to try to get something to phase with that supercharged southern stream, or is it extremely limited like 97-98?” It’s really not a question that can answered by even the most skilled mets this early on IMO.

a lot more preliminary or confirmed tornado reports in central Illinois. The number of tornadoes on this list has gone up from 20 to 93

I guess that means I'm not one of "those that live in the woods". (Pic from late May 2024, quince blossoms, apple blossoms in background).