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what about adding NBM and NBM probabilities?

Looking for suggestions

Yeah, I was obviously wrong. Earlier scans made it clearer. Thought there was a shot it was just sidelobe contamination but very clearly was a tornado on the ground from those damage reports.

This is pretty cool!

Added GEFS AND EPS https://synoptic-weather-lens.base44.app

Fixed

Looking forward to the king, February 2026, being written about.

Awesome Steve! Some quick testing, the search field for locations might need a little work. I was able to change it to New London, CT from New York, but subsequent searches seem to be stuck with the little search icon in the right of the field just bouncing up and down instead doing anything.

.86 inches of rain here. Not as much as forecasted, but still appreciated.

I'm probably within a few inches, but on the low end. I'm also at a disadvantage in some storms being within 1.5 miles from the water, so there can be some minor variation locally.

Looks like Saturday is slipping away from us too.

same

https://phys.org/news/2026-05-rapidly-antarctic-ice-shelves-global.html

We’re not going to break 3/4” here so today’s rain while helpful will not get near close enough to alleviate the drought. Realistically we need what we got today twice a week to get back on track

I expect north GA to be doing a little better next week. It looks like we held steady this week, which is a good sign. I would say we got maybe an inch or a little less with the storms that came through last night, and hopefully more this weekend. Of course, after one of the driest springs I can remember, our rec baseball league released the playoff schedules and the All-Star rosters this week, meaning we'll have 6-10 teams on the field any given night now through July 1, and the 10-day forecast immediately populated with more rain than I've seen since December. Go figure. I'll take the rain, though. We can sure use it. It's still going to take an awful lot of rain to put any kind of real dent in the drought.

Band of snow shwrs moving through, and yet temps are in the upper 40's. Very cold above.

Great winter for the upper cape. I feel like you did higher than 60".

It's kind of funny that this "warm season" thread is all about snow, and the "cold season" thread was mostly about heat and dryness. Go figure!

Early data in for April. A very warm one mainly driven by the S sub areas. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.

Latest drought monitor is out. Chipping away at the extreme drought in Middle and West Tenn. Rainfall tally ended Tuesday so East doesn't have what just fell. I figure North Mississippi improved too. We have another week or so of a somewhat active pattern. Then it wants to shift back to the Midwest - which could still clip the Mid-South. East Tennessee needs more help before that shift. Some mid-range guidance has rain chances again in the 11-15 day period, so the week of May 18. Models try to bring one more trough through the Great Lakes that period. We'll see. Climo is gonna start favoring the Plains in late May.

I wonder if the below average precipitation departures (not just in our region but within the country), particularly the last several years are a product of what seems to be the peak of the +AMO regime. Or I shouldn't say directly related because there are always other factors but perhaps a large driver.

I had 3 on my coveralls, 2 on my shirt, and one between my sock and work boot from 2 hrs of tree field work Tuesday. Granted I'm sometimes laying on my side to base prune or saw stumps even with the ground, so I expect lots of hitchhikers when I'm out there. I prep with tucked clothes and then change out in the garage when done where I can check clothes inside and out and do a quick body check so I don't bring any with me inside the house. Permethrin sprayed on the outside of the workboots, socks, and field clothes then allowed to dry before using, has a dramatic effect. I hadn't sprayed the work clothes yet this year after washing them and storing them at the start of last winter, hence all the ticks Tuesday. Once I treat em I can usually crawl around the fields and woods and only see an occasional rider when I'm through for the day. Caveat is to let the spray completely dry, and keep my field work clothes out of the house away from pets, re-spray after 3 or 4 washings. PITA but better than plucking embedded vampires every day of the warmer months.

It was a TDS. Damage was reported almost immediately, but when you're warning or trying to detect tornadoes in rural areas with a high beam height, you're going to miss things. The same thing happened the other year in Garett County when the TDS pushed above 11,000 ft, the radar out of Pittsburgh finally saw it. Unfortunately, it was too late by then.