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https://recordtemps.in/mount-pocono-pennsylvania Thanks I really like that you appreciate all kinds of extreme weather not just the wintry type. I appreciate it all too but I'm much less enthused about severe weather after having a tree fall on the roof of this house back in 2018 and having to get part of the roof and the railing on the balcony replaced. Have a look at this incredible record from Mt Pocono. https://recordtemps.in/mount-pocono-pennsylvania See how the top 3 all time highest temperatures on record from there are all from the same heatwave in 1911 and how there is nothing else even remotely close to that torrid stretch? I find that absolutely incredible -- and out of the top 10 5 of them are from 1911 including one in May! After seeing this I started to wonder how incredible that 103 at Mt Pocono really was and I read up on lapse rates and how under sunny dry conditions the lapse rate is around 5.5 degrees per 1000 feet. Since Mt Pocono is around 2000 feet that would equate to an absolutely incredible sea level equivalent temperature of 114 degrees! Since we already have sea level equivalent pressure why can't we have sea level equivalent temperature too? I think this is a record that won't be broken in our lifetimes as outside of 1911 the next highest temperature recotded there is 95 and nothing above 94 in our lifetimes. That equates to a much more reasonable 105 to 106 maximum sea level temperature. I really would love to see some sort of map and explanation about the summer of 1911 and what made it so hot. And how both Mt Pocono and Newark maxed out at the same 103 temperature while Boston reached their all time high of 104 during that time period. I read that even the mountsins of Vermont and New Hampshire were over 100 degrees back then. By the way I find it amusing how some people complain about air conditioning costs and don't complain about the much higher costs of heating. They dont seem quite as happy when they use less heat in the winter. As for me if it's not snowing I dont have any use for cold weather especially if it's windy.

Radiative heat from the deck…should be over grass. Your spot may be better for rain though.

Yeah, it's better to go on Saturday. I did this the first Saturday of October in 2024, just before the Bridgehampton K-Mart closed, and the traffic wasn't that bad. Then, took the ferry to New London.

One thing for future reference. We have so many models now to chose from, and recently I had been looking at the ICON model. I've been watching it for the past several days, and it has a clear high bias for TC intensity in Dolphin's case. It tends to initialize the storm too low pressure and intensify it to the 880s once near China. That doesn't make much sense given how Dolphin keeps expanding from ERCs and its large eye already. And also it continues to gain latitude. Empirical observations over time show that TCs almost never regain their former intense "glory" after their initial first intense peak (often w/ a pinhole eye). So keep the ICON in mind for this b/c you know how some will pick the model that shows the absolute worst, and run w/ that! I still would like to see how the ICON handles long-tracked systems in other basins.

Holy torrential downpours in the Coatesville area this is some of the heaviest rain I’ve ever seen - at least as a fully functioning adult

Barely made 70 today on stiff E breeze.

Only 0.31” so far in Lebanon today .

What were some of the bigger totals you have heard? I had one person tell me 3" in Chevy Chase.

One thing that has been consistent, Well-defined circuation at 700/500 w/ a pool of high PWATs, so that may eventually add to rainfall up and down the E Coast.

That is a pretty concerning look for flash flooding potential across most of the Metro tonight into tomorrow morning. I honestly have no idea why the flood watches have not been extended into the City and beyond. Guess we'll see if other guidance is on board for this look.

Great post, absolute deluge here today.

HRRR and RRFS are in good agreement swaths up to 4" both SNE and NNE. Given how local media really leaned into drought conditions, this should silence them, EXCEPT BOS prop is still -8.45" for the yea (2" too low from the snow LEQ issues), while PVD/PWM are less than -3" and ORH/much of central and western new England are AOA Y-T-D! And the HRRR/RRFS seem to screw BOS again for sig rain. Gonna be a microdrought area soon! But no real impact since draining downstream and reservoirs to the W are filling up. Local drought is not the same as widespread drought. And short-term drought everywhere is not an issue now, it just long-term drought for deficits. I'm sure everyone's gardens large and small are doing just fine after the wet July, as one example!

I’ve had 15.58” since July 1. It’s moist out

.7 for the day - huge gradient immediately to the east

Region 1+2:

Side note: found this site recently. I may be behind the 8-ball and it's already well known around here but www.weatherfront.com is a newer model/radar site. I quite like it. Currently free as they are working on their Android rollout, already out on Iphone.

HRRR keeps the heaviest BAF-MHT south. Another valley 8” spot in CT.

I’ll make a note of this and perhaps entertain working on something that’s rainfall centric. I want to generate something that like this for higher profile events in the past for the Excessive Rainfall Outlook (ERO) desk, so perhaps this will be a reason to create a repository of events. We currently do Storm Summaries for winter events only, so maybe we can do something for the more formidable rainfall events. It would take a lot of time because we want the best information possible and strong write ups, so it would be a while, but I’ll certainly look into starting a project. Thanks Matt

Nothing unusual with a few trees flipping early.

I just found an up to date (July 29th) source of worldwide burnt acreage in 2026 vs 2012-25: I don’t want to minimize how terrible these fires are wherever they occur and also I realize there’s CC contribution to these though it’s pretty complex. However, it just so happens that the two lowest years of year to date burnt world acreage since 2012 as of week 30 (~July 29th) are none other than 2026 (lowest with 112 million ha) and 2025 (2nd lowest with 131). The remainder are way up at 162-216. The avg of 2012-25 is 193. Thus, 2026 is a whopping 81 million ha below the 2012-25 week 30 world avg! I’m guessing it’s probably caused largely by more favorable wx (some combo of wetter (like in S America) as well as fewer lightning strikes, lower temps, and/or lighter winds in dry areas), fewer arsonists, and/or better firefighting: @donsutherland1@WolfStock1

2.9” including torrential rounds of downpours this afternoon.

@GaWx @bluewave @donsutherland1 @40/70 Benchmark @csnavywx @Isotherm @raindancewx @Stormchaserchuck1 @BlizzardWx @LakePaste25 @EasternLI

Actually looks & feels like fall ish outside.

Finally getting some of the goods here after being mainly dry all day. Just had a heavy burst of rain. .45" according to the latest look at the Tempest gauge.