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You would think this was New England reading some of these more recent posts.

Meanwhile 2 weeks ago some on this board decided to cancel winter. .

I would give it 72 hours at least

euro and eps have been trending east, hopefully that can correct back.

I think we need to get out of this La Niña stuff. We’re either getting storms with too much warm air intrusion from 850 to 700 or fast moving NS systems that aren’t digging early enough (too much ridging out west?). Need a pattern that allows these components to play nicer together. Feels like it usually points back to downstream blocking. The main causes of that would make for an interesting research topic.

It certainly did.

Hopefully we don't bust high today and hit 40 lol. Only hit 12 here. Busted by 5 which is typical during cold spells for some reason.

It looks like the 6z GFS is also west of its 0z run. Close call w/ overnight modeling.

you can tell the GFS OP is out to lunch because the GEFS has no huge snowfall amounts south of us like the OP does - treat the OP like one of the ensemble members.

It’s still Tuesday, it’s not Thursday/Friday, models are bound to shift. It’s only a matter of what direction. If it is still OTS by that point, then we can conclude it is going that way. While GFS and Euro showed more OTS—the 12z WeatherNext 2.0 yesterday still showed snow over our region and not OTS

Not looking good for this weekend. Even looks too far east for the beaches at the moment.

Brutal for me to park at work today, too.

I'm going to have to check, but I'm not sure if I've ever had more than 10:1 (if that) in a 10" or greater snowfall. It might be a consequence of being surrounded by water, and sometimes the wind.

Busted way high on temps which I’m fine with, don’t wanna worry about bursting pipes.

Yea, my main concern with it is LBS or LBSW.

Maybe we have a Tuesday curse. We lost last weeks system on Tuesday…

It was only a matter of time until we had a run with a missed phase .

It looks like GSO got down to 8, Winston-Salem to 7.

I don’t know what is going to happen but I know the Piedmont Triad has discovered every way possible to miss a good snow in the last number of years. You should start expecting it to miss. And then it does lol .

Yet another illustration why extreme cold or heat on models rarely verifies. A week ago, models showed central North Carolina with widespread below or around zero temperatures, yet few places are even in the single digits now, outside of the Triad.

Yes. The SWE from this one might be high percentile for local snowstorms. Took me and my son about 3 hours to shovel the driveway.

Would love to see some of the Mets chime in on what they are seeing with a general view of all guidance. @eyewall @Disc @high risk

Hes right

I want some of this snow to melt. Its a friggin mess to park. Alot of friends who are teachers are complaining this morning. The snow is concrete right now.