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I'm figuring they would wait till after the 00z suite before issuing anything tbh

Yeah I normally trust the higher res version more less than 48 hours out. The regular NAM often doesn’t make much sense with mesoscale features due to its lower resolution.

RRFS is a warning event pretty much on S coast lol.

Here, I'll save you the trouble.

Plus it’ll be relatively short lived.

Tough call for them. Take a little extra time to think it through

Kinda late from LWX for their afternoon AFD

Who on here said the word torch? As far as cold wedging, central and northern New England? Sure. NYC is not going to escape the warmup, it’s coming. Gradient patterns favor New England, not NYC, although some on here think NYC is the new Fort Kent, Maine and go into full blown panic attacks and defense/attack mode if anyone dares mentions the words “NYC” and “warmup” in the same sentence. Guess it interferes with their wishcasts of non stop, unabated cold and snowstorms from November through the end of March

Colder than that

The comparison is valid since the Saranac Lake area has warmed +5.2° since 1991 in late December between 17th and 31st. NYC is up +4.6° over the same period. Many areas have experienced a steep rise in late December temperatures. Its another one of the repeating patterns which have become a regular occurrence as the climate has warmed.

Epicosity defined up there

rain in georgetown

We’re also now at the point that if this even so much nudges south, forget it. Congrats to Falmouth on an inch in that case

I bet $5 this thing starts as rain

That's like mid-upper 30's here.

3KM higher resolution

But if the blocking isnt more into the AK but more Western AK and into Siberia like the GEFS shows, assuming this is even right right,its not a cold look,you probably be seeing boundaries stalling out in NA somewhere and not your typical 1-40 and if the 850 V-winds kick up its probably more severe than winter

These always have them. 3K NAM improved as well

I feel like an ice storm in this area is pure fantasy. It just doesn’t happen. We are just close enough to the ocean.

That’s assuming it comes more north. Because right now I don’t see that.

rippim

I imagine Edmonton can get chanooks which he would absolutely hate. I bet it also it has a similar snowfall pattern to other places to the lee of the Rockies, namely big dog storms happen mostly in the spring and fall with the heart of the winter being rather boring. I’m only really familiar with Calgary though. Edmonton likely has more snow and less chanooks. The amount of CAD would be miserable to me though.

merry torchmas!!!

It’s still snowing. Unbelievable stuff out there on the mountain. Just deep powder everywhere. Today’s stake reading should put this year back in the all-time #1 position for this time of year since 1954. And it could be by like a half foot too.