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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
So here is a fun little project. It's CTP entire event database since 1996. Tried to normalize reports by population and homogenize costs to compare. You can do a neat little heatmap that shows preferred storm corridors to some extent. You definitely can't totally escape the rule that someone has to be there to make a storm report, but I did try to balance it out. I think there's almost 10,000 events. You can filter by all kinds of things. Enjoy!!! https://jns182wx.github.io/CTP_Storm_Catalog/ Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
.26" Better than nothing, but not by much.
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Radar looked ominous over me just now but the winds did not hit me
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good thunderstorm we had here. Heavy rain some wind and pea size hail. Continuous thunder and lightning. And .87 rain. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Getting good boomer and rainer here right now... -
Heaviest rain in awhile
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thank you. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
High in Juneau is a glorious 47! -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Going from a high of 57 to 93 in the next 5 days lol -
the storm fell apart as it got here but at least it rained and left us with this:
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You got My area circled. -
Had a warned storm roll through about an hour ago, mehish, only about .20" and a 31 mph gust.
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My point is when you have various people from various parts of the industry, as well as what I have been noticing too… It tells you that something isn’t ready for primetime. They got three months to figure this out.
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Yes, I had never actually seen the full video until I looked it up earlier today! I thought that looked like Clapton! But the video starts w/ a mini movie, and the song does not begin until 2:25, so I opted out of posting that!
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Tuesday looks like a scorcher
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Again, I would caution, just b/c a lot of ppl say one thing is true or similar, does not necessarily mean it is correct or close to reality. The bandwagon fallacy is most common in society. And w/ social media today, one person says something and it spreads like it is gospel. Groupthink is rife. So be careful. When the ETA came out (precursor to the NAM) in 1993, it had all sorts of problems. I recall them vividly, but they were fixed in time. So how it is any different here? Actually, it is different, but in a better sense than 33 years ago. We have *far* more models out there now to assist us and compare against any new model as to its shortcomings. So CoastalWx fear of his beloved S+ event forecasts are in good hands overall! Geez, you think we world was going to end b/c the RRFS is going live looking at social media in last 24 hr. Can we cut out the drama please? Also, the RRFS we have been seeing so far is in test and evaluation mode. What we are seeing is not the final operational version most likely. What goes live on 8/31 may be not the version we have seen up to this point. On PivotalWx, we see the RRFS-A, so that implies there is RRFS-B. What about that? So before flying off the handle, one needs to take a step back and account for "you don't know what you don't know" and consder asking "is it really that much of an issue in the big pix? And I ask again, would ppl rather just stay w/ the NAM? How many negative memes has this model been the subject or over the years? So please keep things in proper perspective.
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I haven't validated an account since 2/26 so probably not.
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Maybe came back under different name?
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About .25 with a little rain still falling. Will take every drop...
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.43” here and still a decent amount coming down. Proper nice line with all the rolling thunder. Have missed this.
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If my weather station is accurate, we picked up about a quarter of an inch in the line. Not too bad I guess.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Blizzard of 93 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The line appears to be back filling in Adams, western Cumberland & western Perry counties.
