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Honestly the orientation if nothing else of the precip on the models reminds me of some dynamic spring systems. Definitely eyebrow raising to get a Day 5 15%. I'm still not convinced it will be anything substantial, though. We'll see how it looks in NAM range.
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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
Skywalker03 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sleet and snow now mixing in here in Rockville -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
anotherman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not anymore -
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every spring i read posts about a bad season for backdoor fronts yet our last cold april was 6 years ago
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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
nw baltimore wx replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sounds like some sleet mixing in here in Pikesville. -
Back to rain in Penn Mar with a temp of 34. Intensity driven at this point. Some times it tails off to almost nothing.
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Rain/Thunder and Anafrontal Snow
STORMANLI replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Rolling thunder ~1am 0.10" through 945am -
80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
paulythegun replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Sunday - ArkLaTex/Lower MS Valley into the Middle MS/Lower OH Valleys... An intense upper trough will deepen over the Plains and shift east to the MS Valley on Sunday. From late afternoon into the nighttime hours, an 80-100 kt jet streak will develop within the base of the trough and overspread portions of the region. At the surface, an already strong cyclone will deepen further as it moves from the Lower MO Valley to the Lower Great Lakes vicinity. As this occurs, a strong cold front will sweep eastward across the southern Plains and much of the Midwest and Southern U.S., becoming oriented from Ohio to the FL Panhandle by Monday morning. While strengthening southerly low-level flow will develop ahead of the front, stronger Gulf moisture return will be confined to TX and the Lower MS Valley vicinity, with mainly 50s dewpoints expected with northward extent across the Middle MS and OH Valley regions. Furthermore, capping is expected ahead of the cold front, potentially limiting warm sector convection. Nevertheless, modest moisture and steepening midlevel lapse rates will support at least weak destabilization very near the cold front. A narrow line of strongly-forced convection is expected to develop along the cold front and move across portions of OK/TX into the Middle/Lower MS and Lower OH/TN Valley regions. Given intense deep-layer flow near and just behind the cold front, strong/damaging wind potential will exist within a modest instability/high shear environment. A 15 percent severe delineation has been included from the ArkLaTex into the Mid-South/Lower MS Valley vicinity. Depending on low-level moisture/instability trends, this area may need to be expanded north and east into a larger portion of the Middle MS/Lower OH/TN Valley vicinity in subsequent outlooks. ...Day 5/Monday - Southeast to Mid-Atlantic... Severe thunderstorm potential will likely continue into Monday as the intense upper trough continues to migrate east from the MS Valley toward the Eastern Seaboard. Intense deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread portions of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic. Meanwhile, 60s F dewpoints will extend from southeast GA northward through the Mid-Atlantic ahead of a sharp cold front. Pre-frontal surface troughing across the VA/NC Piedmont also will support backing low-level winds, leading to enhanced low-level shear. Depending on how much cloud cover and warm advection precipitation occurs ahead of the cold front, stronger destabilization may be inhibited. Nevertheless, at least weak instability is forecast ahead of a strongly forced line of convection along the eastward-advancing cold front. This activity alone could produce a swath of strong to severe wind gusts. A more conditional risk of supercells across the warm sector exists across eastern VA/NC, but this is more uncertain. Given damaging wind potential with the strongly forced linear convection, a 15 percent severe delineation has been added for portions of the region.
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Yeah was thinking the same lol. Exponentially better here.
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38 with sneet
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I have to admit that it is very amusing that so many people are concerned with my grade for this winter.. .I just want to say that out of respect and admiration for all of you that I will let all of you know the day before I post my final grade for winter 25/26....ya know to let the anticipation build and to have all of you to have something to look forward to lol
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Crossing the 40 degree mark, with sleet pellets on the deck
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We are up to .47
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Snow/sleet 36
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A little sleet and wet snow mixed in with the rain in West Asheville.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Had a bit of sleet mixing in, but it's now stopped, even though radar is still pretty robust over the local area. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
"Good" pingers... 42F -
I was today years old after surveying all day yesterday when finding out about this potential snowstorm/blizzard. March gone wild. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk
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RCNYILWX started following 3/15-3/16 Winter Storm
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
anotherman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Snowing/sleeting in Mount Joy. -
We also got a 15% on the d5 from the SPC
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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th
midatlanticweather replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rain mixing snow and sleet. 38.1
