LVLion77

Nice! Got 1/2” here in my gauge as I did well after I posted my message. . Waiting for it to stop to take the dog on a walk.

I would say likely not based on nowcasting. Up here in the SW Lehigh Valley I have received around 0.10 this far and the back edge is swinging through central PA. Forecast was around 0.75”.

I am curious to see if we will actually receive the rain forecasted for Saturday with that very cold Easterly flow.

Quick heavy shower here. Got a quick 0.15”.

Winds turn around to the south between 6a-8a and we should see some steady rain then. Yeah, wicked back door front.

0.86“ of rain for the event. We got very little precip and no severe weather on the front end, but a good amount of precip on the back half. We often head into spring with a rainfall deficit, but not this year.

Snooze fest this evening. Was hoping for more action. Just some showers, and nothing too heavy here. Northern LV seems to have gotten some heavier showers. .

Officially down 20 degrees now. Still windy but nothing crazy. 0.20” rain from the line but rain has stopped. Glad I stayed up for the it but disappointed no lightning at all.

I can appreciate you’re in a tough spot. You’re damned if you do and damned if you don’t. My fear is that after today the public doesn’t take the next watch seriously and life-threatening severe weather does happen. The message tomorrow in every break room and social media feed is laughing that nothing happened.

Went down 15 degrees in 5 minutes here and still dropping. It was a good gust front with brief heavy rain.

I am at 61.3° on the edge of the front. It better be worth be staying up for this tonight as I have to get in early to work tomorrow. [emoji3]

I have wondered about AI influence as well. Our approach to forecasting nowadays seems less local.

I thought the cold front would have a more impressive radar representation on approach. The line is fizzling out a bit, but the snow behind it looks impressive. Hope we can cash in for an inch or two.

But the low cloud cover was the result of the easterly flow. A southerly flow is not enough to completely remove the marine influence. We have low 40’s water temps in the Atlantic. I still contend the forecasts this time of year rarely get this right.

I understand that, but it was an Easterly flow until the early morning hours. I have observed often in the past as a lifelong weather weenie that unless flow turns solidly from the sw in these situations, we never get the instability needed for severe weather. The ocean is too cold this time of the year and that influence lingers in these situations and the forecast rarely takes that into account.