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  2. let's get greedy and go for no single digits
  3. Still little hope in the long range. Google deep mind keeps us bone dry over the next two weeks
  4. We all know not one non neutral winter recently has really acted like it should relatively to what we’d see 25-50 years ago. I’ve said a few times nothing would surprise me this winter. We could see a December 89/00 redux or a February 2023 redux despite it being a strong El Niño and I wouldn’t be surprised anymore.
  5. Coastal front went through was 52 with strong NE wind. Now 49.7 with lighter N wind. Not that it’s exciting, but sort of an interesting mesoscale feature.
  6. I think we have a shot of making it through this winter without a subzero temp. Happens in about ~10% of winters and this upcoming one has a realistic shot. Also sub 20” snowfall certainly in play as well.
  7. This will be fun to score. I think it’s way too cold of a forecast.
  8. 44° with a decent breeze. Beginning to look and feel like November. Only real green left in the woods is Christmas ferns and winterberry.
  9. I am slightly warming from previous mornings. 29.9 at 7 am. 4 consecutive freezes.
  10. There’s not a lot of hickory up here. Most of the large beech, chestnuts, butternut, and ash are gone. A lot of the yellows are aspen and birch which turn with the maples. There’s some ironwood and basswood around too, but they don’t grow like weeds like the others.
  11. 32 this morning, more white grass again this morning. Good day fishing Monday.
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  13. Wow 74.1 there yesterday….impressive and very nice. We weren’t even close to that. About 68 here for the high.
  14. Just your usual 5 AM supercells in Arizona
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  16. That's the best case scenario. The worst case? well... I'll be in Quebec during the holidays. Even if it torches in the east, it'll still be cold enough there for snow.
  17. .... and i haven't seen even a single cloud since Saturday morning.
  18. Today
  19. Good morning B-n. It’s actually a 90 day forecast which places its verification chances in the range of the 5+1 number pick. An interesting recreation of a, due to limitation, Liberty post. I have a feeling that Liberty may sincerely enjoy it. Stay well, as always …..
  20. We visited Shenandoah National Park for the first time yesterday. The weather was perfect!
  21. Near record upper low off of Southern California matches with the extreme east based forcing leading to the ridge shifting into the East later in October.
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