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I don’t want to sound like a jerk, but that’s on you. There’s over 2,000 posts on here about the potential of this storm. .

Nice

The blind squirrel NAM might win this one. Sorry I95 south of Providence, its an Ice storm.

I’m mostly talking to myself when I’m managing expectations like that (lol)

If MDT falls to 8" Lancaster is in for a world of hurt ha. I think that's going a bit too far and MDT still gets close to a foot but can't rule it out. Not good if true that upstream is underperforming.

1/24 12z UKIE

Still virga here, at least that I've seen. The temp warmed up from 21 to 24 in the last 40 minutes.

Local PVD station MET did not rule out thunder snow.

Car thermometer had -19. House was -20.

Goodness the misery in here is just stupid. Enjoy what you get and STFU

I mentioned the warm nose a few days ago after seeing certain trends and someone was like nope. And here we are lol.

The dirty sleet piles will look like sand!!

Besides the sleet discussion, any discernible trends with the Monday reach around at 12z?

GfsAI has the storm end of next weekend. Albiet off the coast

There’s that GL low. AI is “learning” about those

My main concern because I can't either. I noticed point and click has a mix included now all the way to to Mckeesport.

lol imagine watching the models past 48 hours and thinking anything of that sort with happen.

Oh, Im still excited for sure dude. Just trying to set realistic expectations based on red flags I ignore and it always comes back to bite me in the ass. Hope that thump overperforms. Im just gonna make sure I'm up for most of the thump

That'll be right on my doorstep. We'll see what it does. Still looking forward to a big 12" here.

There is much to suggest Boston is getting a burial, lotta maxes out that way

On cold calm nights 747 freighters departing ohare will climb overhead at 20,000+ feet and sound like rockets. On a normal summer night you can barely hear them

The FV3 RRFS is also going bonkers with the freezing rain. I *think* it's way, way overdone and favor the sleet bomb idea of the NAM, but this will have to watched closely tomorrow.

I agree, 8 to 10 inches before mixing and 1 or 2 inches of sleet on top is my thinking for me

Smells like rain. 15/-2

AI GFS is a bomb cyclone for the feb 1-2. So close to a big hit here but scoots NE just under the region grazing us. On to the operational gfs