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16.9/-6

I don't think it does. I noticed it halts the accumulation (at least on kuchera) as soon as we flip to sleet

Nam had Little Rock getting no snow, they’re at 6 inches lol

It’s supposed to be like 10 degrees again tomorrow night. And places north and west where a foot of snow or more will fall all districts will be closed

SPC disagrees… Mesoscale Discussion 0043 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...northeast TX...southern AR...northern LA...western MS Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241453Z - 242000Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy freezing rain and sleet are expected to persist across the Ark-La-Tex to Ark-La-Miss regions into early afternoon. Liquid-equivalent precipitation rates of a tenth to quarter-inch per hour should be common, locally up to a half-inch per hour. DISCUSSION...A swath of moderate to heavy mixed precipitation is ongoing across east TX and the Ark-La-Tex. Surface observations confirm hourly precipitation rates of .10-.25 in/hr are common, up to around .50 in/hr. 12Z guidance is rather consistent in indicating this swath of precip persisting through at least early afternoon, gradually shifting east-northeast amid rather pronounced low-level warm theta-e advection. A classic freezing rain to sleet sounding was sampled at 12Z in SHV. This type of thermodynamic profile should continue to steadily push southward in northern LA. Farther east, the surface freezing line should only drift to nearly stall across western MS into the early afternoon. ..Grams.. 01/24/2026

that's a pretty solid mug tbh

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Yep. I thought of that storm this morning after all the short range models started showing more sleet/ice. .

Here’s my issue with him… I actually think he’s good and he did a good job with this by going with the euro, which is probably gonna be closest and that’s good. However, he acts like he’s never wrong and that that’s the issue people take with him and when people challenge him on what he says that’s when he gets mad people would not challenge him on his forecast if he would wouldn’t act like he’s never wrong. .

36 here in Piedmont, SC/Moonville and the sun just came out

How often and when typically does mt holly update its WSW text?

Yea I’m actually dealing with a sinus cold that came on 2 days ago so I periodically crank up, but overall I’m kinda bullish imby on this event. Battling a sleet line in these temps is objectively dumb, but it’s still gonna snow and not just a wimpy one.

Someone in rockland/westchester is having their last day without severe back pain today.

I agree with you 100%. My reasoning is that 925 thermals are too cold until most precip. exits.

Valentine's Day 2007 is the top second analog for 24h. Could this actually not become as intense now? https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/Event.php?reg=EC&fhr=F036&rundt=2026012412&dt=2007121612&HH=0&map=SYN1

Locked in for an NYC snow hole

Seeing TN all snow on the radar should be a positive- models have mix for a lot of areas that are still snow

Does someone have a qpf map for the GFS and UKMET they can share? Thanks. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

The HRRR is pretty impressive for the next 36 hrs so there's still a chance we get close to double digits. The dry air robbed us some last night, but still picked up 2" here in far NW AR. This won't be a top 10 snow but will be a very nice one when all is said and done. Probably get us to our seasonal average here.

The steady precip. should be done by midnight if not sooner, so theoretically there's plenty of time to clear snow and treat roads to open schools and businesses Monday morning. But just based on the hype I expect most things to be closed on Monday.

Was also clear for the last 3-4 days that the I-90 corridor including Boston would get nailed by this storm. Maybe jump on the Acela there and get a hotel for a couple nights.

Hours 12-36 of href

Every winter storm the past 3 or 4 years has busted on tne dry side.

Wha about the temperature profiles? Nashville was colder than modeled earlier. Not sure if it still is. But I think the snow was hanging a little longer than Mets down there thought .

I’m not sure if these Pivotal 10-1 maps count sleet as snow, if not and there’s 2” more sleet, 5-6” snow would end up as 7-8” accumulation. Even with the NAM that seems to be what we’re looking at. But I agree, definitely can’t discount it.