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  2. Gully washer. >3"/hr. Knocked trmpxdown to 71. 0.99" in the bucket .
  3. The sun actually came out. Don't think I've seen it at all today until now
  4. Unbelievable to be getting 7-10 split again here in the southern Lehigh Valley.
  5. Yeah futurecast looks like a central NJ special. Anyone have any short range models now through midnight?
  6. You could end up with more, but the showers seem to be of a more scattered nature over the next 24 hours, so it could be more of a hit and miss situation. The HRRR shows 1 - 2" over next 18 hours, and it's been more accurate showing the QPF in short term than some of the other models.
  7. Still a lot of summer left. Hoping you snag a great, closer chase
  8. Morning guidance definitely did not suggest that we’d be screwed north of DC with round 1. But now with round 2 this evening focusing south and tomorrow favoring areas to the south more, I’m very concerned that we’re going to be disappointed with our total.
  9. Constant rumble of thunder the last 2-3 minutes. Keeping an eye on that cell. Didnt think I could be headed to the basement today. eta. Rain picking up in intensity
  10. Chilly and breezy with .7 in the bucket
  11. I’ll end up with an inch from this today so that works. Final total should be in the 1.0-1.2 range as this winds down with maybe another shower overnight .
  12. On a non-holiday weekday when we need the rain, we can deal with the shitty temps for a day or two if that's what gets us some steady soaking precipitation.
  13. Round #2 moving in with a bunch of lightning. Woohoo
  14. Early congrats to lower MoCo and points south and east. The light shower earlier had chunky raindrops. Someone down in that batch of precip is gonna score a gully washer.
  15. 0.77” in the bucket so far today.
  16. Yes. It is extremely well coupled….SOI, OLR/standing wave convection, WWBs/westerlies and GLAAM. Once the +IOD really going the coupling is only going to increase more Record high GLAAM:
  17. 0.77” in the bucket so far today. Well needed.
  18. I hope the retiring nam isn't right for my backyard tomorrow
  19. Just to be clear, i'm speaking of tornado genesis, not of severe weather itself.That possibility is very much still there.
  20. Yup and there’s nothing but a few showers overnight / early morning . I’m sure you picked one model that shows different
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