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January 11-12 Storm Obs/Discussion


clskinsfan

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Ok so can a met or otherwise knowledgeable person please explain. The 6z NAM had the coastal low 1012 mb just off the NC coast at 00z (about 100 miles N of its current position). It had a 1012 low on the Ohio border. Right now we have a 1014 low just off Hatteras and a 1013 low near the Ohio Pa border. If our coastal low strengthens as it moves into the predicted position why wouldn't it enhance our precip?

The storm bombs so fast when the upper energy hits the coast that the center will just reform to wherever the upper energy wants it.

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Yeah that seems reasonable. It just seems like the set up isn't that far off from what was modeled. Maybe the coastal can surprise us!

It's not majorly different but the good stuff all ends up a bit north thanks to the stronger low inland I think

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