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October 2026


MJO812
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Some photos from the New York Botanical Garden on a sunny but chilly October day. The hummingbird migration appears to be completed.
image.jpeg.6f4158610decfeb4fdf475c6b9e9dd41.jpeg
image.jpeg.12a9123259f4287f0611b520217925e7.jpeg
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image.jpeg.94b53147476972bc2360ef6d53cabc72.jpeg
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Beautiful pink asters. A great native fall perennial that should be used in place of non native mums.

34 at KFOK already. Forecast low of 35, likely makes it to the upper 20s in the pine barrens.


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Looks like a fairly average temperature pattern over the next 5-10 days. As the historic El Niño continues to intensify, the ridge axis is forecast to shift closer to our area. So the core of the warmth which has been to our west in early fall is forecast to shift east from late October into early November. 
 

IMG_8052.thumb.png.d0da61e23b148aa04a9727beb2e34447.png

 

IMG_8053.thumb.png.801651e01f817bef9228db57a48d1661.png

IMG_8054.thumb.png.15b1a224d033182d80f3edc2f0694eaf.png

 

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11 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Some photos from the New York Botanical Garden on a sunny but chilly October day. The hummingbird migration appears to be completed.

image.jpeg.6f4158610decfeb4fdf475c6b9e9dd41.jpeg

image.jpeg.12a9123259f4287f0611b520217925e7.jpeg

image.jpeg.1f77df1f708113251b19975abcb90ed7.jpeg

image.jpeg.94b53147476972bc2360ef6d53cabc72.jpeg

image.jpeg.7cf74fd3fe891af4909602606c522a4c.jpeg

Good morning Don. Ironically the name of the rose, at least the J&P version, is Chicago Peace. When I was young it was considered one of the most beautiful ever developed. As always ….

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2 hours ago, qg_omega said:

drought pattern re-emerging 

We could use the break since the last month and change have been rather wet.  Nearly 5" at my station for the last 31 days.

At least I can keep the sprinklers on a bit longer with the projected AN temps into November.  I wonder what the chances are that NYC doesn't see a freeze until December at this point.

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8 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


For now sure. But once the STJ goes of the scale it’s going to get very wet. December and January likely over 5” each.


.

at least 1/4 of it frozen - probably more so in January

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52 / 42 gorgeous week coming up. Dry week, near to above normal overall - onshore flow keep warmest west with the ridge in place and cut off offshore. It looks like Tue the warmest this week and Friday the coolest and then overall warmer towards Monday the 26th with more 70s possible as ridging comes east.  Looks like we've had the coolest reading this week till after the end of the month.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

 

 

 

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38 again. Can’t figure my area out. Last was the warmest in my area, 2 nights ago the coldest. 

What’s your elevation? If your up on the moraine at 200’ or something it makes sense. You’re cold on CAA but do not radiate well. I was up at whiteface in the Adirondacks a couple winters ago and it was -30 in the valley but -10 at the base of the mountain 1,000’ higher.


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very warm 10 years ago

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 87 (2016)
NYC: 85 (2016)
LGA: 86 (2016)
JFK: 86 (2016)

Lows:

EWR: 30 (1976)
NYC: 30 (1940)
LGA: 32 (1940)
JFK: 31 (1976)

 

Historical:


1749: A tremendous hurricane tracked offshore Virginia, northeast to Cape Cod. At 1:00 a.m. at Norfolk, winds became violent from the northeast. The fury of the storm peaked between 10:00 a.m. and 2:00 p.m.. In Williamsburg, one family drowned as flood waters carried their house away. At Hampton, water rose to four feet deep in the streets; many trees were uprooted or snapped in two. Torrents of rain flooded northern Virginia and Maryland. The Bay rose to fifteen feet above normal...destroying waterfront buildings. An account of this tremendous storm was given in the biography of Commodore James Barron, An Affair of Honor, by William Oliver Stevens. Barron's grandfather witnessed the hurricane first hand while stationed at Fort George. The account is as follows: "A threatening sky was observed to the southeast over the Chesapeake Bay. The wind increased which soon brought the rain. As the hours wore on the wind and rain increased in fury. Sometimes the downpour slackened. One could hear the sand picked up by the wind from the beach outside and blasted against every object that still withstood the gale. All the while the rising tide was rapidly being piled up to a height never seen before in that area. The waves were pounding on the shore, finally to the very foot of the outside wall at Fort George. A large tree crashed over on its side with its roots in the air and was driven against the land side of the Fort. With the impact the wall yawned and broke. Shortly afterwards the seawall lurched and sank at the point where it was exposed to the wave fury of the storm. Finally the outside wall of the fort gave way, and the filling of sand poured out, leaving the inner wall exposed to the blast without support. When this too fell apart and collapsed, the barracks took the full force of the wind. About sundown, the storm slackened and in another hour the rain and wind had diminished to such a degree that it was clearly spent. " The next morning Commodore Barron swept the distant waters with his spy glass. He was astonished to see across Hampton Roads a wide, sand promontory which had not existed there before. A sand spit had been thrown up during the fury of the storm, which was the beginning of Willoughby Spit. (Ref. Hurricane of 1749) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1844 - The famous "Lower Great Lakes Storm" occurred. Southwesterly winds were at hurricane force for five hours, driving lake waters into downtown Buffalo NY. The storm drowned 200 persons. (David Ludlum)

1940: 2.2 inches of snowfall was recorded at Philadelphia, PA starting on this date and ending on the 20th, for the highest amount of snow received from a storm in October. The maximum 1.7 inch snow depth measured is an October record. Baltimore, MD received 0.4 inches on this day and 0.9 inches on the 20th. Washington, DC received just a tenth of an inch of snow on this date followed by 1.4 inches on the 20th. (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

1961 - Rain changed to a record early season, heavy wet snow over the southern mountains of West Virginia. Leaves were still on trees, resulting in the worst forest disaster since the fires of 1952 and 953. One to two feet of snow fell near Summersville and Richwood. (19th-20th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1984 - Thunderstorms deluged the town of Odem, TX (located 15 miles northwest of Corpus Christi) with 25 inches of rain in just three and a half hours. Most businesses in Odem were flooded, as were 1000 homes in nearby Sinton. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A cold front brought rainshowers to parts of the central U.S., and ushered cool Canadian air into the Great Plains Region. Daytime highs were only in the 30s in North Dakota and eastern Montana. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced high winds in eastern Colorado, with gusts to 63 mph reported at La Junta. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Record breaking snows fell across northern and central Indiana. Totals ranged up to 10.5 inches at Kokomo, and 9.3 inches was reported at Indianapolis. The 8.8 inch total at South Bend was a record for the month as a whole. Up to seven inches of snow fell in extreme southern Lower Michigan, and up to six inches fell in southwestern Ohio. The heavy wet snow downed many trees and power lines. Half the city of Cincinnati OH was without electricity during the morning hours. Temperatures dipped below freezing across much of the Great Plains Region. Twenty cities, including fourteen in Texas, reported record low temperatures for the date. North Platte NE reported a record low of 11 degrees. In Florida, four cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The record high of 92 degrees at Miami also marked a record fourteen days of 90 degree weather in October, and 116 such days for the year.

1990: A tornado damaged an apartment complex and shopping center near Baltimore, MD. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1996: The opening game of World Series between the Braves and Yankees in New York was postponed by heavy rains and high wind from a major storm system affecting the East Coast, marking the third time in history that the World Series opener had been postponed. Overall, nine of the 22 games that have been canceled in Series history were scheduled in New York or Brooklyn.

2005: Hurricane Wilma pushed the 2005 season to the most active ever recorded, added another entry to the record books. The central pressure of this Category 5 storm fell to 882 millibars or 26.05 inches of mercury, the lowest minimum pressure ever measured in the Atlantic basin. Its maximum sustained wind peaked at 185 mph.  (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

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42 minutes ago, straphanger said:

We could use the break since the last month and change have been rather wet.  Nearly 5" at my station for the last 31 days.

At least I can keep the sprinklers on a bit longer with the projected AN temps into November.  I wonder what the chances are that NYC doesn't see a freeze until December at this point.

Good morning S h. Accu weather long range, as of today, shows December 3rd. This, of course, will change numerous times in the weeks ahead,

IMG_2623.png

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Looks like a fairly average temperature pattern over the next 5-10 days. As the historic El Niño continues to intensify, the ridge axis is forecast to shift closer to our area. So the core of the warmth which has been to our west in early fall is forecast to shift east from late October into early November. 
 

IMG_8052.thumb.png.d0da61e23b148aa04a9727beb2e34447.png

 

IMG_8053.thumb.png.801651e01f817bef9228db57a48d1661.png

IMG_8054.thumb.png.15b1a224d033182d80f3edc2f0694eaf.png

 

Wondering if we truly see it push east or get a result similar to this coming weekend. 
 

*Frames are cherry picked just to show for the example*

image.thumb.png.0f210885550ea1d2515e214d20756a89.png

image.thumb.png.2483b7fe02f7204a6887a1b52c85f2e1.png

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41 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said:

Wondering if we truly see it push east or get a result similar to this coming weekend. 
 

*Frames are cherry picked just to show for the example*

image.thumb.png.0f210885550ea1d2515e214d20756a89.png

image.thumb.png.2483b7fe02f7204a6887a1b52c85f2e1.png

The model did a good job with the general 500mb pattern forecast. Notice the ridge axis is actually now expected to be more amplified over the Great Lakes.

But we got the low off the East Coast keeping our flow more onshore. So more of an Omega pattern than originally forecast. Also another El Niño feature. 

Once the low to our east moves out in late October,  it will allow the ridging to shift closer to our area. But with the high east of New England, we could still see some onshore flow.

With the trough getting stronger out West in response to the El Niño, it should mean a warmer pattern for us heading into late October and early November.

The average split for late October and early November is around 60/43 at EWR. So any day with highs into the mid-60s and lows near 50° is considered warmer.
 

New run

IMG_8058.thumb.png.974590cfd29ab9608f6f1a1acbad0bae.png

Old run

IMG_8057.thumb.png.138644cc9c74bb786d4658cc0a00902c.png

 

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5 hours ago, qg_omega said:

drought pattern re-emerging 

The most perfect week of weather.

 

5 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

October is AN precip wise here. Coming dry weeks will reverse rapidly. 

Hopefully not I'd love a repeat of 1965-66

 

4 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

31 this morning 

yesterday was 32

31 here both mornings

 

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like a fairly average temperature pattern over the next 5-10 days. As the historic El Niño continues to intensify, the ridge axis is forecast to shift closer to our area. So the core of the warmth which has been to our west in early fall is forecast to shift east from late October into early November. 
 

IMG_8052.thumb.png.d0da61e23b148aa04a9727beb2e34447.png

 

IMG_8053.thumb.png.801651e01f817bef9228db57a48d1661.png

IMG_8054.thumb.png.15b1a224d033182d80f3edc2f0694eaf.png

 

The clear blue skies for days on end is why I love October. 

 

2 hours ago, straphanger said:

We could use the break since the last month and change have been rather wet.  Nearly 5" at my station for the last 31 days.

At least I can keep the sprinklers on a bit longer with the projected AN temps into November.  I wonder what the chances are that NYC doesn't see a freeze until December at this point.

Dont need any more rain this month.

 

2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


For now sure. But once the STJ goes off the scale it’s going to get very wet. December and January likely over 5” each.


.

Hopefully not. And predicting 5 inches of rain in a winter month is a very bold call. It could just as easily be suppressed and we get nice clear skies like we are getting now. I would like a repeat of 1965-66.

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

all the long term modeling (For what it's worth) shows a wet east coast.

Suppressed pattern is also possible.  Just look at this week.

 

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:


52 / 42 gorgeous week coming up. Dry week, near to above normal overall - onshore flow keep warmest west with the ridge in place and cut off offshore. It looks like Tue the warmest this week and Friday the coolest and then overall warmer towards Monday the 26th with more 70s possible as ridging comes east.  Looks like we've had the coolest reading this week till after the end of the month.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

 

 

 

And most importantly clear skies all week!

 

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:



very warm 10 years ago

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 87 (2016)
NYC: 85 (2016)
LGA: 86 (2016)
JFK: 86 (2016)

Lows:

EWR: 30 (1976)
NYC: 30 (1940)
LGA: 32 (1940)
JFK: 31 (1976)

 

Historical:


1749: A tremendous hurricane tracked offshore Virginia, northeast to Cape Cod. At 1:00 a.m. at Norfolk, winds became violent from the northeast. The fury of the storm peaked between 10:00 a.m. and 2:00 p.m.. In Williamsburg, one family drowned as flood waters carried their house away. At Hampton, water rose to four feet deep in the streets; many trees were uprooted or snapped in two. Torrents of rain flooded northern Virginia and Maryland. The Bay rose to fifteen feet above normal...destroying waterfront buildings. An account of this tremendous storm was given in the biography of Commodore James Barron, An Affair of Honor, by William Oliver Stevens. Barron's grandfather witnessed the hurricane first hand while stationed at Fort George. The account is as follows: "A threatening sky was observed to the southeast over the Chesapeake Bay. The wind increased which soon brought the rain. As the hours wore on the wind and rain increased in fury. Sometimes the downpour slackened. One could hear the sand picked up by the wind from the beach outside and blasted against every object that still withstood the gale. All the while the rising tide was rapidly being piled up to a height never seen before in that area. The waves were pounding on the shore, finally to the very foot of the outside wall at Fort George. A large tree crashed over on its side with its roots in the air and was driven against the land side of the Fort. With the impact the wall yawned and broke. Shortly afterwards the seawall lurched and sank at the point where it was exposed to the wave fury of the storm. Finally the outside wall of the fort gave way, and the filling of sand poured out, leaving the inner wall exposed to the blast without support. When this too fell apart and collapsed, the barracks took the full force of the wind. About sundown, the storm slackened and in another hour the rain and wind had diminished to such a degree that it was clearly spent. " The next morning Commodore Barron swept the distant waters with his spy glass. He was astonished to see across Hampton Roads a wide, sand promontory which had not existed there before. A sand spit had been thrown up during the fury of the storm, which was the beginning of Willoughby Spit. (Ref. Hurricane of 1749) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1844 - The famous "Lower Great Lakes Storm" occurred. Southwesterly winds were at hurricane force for five hours, driving lake waters into downtown Buffalo NY. The storm drowned 200 persons. (David Ludlum)

1940: 2.2 inches of snowfall was recorded at Philadelphia, PA starting on this date and ending on the 20th, for the highest amount of snow received from a storm in October. The maximum 1.7 inch snow depth measured is an October record. Baltimore, MD received 0.4 inches on this day and 0.9 inches on the 20th. Washington, DC received just a tenth of an inch of snow on this date followed by 1.4 inches on the 20th. (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

1961 - Rain changed to a record early season, heavy wet snow over the southern mountains of West Virginia. Leaves were still on trees, resulting in the worst forest disaster since the fires of 1952 and 953. One to two feet of snow fell near Summersville and Richwood. (19th-20th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1984 - Thunderstorms deluged the town of Odem, TX (located 15 miles northwest of Corpus Christi) with 25 inches of rain in just three and a half hours. Most businesses in Odem were flooded, as were 1000 homes in nearby Sinton. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A cold front brought rainshowers to parts of the central U.S., and ushered cool Canadian air into the Great Plains Region. Daytime highs were only in the 30s in North Dakota and eastern Montana. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced high winds in eastern Colorado, with gusts to 63 mph reported at La Junta. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Record breaking snows fell across northern and central Indiana. Totals ranged up to 10.5 inches at Kokomo, and 9.3 inches was reported at Indianapolis. The 8.8 inch total at South Bend was a record for the month as a whole. Up to seven inches of snow fell in extreme southern Lower Michigan, and up to six inches fell in southwestern Ohio. The heavy wet snow downed many trees and power lines. Half the city of Cincinnati OH was without electricity during the morning hours. Temperatures dipped below freezing across much of the Great Plains Region. Twenty cities, including fourteen in Texas, reported record low temperatures for the date. North Platte NE reported a record low of 11 degrees. In Florida, four cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The record high of 92 degrees at Miami also marked a record fourteen days of 90 degree weather in October, and 116 such days for the year.

1990: A tornado damaged an apartment complex and shopping center near Baltimore, MD. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1996: The opening game of World Series between the Braves and Yankees in New York was postponed by heavy rains and high wind from a major storm system affecting the East Coast, marking the third time in history that the World Series opener had been postponed. Overall, nine of the 22 games that have been canceled in Series history were scheduled in New York or Brooklyn.

2005: Hurricane Wilma pushed the 2005 season to the most active ever recorded, added another entry to the record books. The central pressure of this Category 5 storm fell to 882 millibars or 26.05 inches of mercury, the lowest minimum pressure ever measured in the Atlantic basin. Its maximum sustained wind peaked at 185 mph.  (Ref. Wilson Weather History)

How strong was that 1749 hurricane and how much snow did we get in the 1940 storm?

1 hour ago, FPizz said:

I had the same exact temp as yesterday, 32.4

31 here both mornings.

 

1 hour ago, Lucy Pull said:

Wondering if we truly see it push east or get a result similar to this coming weekend. 
 

*Frames are cherry picked just to show for the example*

image.thumb.png.0f210885550ea1d2515e214d20756a89.png

image.thumb.png.2483b7fe02f7204a6887a1b52c85f2e1.png

It's staying offshore. 

 

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

The model did a good job with the general 500mb pattern forecast. Notice the ridge axis is actually now expected to be more amplified over the Great Lakes.

But we got the low off the East Coast keeping our flow more onshore. So more of an Omega pattern than originally forecast. Also another El Niño feature. 

Once the low to our east moves out in late October,  it will allow the ridging to shift closer to our area. But with the high east of New England, we could still see some onshore flow.

With the trough getting stronger out West in response to the El Niño, it should mean a warmer pattern for us heading into late October and early November.

The average split for late October and early November is around 60/43 at EWR. So any day with highs into the mid-60s and lows near 50° is considered warmer.
 

New run

IMG_8058.thumb.png.974590cfd29ab9608f6f1a1acbad0bae.png

Old run

IMG_8057.thumb.png.138644cc9c74bb786d4658cc0a00902c.png

 

Onshore flow is fine as long as there are no clouds.

 

On 10/18/2026 at 7:18 AM, bluewave said:

The next week to perhaps 10 days looks like a northeast flow special with low pressure sitting just offshore and high pressure to the north.

IMG_8031.thumb.png.abe4a5196d7116ac3c1876293a2ba168.png
 

IMG_8032.thumb.png.e900360299572e557aa1b92b71e8078c.png

But unlike summer zero clouds with this pattern in October.

 

 

On 10/18/2026 at 7:43 AM, bluewave said:

This developing historic El Niño has had a much stronger ridge sitting to our west in the means since last spring than we have seen before for the early development time period. Toward the end of the month the ridge begins shift eastward closer to the Northeast. The further east ridge axis is typically what we see from super El Niño events in the past heading into later fall and the winter. 
 

IMG_8033.thumb.png.2c848fa782cc768cd8fc266d978ff0d1.png

IMG_8034.thumb.png.e6fbeae7bb01eff43edb795d6d2c3a60.png
 

IMG_8035.thumb.png.e47bfba856443f6a4fc7bc619db72af4.png

 

Hence warming temps. 

 

On 10/18/2026 at 8:22 AM, FPizz said:

32.4

Even with 1551 ft of elevation I was only 1.5 degrees colder. And MPO stayed at 32.

 

On 10/18/2026 at 8:32 AM, SACRUS said:


from 33 to 37.  Coolest since April 21st. Cooler the next 1-2 days then the onshore barrage keeps it overall near - above normal and outside of the cut off /low and storm pushing clouds / light rain to the coast Tue, it looks generally dry / partly - mostly sunny highs mid 60s - low 70s in the warmest inland areas.  Ridge pushes east towards 10/26 so overall warmer to clsoe the month looks likely.

 

10/18-10/19 : Cooler than normal - freeze/frost inland
10/19 - 10/26: Overall near - above normal prolonged onshore E-ENE-NE flow , storm stays offshore but may bring clouds/rain coast ELI-ENJ
10/27 - beyond : Ridge into the east overall above normal 

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

No clouds Tony!

23 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

What a nice day. Down at the west end of jones beach 

 

Extremely clear 

IMG_6540.jpeg

Yes this whole week will be like this.

 

22 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Got down to 35 here. Vegetable garden is fine. No more frost/freeze threats in sight so the growing season will continue for quite awhile thankfully. 

Ugh you need to buy your veggies at the grocery store like normal people do. I'm ecstatic there won't be any clouds for the next 10 days!

18 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

This morning was the coolest morning so far this season. Parts of the regiono experienced freezes and frost. Lows included:

AlbanY: 29°
Allentown: 31°
Atlantic City: 36°
Binghamton: 29°
Boston: 37°
Bridgeport: 38°
Danbury: 29°
Hartford: 28°
Islip: 40°
New York City: 41°
Newark: 38°
Philadelphia: 41°
Poughkeepsie: 28°
Providence: 31°
Trenton: 36°
Westhampton: 42°
White Plains: 36°

Temperatures will begin to moderate starting tomorrow. Most of this week will see highs in the lower 60s. A strong storm will stay too offshore to bring rain to the region this week. Some elevated high tides are possible.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.03°C. ENSO Region 3.4 has set a new all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -32.94 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.460 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.6° (0.7° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

MPO only got down to 32 and Scranton to 30. It was 31 here both mornings. 

Interesting that Scranton got down to 30 the night before and 34 last night while I was 31 both nights.  My sensor results were as follows:

30.9. 30.9, 31.3, 31.3

30.7, 31.3, 31.5, 32.0

Same 4 sensors in the same order both nights. The first night had a longer time below freezing it was below freezing from 12:30 am to 8:30 am that night so 8 hours. That's a hard freeze even if the low was 31.

 

14 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

No rain til Halloween? 

NO CLOUDS EITHER.

 

On 10/17/2026 at 3:13 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said:


dcd0e2fce9176b0d97fca8f1feb597de.jpg


Hmmmm mandatory evacuations no big deal right?


I agree, most of those homes never should have been built. But here we are. It doesn’t take away from the severity of the event unfolding or its impact. This is the second and likely far most impactful nor’easter of the season and it’s mid October.

Government will need to start issuing mandates in the future and insurance will need to stop covering those regions.

 

On 10/17/2026 at 7:44 PM, winterwx21 said:

Freeze warning is to the north and west. Here it looks like mid 30s tonight, so I'm keeping my fingers crossed that the vegetable garden will be ok. I think it will be but it's going to be close. 

Lol it's that time of year. I'm just happy there will be no clouds this entire week!

 

20261019_075914.thumb.jpg.cd4ec313e9bdee468229297eb7064c65.jpg

20261018_072610.thumb.jpg.9449d85e484701f8508f0d9ba3885aa6.jpg

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41 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

The most perfect week of weather.

 

Hopefully not I'd love a repeat of 1965-66

 

31 here both mornings

 

The clear blue skies for days on end is why I love October. 

 

Dont need any more rain this month.

 

Hopefully not. And predicting 5 inches of rain in a winter month is a very bold call. It could just as easily be suppressed and we get nice clear skies like we are getting now. I would like a repeat of 1965-66.

Suppressed pattern is also possible.  Just look at this week.

 

And most importantly clear skies all week!

 

How strong was that 1749 hurricane and how much snow did we get in the 1940 storm?

31 here both mornings.

 

It's staying offshore. 

 

Onshore flow is fine as long as there are no clouds.

 

But unlike summer zero clouds with this pattern in October.

 

 

Hence warming temps. 

 

Even with 1551 ft of elevation I was only 1.5 degrees colder. And MPO stayed at 32.

 

No clouds Tony!

Yes this whole week will be like this.

 

Ugh you need to buy your veggies at the grocery store like normal people do. I'm ecstatic there won't be any clouds for the next 10 days!

MPO only got down to 32 and Scranton to 30. It was 31 here both mornings. 

Interesting that Scranton got down to 30 the night before and 34 last night while I was 31 both nights.  My sensor results were as follows:

30.9. 30.9, 31.3, 31.3

30.7, 31.3, 31.5, 32.0

Same 4 sensors in the same order both nights. The first night had a longer time below freezing it was below freezing from 12:30 am to 8:30 am that night so 8 hours. That's a hard freeze even if the low was 31.

 

NO CLOUDS EITHER.

 

Government will need to start issuing mandates in the future and insurance will need to stop covering those regions.

 

Lol it's that time of year. I'm just happy there will be no clouds this entire week!

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Of course I buy veggies at the grocery store too. But like many people I also grow a vegetable garden. You have a problem with people that grow gardens? What a strange comment. 

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like a fairly average temperature pattern over the next 5-10 days. As the historic El Niño continues to intensify, the ridge axis is forecast to shift closer to our area. So the core of the warmth which has been to our west in early fall is forecast to shift east from late October into early November. 
 

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Hope we can get Halloween to be like the one that was shown in that epic 1980's Steven Spielberg movie "E.T. the Extraterrestrial". Would be nice to have mid 70's and sun for Halloween with no jackets or coats. 

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