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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm


WxWatcher007
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7 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

if you aren't in Boston, what is the point knowing what Boston's weather is at that exact moment? 

mets issue forecasts, not now casts

you don't need a weatherman to tell you which way the wind is blowing

Sure, but I think there is value in the GP being updated on whether a forecast is turning out better or worse than predicted. Most of the time, the forecast is the forecast and the changes are so minor they need not be discussed.

But for “higher end” events, periodic updates can be helpful—both to the curmudgeon that thinks because the forests haven’t been flattened in the first hour of a storm that a storm is a bust, and the soccer mom that is anxious about taking the kids to the park when it’s not likely to rain heavily now that a storm has taken shape. 

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2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

He needs to go back and critique his forecast for this…and then give himself a letter grade.

Hint:  The letter comes after E.

Wrong thread but I got a relacement sled for the one I had stolen.  2021 Enduro 900.  Has about 3500 miles on it.  Of course we all know that if we have a crappy winter it will be my fault and not El Nino!

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can't believe this is still spinning around the same area...one of these in Jan/Feb please with some nice cold high in Quebec would be outstanding! looks like probably going to end with 2.2" unless it starts pouring again but looks about done...all the flight disruption is now making me come back very late tomorrow night early Wednesday morning, so that sucks but I kinda expected that.

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4 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

 

There's research out there (but yeah you could argue lack of sample size) which shows a great deal of trust within weather forecasts, particularly with weather forecasts from local outlets. 

most people don't get their information from local outlets but click bait mets, and there is mpst of the disconnect

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52 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

if you aren't in Boston, what is the point knowing what Boston's weather is at that exact moment? 

mets issue forecasts, not now casts

you don't need a weatherman to tell you which way the wind is blowing

They forecast not just for boston...and those forecasts should be updated as needed ..

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3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

most people don't get their information from local outlets but click bait mets, and there is mpst of the disconnect

I get my information from this forum and I'm left confused, sad and delirious.  

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2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

most people don't get their information from local outlets but click bait mets, and there is mpst of the disconnect

The gap between television and other sources such as mobiles apps and social media is closing, however, local television is still rated as the #1 source. Even if people are getting information from other sources, a large percentage still revert to their local network as a means to try and verify the validity. 

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13 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

most people don't get their information from local outlets but click bait mets, and there is mpst of the disconnect

A lot of people have an infatuation with drama or the need to always be a part of extreme events. The clickbaiters give them exactly what they want. 

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1 hour ago, kdxken said:

After nearly 7 inches the past two days I'm almost dead even compared to my yearly average. Still raining pretty good.

don't worry, the drought monitor will show your area in a moderate drought

1 hour ago, mreaves said:

Wrong thread but I got a relacement sled for the one I had stolen.  2021 Enduro 900.  Has about 3500 miles on it.  Of course we all know that if we have a crappy winter it will be my fault and not El Nino!

nice ride, i have a 2019 900 Enduro. love the sled, barely have 2k miles on it

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2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

look out, an incredibly dangerous storm is coming.  not good

He’s the same guy who called out the weather service for a tornado warning, and there actually was a tornado lol. It’s this generation of 20 somethings too.

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1 hour ago, mreaves said:

Wrong thread but I got a relacement sled for the one I had stolen.  2021 Enduro 900.  Has about 3500 miles on it.  Of course we all know that if we have a crappy winter it will be my fault and not El Nino!

Im thinking of getting a sled again.  If I skip it this year your season is saved.  Also my snowblower is messed up.  

PS nice sled.  Im looking for a 1200 version with low miles.   

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9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Models did a very good job of showing the lowest qpf in N CT for this. Many of them kept showing that relative min and were correct .

We will (almost) always be the minimum here in the valley. The only things we do well are downsloping and CAD. I’m just far enough to avoid it. Sometimes.

2.83” final.

5.59” in September 

15.57” since July 1.

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9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We will (almost) always be the minimum here in the valley. The only things we do well are downsloping and CAD. I’m just far enough to avoid it. Sometimes.

2.83” final.

5.59” in September 

15.57” since July 1.

You killed me on this one though. It’s all tied to that convective band Saturday afternoon. 5-10 miles south of here doubled my qpf in some cases. I was at UConn in Storrs for parents weekend and it was just dumping with thunder 

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