October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm

[Great Snow 1717]

2 hours ago, JACKASS said:

 

 

The Texas heat leads to memory loss..

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not this time, down here it’s our time… it’s our time down here!!

[WxWatcher007]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not this time, down here it’s our time… it’s our time down here!!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said:

I'm right at 600, thoughts for me?

Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
 

I think you’re fine there.  There’s always a few trees down with steady sustained winds but I don’t see major issues for Southern Vermont.

[Prismshine Productions]

I think you’re fine there.  There’s always a few trees down with steady sustained winds but I don’t see major issues for Southern Vermont.

Thanks buddy, thinking gusts 20-25 but might be underselling since NWS Albany put in their disco a 30-40% chance of gusts 30-35. Water biggest factor as always.

[CoastalWx]

Hmm. Nobody picked up that quote? Maybe foresthillswx did.

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hmm. Nobody picked up that quote? Maybe foresthillswx did.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

41 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Outside of coastal flood impacts it’s whole lot of meh

Yes, but much needed rain.

[ScituateMA]

31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hmm. Nobody picked up that quote? Maybe foresthillswx did.

Weenies never say die. 

Sold my house in the flood zone. Looking forward to enjoying this one from drier ground. LOL

[Prismshine Productions]

Wide right

[Prismshine Productions]

Crawling

[H2Otown_WX]

NAM with a dud to kick off 00z. Anyone who thinks this thing is a slam dunk to hit us directly may be in for a letdown.

[Torch Tiger]

13 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

NAM with a dud to kick off 00z. Anyone who thinks this thing is a slam dunk to hit us directly may be in for a letdown.

hopefully it occludes way south, then is safely kicked out!

[Snowcrazed71]

13 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

NAM with a dud to kick off 00z. Anyone who thinks this thing is a slam dunk to hit us directly may be in for a letdown.

Um... It's the NAM with 3-4 days to go. Are you seriously putting stock in this run (whether it's good or bad).

[OrangeCTWX]

ICON with the Martha’s Vineyard “landfall”.  RGEM east of its 18z run.

The Icon “landfall” and track actually gave me some flashbacks to Henri. Though I know these are completely different lol

[MJO812]

Gfs is a terrible model

[ineedsnow]

0z seemed pretty meh overall 

[H2Otown_WX]

5 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Um... It's the NAM with 3-4 days to go. Are you seriously putting stock in this run (whether it's good or bad).

Not really 3-4 days out...the storm is only 48-60 hours from forming. Whatever impacts we have could be 72-96 hours away but we're getting into useful range of the NAM imo since the phasing that so many Euro runs had was supposed to happen in the Friday-Saturday time frame.

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Not really 3-4 days out...the storm is only 48-60 hours from forming. Whatever impacts we have could be 72-96 hours away but we're getting into useful range of the NAM imo since the phasing that so many Euro runs had was supposed to happen in the Friday-Saturday time frame.

6z NAM is meh

[Modfan2]

Latest run feel like a winter storm modeling; models lose the storm to allow local bridge jumping only for them to bring the storm back a d become a nowcast event

[ineedsnow]

6Z RGEM came west a bit and a little stronger.. still SE of the cape though

[ineedsnow]

6z ICON also looks good

[CoastalWx]

Euro shit itself going hundreds of miles. AI ticked NE too. Overall weaker trends. Was kind of surprised. 

[CoastalWx]

That was a glue factory performance by euro op.

[qg_omega]

7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes, but much needed rain.

No rain needed down here

[CoastalWx]

AI gfs looks good here