Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand

[vortex95]

6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Great but what's this got to do with @CoastalWx?

It doesn't!  Imagine that! 

[wx_observer]

46 minutes ago, kdxken said:

A guy I golf with lost almost three of his toes to a lawn mower (not the guy pictured). He was 10 and pushing up a hill and it rolled back on him. His mother ran out in a panic and poured rubbing alcohol on it. I don't blame her but they couldn't reattach the toes because of it.

Not sure what is worse:  losing 3 toes or losing almost 3 toes.  

[vortex95]

Let's flood out wrn CT again!  00z HRRR.
 

[kdxken]

"By Tuesday the trough axis moves into the maritimes and mid level ridging/building surface high pressure should keep rain at bay for the most part. Uncertain as to exactly when our next bout of
unsettled weather arrives but the synoptic pattern looks to be
active, so periodic shortwaves (rain/t-storm chances) are expected to move through mid to late week, and even continuing into the weekend for daily afternoon/evening rain chances."

If I wanted Vermont summer weather I would move to Vermont. Waste of a summer week.

[CoastalWx]

One day dew down then it comes right back. They’ll be some shwrs and storms around but it should be a very warm week overall with plenty of sun. 

[BrianW]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

One day dew down then it comes right back. They’ll be some shwrs and storms around but it should be a very warm week overall with plenty of sun. 

Yep. Muggy Meter shows it well.

 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

I’d be willing to bet dews stay in the 60’s Tuesday . That front really doesn’t move all the way through cleanly 

[Brewbeer]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

I’d be willing to bet dews stay in the 60’s Tuesday .

 

Let’s hope not.

76/71, dewscusting out there right now

[Damage In Tolland]

Midweek on looks like Tip’s Bermuda Blues pattern he gets so hot over. Maybe a pm shower each day.

Another day tomorrow of downpours with little/no thunder. Will we see a tstorm ever again ?

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Midweek on looks like Tip’s Bermuda Blues pattern he gets so hot over. Maybe a pm shower each day.

Another day tomorrow of downpours with little/no thunder. Will we see a tstorm ever again ?

If we get a few breaks of sun there could be decent storms. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Tomorrow doesn’t look that interesting. Looks like the Canadian is the only guidance showing more than .5-.75 here 

[CoastalWx]

29 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Tomorrow doesn’t look that interesting. Looks like the Canadian is the only guidance showing more than .5-.75 here 

Congrats on a soaker. 

[dendrite]

Hope the HR^3 is right

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Hope the HR^3 is right

Let’s skip the lakes region and get Seymour another 4”.

[weatherwiz]

I'm shocked there aren't flash flood watches out or flood watches. I bet tonight into tomorrow evening has more reports of flooding than the past few setups combined. 

[Snowedin]

2 hours ago, Brewbeer said:

Let’s hope not.

76/71, dewscusting out there right now

Let’s keep the love train going right through Torchvember and Dewcember. Those white claws and natty lites ain’t gonna sip themselves!

[H2Otown_WX]

35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I'm shocked there aren't flash flood watches out or flood watches. I bet tonight into tomorrow evening has more reports of flooding than the past few setups combined. 

Meh, that's a lot of money to sit on your ass and not issue watches

[H2Otown_WX]

12 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Let's flood out wrn CT again!  00z HRRR.
 

@RUNNAWAYICEBERG and I understand we are only to jackpot in rain events. During winter the jack will miss us in every conceivable direction.

[Torch Tiger]

Soaker tomorrow?

[Damage In Tolland]

Folks is cocked . Tomorrow is one of those have/ have nots days. Most turns get a downpour or two and a few that train get 2” and that’s it. Very meh setup with no sun 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Congrats on a soaker. 

Define “soaker”. To me it’s more than like 1.5”.

 

I don’t see any widespread support for that. Maybe some town in western CT gets more than that, but good luck guessing where and if that happens 

[VivaManchVegas]

17 hours ago, Snowedin said:

Might be bitternut hickory? We’ve had a bunch of those dropping out in the back usually starting around mid summer and going right through early fall. I always see squirrels and deer gobbling up the little nuggets at the odd ends of the day. Plus they hurt like hell if you’ve ever happen to stumble on one of those!

edit: does this one look similar? (Took this a couple years back)

 

Last year was an odd year for oaks in our area.  I have a huge white oak in our front yard and i could not find one acorn dropped.  I was told it was due to a fungus and the weather.  It was a wide spread problem.  I am wondering if this is fallout from that. 

[weatherwiz]

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Folks is cocked . Tomorrow is one of those have/ have nots days. Most turns get a downpour or two and a few that train get 2” and that’s it. Very meh setup with no sun 

Rainfall rates will be quite impressive tomorrow and the initial round of rain is going to be on the widespread side and then we see what we can develop during the day in terms of convection. You have a stout southerly LLJ into the region with 8850 dewpoints +16 to +17C and PWAT values between 2.20" and 2.40". There is no capping and you have the LFC right about the same height as the LCL. The radar is going to be lit up with rain and continuous development of downpours and embedded thunder throughout the day and this will train across a large area. 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Rainfall rates will be quite impressive tomorrow and the initial round of rain is going to be on the widespread side and then we see what we can develop during the day in terms of convection. You have a stout southerly LLJ into the region with 8850 dewpoints +16 to +17C and PWAT values between 2.20" and 2.40". There is no capping and you have the LFC right about the same height as the LCL. The radar is going to be lit up with rain and continuous development of downpours and embedded thunder throughout the day and this will train across a large area. 

 

Not seeing that. Everyone will rain but only a very narrow area will get anything of bigger significance. There will be a small zone that trains .. but it’s nothing widespread 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Dews today and yesterday have been oppressive, low to mid 70s. 

[Torch Tiger]

The lines are drawn

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not seeing that. Everyone will rain but only a very narrow area will get anything of bigger significance. There will be a small zone that trains .. but it’s nothing widespread 

The big difference in this versus the previous setups is this rain isn't spread out over a long duration. This will be the type of stuff that produces 2-4" in 1-2 hours versus several-plus hours. 

[SJonesWX]

85/72. disgusting.

[Chrisrotary12]

Dewsgusting out there. Congrats to those that enjoy this. 

[dendrite]

81.6/71

Dewtylicious