Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Need more push to get into the goods here. 

1.33” storm total so far. 

I think that happens for you…it’s here now.  Hasn’t  stopped at all, all day here. And heavy the last few hrs. 

[Damage In Tolland]

If this was winter we would all hate radar and be correct 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

If this was winter we would all hate radar and be correct 

I’d love it…I’d be at 18” if this was snow, with more to come. 

[CT Valley Snowman]

.71 in Enfield with precip about to temporarily shut down in northern ct. This always favored the southern half of the state for the biggest totals. Northern CT,  as of now, looks like a a beneficial rainfall but nothing earth shattering.  Nice banding along 84 SW of Hartford.  

[bristolri_wx]

Seems like another 1-2” of rain over next 24 hours looks to be reasonable for many south of the pike as the storm moves north and the east over the coastal waters.

Every model has a different depiction of how it exactly turns up. HREF are juicy but should be taken with a grain of salt, but shows why no one is steining this storm at 5PM on Monday even though precip shield is scattered/ragged on radar at the moment.

Someone is going to get a lot of rain though wherever that boundary settles in.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s all far s Ct . There’s no north push to the pike 

No, it’s not. Central areas too…we’ve had quite the rain today. 

[ineedsnow]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s all far s Ct . There’s no north push to the pike 

[ineedsnow]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If this was winter we would all hate radar and be correct 

We would hate the radar and be mad as hell then the push would finally come and we would all rejoice and say ohhh that's what the models were seeing..  

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

We would hate the radar and be mad as hell then the push would finally come and we would all rejoice and say ohhh that's what the models were seeing..  

This.  Although I’d have about 18-20” already from it…

[OrangeCTWX]

3.5” on the dot.

[Torch Tiger]

Great evening out there with Stein shield. You have to wonder it even rains here

[CT Valley Snowman]

There is a decent amount of modeling showing a secondary north push. Time will tell.   When it's all said and done, the southern half of CT will likely do the best.  I think Enfield ends up around 1-1.25", which in the end, is a nice beneficial rainfall.   I'd like to get up there 2" or more ,but I'm not really sold on that yet.  

[Damage In Tolland]

Some folks  is cocked in here this evening . The convection south robbed the moisture transport as is typical in summer . It’ll rain farther north and east but no one away from the south coasts and maybe SE Mass are getting flooding and 3-9” of rain . You can see it on radar . Put model qpf down 

[WxWatcher007]

5” of rain being reported out in the Danbury/Ridgefield area. 

[dendrite]

HRRR wants to blow up that band running across C MA and move it into S NH. Looks like beer.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

HRRR wants to blow up that band running across C MA and move it into S NH. Looks like beer.

That model has blown both Dick Jack and Jack Dick this whole thing 

[OrangeCTWX]

Pouring rain here again. I think we should be able to crack 5 inches at least by the time this is done.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Maybe 1/4” here so far 

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That model has blown both Dick Jack and Jack Dick this whole thing 

NCEP initializing the HRRR and NAM with tequila now so we won’t miss them when they’re gone. 

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

NCEP initializing the HRRR and NAM with tequila now so we won’t miss them when they’re gone. 

As well as it tattooed that azz to my face line on Saturday with severe storm miss . It’s been equally as bad with this . Any big qpf modeled in summer generally always fails over more than a very narrow area 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

0.17 in the desert here. I’d be stunned if we get an inch based on Radar 

[Chrisrotary12]

49 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Great evening out there with Stein shield. You have to wonder it even rains here

I said our forecast was 0-3” lol

[Modfan2]

About 1.30” so far, nice slow rain to soak in

[HoarfrostHubb]

0.0” so far 

[Modfan2]

Watching this on radar, it seems like it wants to put a fire hose into SE CT and then  it falls apart. What causing the this?

[BrianW]

 

29 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Pouring rain here again. I think we should be able to crack 5 inches at least by the time this is done.

4 inches here with more bands rolling in. Thinking I might top 6 here in Branford. 

Looks like HVN might be the jack with that firehouse coming in from the sound. 

 

 

 

[Torch Tiger]

6 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I said our forecast was 0-3” lol

Yeah I think Stein wins but we'll see

[Damage In Tolland]

That thing collapsed and shut down faster than an Ineedsnow Pepsi display by the Coca Cola rep at Stop and Shop 

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That thing collapsed and shut down faster than an Ineedsnow Pepsi display by the Coca Cola rep at Stop and Shop 

How much you have so far?  Before the stuff tomorrow morning.

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That thing collapsed and shut down faster than an Ineedsnow Pepsi display by the Coca Cola rep at Stop and Shop 

I dont have a stop and shop  I work for pepsico but do the Frito lay part of it