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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7


WxWatcher007
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3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Need more push to get into the goods here. 

1.33” storm total so far. 

I think that happens for you…it’s here now.  Hasn’t  stopped at all, all day here. And heavy the last few hrs. 

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.71 in Enfield with precip about to temporarily shut down in northern ct. This always favored the southern half of the state for the biggest totals. Northern CT,  as of now, looks like a a beneficial rainfall but nothing earth shattering.  Nice banding along 84 SW of Hartford.  

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Seems like another 1-2” of rain over next 24 hours looks to be reasonable for many south of the pike as the storm moves north and the east over the coastal waters.

Every model has a different depiction of how it exactly turns up. HREF are juicy but should be taken with a grain of salt, but shows why no one is steining this storm at 5PM on Monday even though precip shield is scattered/ragged on radar at the moment.

Someone is going to get a lot of rain though wherever that boundary settles in.:raining:

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If this was winter we would all hate radar and be correct 

We would hate the radar and be mad as hell then the push would finally come and we would all rejoice and say ohhh that's what the models were seeing..  

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3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

We would hate the radar and be mad as hell then the push would finally come and we would all rejoice and say ohhh that's what the models were seeing..  

This.  Although I’d have about 18-20” already from it…

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There is a decent amount of modeling showing a secondary north push. Time will tell.   When it's all said and done, the southern half of CT will likely do the best.  I think Enfield ends up around 1-1.25", which in the end, is a nice beneficial rainfall.   I'd like to get up there 2" or more ,but I'm not really sold on that yet.  

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Some folks  is cocked in here this evening . The convection south robbed the moisture transport as is typical in summer . It’ll rain farther north and east but no one away from the south coasts and maybe SE Mass are getting flooding and 3-9” of rain . You can see it on radar . Put model qpf down 

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5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That model has blown both Dick Jack and Jack Dick this whole thing 

NCEP initializing the HRRR and NAM with tequila now so we won’t miss them when they’re gone. 

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8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

NCEP initializing the HRRR and NAM with tequila now so we won’t miss them when they’re gone. 

As well as it tattooed that azz to my face line on Saturday with severe storm miss . It’s been equally as bad with this . Any big qpf modeled in summer generally always fails over more than a very narrow area 

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29 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Pouring rain here again. I think we should be able to crack 5 inches at least by the time this is done.

4 inches here with more bands rolling in. Thinking I might top 6 here in Branford. 

Looks like HVN might be the jack with that firehouse coming in from the sound. 

 

 

 

20260706_182552.jpg

Screenshot_20260706_190912_RadarScope.jpg

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That thing collapsed and shut down faster than an Ineedsnow Pepsi display by the Coca Cola rep at Stop and Shop 

How much you have so far?  Before the stuff tomorrow morning.

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That thing collapsed and shut down faster than an Ineedsnow Pepsi display by the Coca Cola rep at Stop and Shop 

I dont have a stop and shop :lol: I work for pepsico but do the Frito lay part of it 

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