Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7

[WinterWolf]

58 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I don't know about you but last 2 days 1.61 .

Also See Legro post 

Yup…CT in the thick of it. Soaking rains. Kev was hedging it stayed south..not happening with this one. 

[weatherwiz]

I think its safe to say, that can be tossed and tossed very far

[moneypitmike]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z HRRR going wild in some spots

pics?

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

pics?

 

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I think its safe to say, that can be tossed and tossed very far

you sure about that?  12z NAM coming in 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup…CT in the thick of it. Soaking rains. Kev was hedging it stayed south..not happening with this one. 

Su far it’s gone exactly like I thought with nuisance rains in CT and big totals south and west 

[ineedsnow]

12z NAM going to flood 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Su far it’s gone exactly like I thought with nuisance rains in CT and big totals south and west 

Looks pretty uniform to me on the radar…been raining nonstop for 12 hrs now, and  3” is looking likely here. 

[ineedsnow]

3k looks meh though

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Looks pretty uniform to me on the radar…been raining nonstop for 12 hrs now, and  3” is looking likely here. 

Look at totals so far . 3” will not be the normal in C and N CT

[weatherwiz]

This evolution doesn't scream flood to me outside of any typical spots that flood even when someone leaves their garden hose on too long. I want to see an expansive area of 35-40+ dbz which is almost not moving and with a continuous fetch of moisture and a continued blossoming of the precip shield with intense echoes so the rain shield is essentially stationary. 

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Look at totals so far . 3” will not be the normal in C and N CT

it hasn't even really started for CT yet.. congrats on 3 plus

[dendrite]

HRRR tells ditty and tblizzy to enjoy their 5-7”

[weatherwiz]

The NAM does go ray with the LLJ too but still, if you want to see excessive rainfall amounts with a high flood concern, you're going to want to see a situation where the rain band is essentially stationary. This isn't exactly hauling but its not really crawling through either. 

[dendrite]

Mesos are getting midlevel rains up here tomorrow morning. We pray.

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s over by morning 

tomorrow morning sure

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s over by morning 

Huh? 

[ineedsnow]

sun is out.. nice and cool. we take! 

[kdxken]

31 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

 

If that comes to fruition I'll lose it.

[CT Valley Snowman]

Looks like about .45 so far at home.  Nice day up in Maine.  

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Looks like about .45 so far at home.  Nice day up in Maine.  

Even here its been a nice day.. had a brief shower.. but a sun cloud mix now

[Cyclone-68]

Meh…I’m not feeling this one. That and we’ve barely had a drop while south of me people are getting beneficial rains. I’ve seen this too many times in the winter. Sharp cut off between the haves and have nots  

[tamarack]

3 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Looks like about .45 so far at home.  Nice day up in Maine.  

Sun thru some very thin clouds, forecast says nada from the current system, maybe some TS late week.  (Though that was the forecast for last Wed-Sat and nothing happened.)  The Sandy River was above 75th percentile last Monday and probably will drop below 25% by Wednesday, as the trees are working and the temps have been very AN this month.

[amarshall]

oysters get closed for 5". We have farms in West Falmouth and North Falmouth.  Looks to be a bullseye. 

[OrangeCTWX]

Based on radar it kinda looks like CNJ into Long Island is going to get the worst of it.  But obviously that can change. 

[Brian5671]

10 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Based on radar it kinda looks like CNJ into Long Island is going to get the worst of it.  But obviously that can change. 

Hudson Valley too with that training area of rain-some of those spots are over 6 inches and still going.

more of a stratiform rain here locally-up to about 1.60 with steady mod rains

[Torch Tiger]

Nice mild, p sunny day.   Take!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

sun is out.. nice and cool. we take! 

Franklin Co needs rain. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

58 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Even here its been a nice day.. had a brief shower.. but a sun cloud mix now

Not a drop here in the HUBB.    Mostly cloudy with some sun. 71F

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

The heaviest rain that I can remember besides the floods on March 30, 2010 was during the remnants of Hurricane Ida. I remember driving home from work that night and actually having to stop multiple times because visibility was zero from the relentless pounding rain.