Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[dendrite]

12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I saw the conversation and knew wolfie wouldn’t be able to resist. Even in his summer hibernation

He could be deep in the Allagash forests and still get the Trump signal here

[vortex95]

00z HRRR and esp. RRFS go big w/ the QPF Tue and Wed.   Sern NY bulls-eye again!  Tor risk wrn sections today and entire area in MRGL Wed.  Quite the 500 trough for July to impact the region and it just doesn't quickly swing through.  Train echo tstms likely.  And hardly any talk here?  Wxwiz, I am disappointed!   CoastalWx probably "MEH!"

And work more on this drought.  You'd think its so bad from the MSM when VT has no drought, much of NH nothing, and the same for ME.  Since the start of the year, the DSCI has dropped from 137 to 70 for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, but do you ever hear about that? "Oh, but ern MA is in severe drought!"  Local drought is not the same as widespread drought.

 

[Modfan2]

Temp down to 54F this am; looks like storms already firing in PA/NJ border. Congrats W CT?

[NoCORH4L]

Yikes.  Cheetah and SkiMarge have entered the chat. 

Definitely need the rain here.  Tired of watering my bean pole and tomatoes daily. 

[weatherwiz]

HRRR was a solid line moving through

[CoastalWx]

RRFS can eat it. I’m still pumping out my basement from its output last week. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

No big dews or heat waves in sight. What a fantastic summeh.

[Damage In Tolland]

First week of Augdewst signs of heat and humidity building in for extended time 

[wx_observer]

6 hours ago, vortex95 said:

00z HRRR and esp. RRFS go big w/ the QPF Tue and Wed.   Sern NY bulls-eye again!  Tor risk wrn sections today and entire area in MRGL Wed.  Quite the 500 trough for July to impact the region and it just doesn't quickly swing through.  Train echo tstms likely.  And hardly any talk here?  Wxwiz, I am disappointed!   CoastalWx probably "MEH!"

And work more on this drought.  You'd think its so bad from the MSM when VT has no drought, much of NH nothing, and the same for ME.  Since the start of the year, the DSCI has dropped from 137 to 70 for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, but do you ever hear about that? "Oh, but ern MA is in severe drought!"  Local drought is not the same as widespread drought.

 

Man, this would be a cruel joke.  Temps come down enough for tomatoes to ripen, and 3 inches of rain comes along to split them all.

[Chrisrotary12]

I honestly can’t recall the last time I called that body of water anything other than “the Gulf”. 

[Damage In Tolland]

NAM 3K probably has the right idea because it screws this area. Still think this is a congrats NYC to S coast to SE Mass .. or even a bit south . Hopefully wrong but that’s the gut feeling 

[powderfreak]

Made it to my grandparents’ homeland… Norwegian family here.  Second time over in Norway, but man, this place is absolute sensory overload.

Fun watching the Red Sox win 14 from various airports too, ha.

Hard to drive with this going on around you..

[Ginx snewx]

31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

First week of Augdewst signs of heat and humidity building in for extended time 

Hmm

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Made it to my grandparents’ homeland… Norwegian family here.  Second time over here but man, this place is absolute sensory overload.

Hard to drive with this going on around you..

Jesus 

[weatherwiz]

Higher heat and humidity will be building in through the first week of August. 

[Bryan63]

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Made it to my grandparents’ homeland… Norwegian family here.  Second time over in Norway, but man, this place is absolute sensory overload.

Fun watching the Red Sox win 14 from various airports too, ha.

Hard to drive with this going on around you..

Enjoy, family is also Norwegian, spent a month there summer before high school with family that still lives there and hoping to get back to experience it again. Absolutely gorgeous country.

[SouthCoastMA]

15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Higher heat and humidity will be building in through the first week of August. 

Doesn't look like a huge signal to me, though I suppose it could get a bit more humid than it is now. 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Doesn't look like a huge signal to me, though I suppose it could get a bit more humid than it is now. 

Tip made a post on it yesterday, but you can see signals in that likelihood. Matches up kind of well too climatologically where we can get big (kind of final) big heat pushes in early August. The longevity of it though will certainly be a question given the continued theme for troughing to our northwest, but if anything that at least keeps the door open for cold fronts/convective potential

[SouthCoastMA]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Tip made a post on it yesterday, but you can see signals in that likelihood. Matches up kind of well too climatologically where we can get big (kind of final) big heat pushes in early August. The longevity of it though will certainly be a question given the continued theme for troughing to our northwest, but if anything that at least keeps the door open for cold fronts/convective potential

OK I missed the post. Was just checking out some of the 6z ensemble means. I don't doubt it will get warmer, but a bit skeptical on the magnitude/duration

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

OK I missed the post. Was just checking out some of the 6z ensemble means. I don't doubt it will get warmer, but a bit skeptical on the magnitude/duration

Yeah the duration is certainly a question, but then again, duration of higher heat events is always trickly here just because of our geographical proximity to Canada and vulnerability of fronts moving through. I guess the question would be, do any fronts completely alter the pattern or would it just be a case of multiple days of average temps before we blow another warm front through and bring in another round of heat? 

Magnitude isa challenge too, but that is a very large plume of ~+25C 850 temps being modeled into the OV...doesn't take much to really break some of that off and send it our way, especially ahead of a front or even build the airmass in if ridging expands east.

[Great Snow 1717]

51 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I honestly can’t recall the last time I called that body of water anything other than “the Gulf”. 

Same here..

[dendrite]

Today is the climo warmest day for CON. All downhill from here…sadly.

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Today is the climo warmest day for CON. All downhill from here…sadly.

Already dealing with the later sunrises and the earlier sunsets are getting noticeable too, it blows. 

[kdxken]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Already dealing with the later sunrises and the earlier sunsets are getting noticeable too, it blows. 

Maybe it's just me but this summer seems to have flown by.

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Maybe it's just me but this summer seems to have flown by.

Same here. I feel like I didn't even really get to enjoy the summer. I regret not setting up shop outside and working like I did the past few summers. But I got myself one of those towers with 3 monitors hooked up and it would have just been a pain to bring that outside each day/inside and then the power strip. But its been work/summer classes so haven't been able to do much. I try and sit outside during the evenings but we get destroyed with mosquitos. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Higher heat and humidity will be building in through the first week of August. 

Well it can’t get any cooler with lower dews. Only way to go in Aug is up.

[Torch Tiger]

21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Well it can’t get any cooler with lower dews. Only way to go in Aug is up.

if that's the case...it's barely BN

[Cyclone-68]

Looks like southwestern CT will be having some fun in an hour or so 

[dendrite]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Made it to my grandparents’ homeland… Norwegian family here.  Second time over in Norway, but man, this place is absolute sensory overload.

Fun watching the Red Sox win 14 from various airports too, ha.

Hard to drive with this going on around you..

That’s beautiful though. I could live there if it wasn’t for the lack of light in winter

[Typhoon Tip]

Bad Gateway  -related delay/ping failure has returned.    Check for another wave of foreign shitheads

Also, probably could have been a part of the enhanced severe stuff today if it were not this piece of shit useless timed nocturnal garbage waste ... just exquisitely timed to make sure nothing happens but light mosquito rain