July 2026

[Brian5671]

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Yep, seems pretty straightforward to me. Models almost unanimously nailing that area that got hit last week too. 

I'm hoping it misses here-the big totals-still alot of cleanup ongoing after last week's flooding/damage

[IrishRob17]

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

I'm hoping it misses here-the big totals-still alot of cleanup ongoing after last week's flooding/damage

Hoping for a miss here as well, close to 10" here for July at this point. 

[forkyfork]

i would like big totals plz

[hudsonvalley21]

3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Hoping for a miss here as well, close to 10" here for July at this point. 

Can actually say we don’t really need that much today. First time in a long while for that statement. Picked a good time to be in Cancun this week. Fingers crossed for no flooding and damage to all.

[bluewave]

On 7/15/2026 at 1:16 PM, Superstorm said:

How does that compare to normal.

 

Mike Flannigan

 

@mikeflannigan.bsky.social

Follow

Graphs showing cumulative area burned and carbon emissions in Ontario. Note in terms of area burned 2021 is the top spot but 2026 is top spot in terms of carbon emissions. Both are correct. The reason for this is that the 2026 fires are more severe - consumed more biomass (greater depth of burn).

 

ALT

 

ALT

7:12 PM · Jul 19, 2026

Everybody can reply

[jm1220]

23 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

I'm hoping it misses here-the big totals-still alot of cleanup ongoing after last week's flooding/damage

Been wetter than average for July in my backyard but otherwise anything of real interest has missed. Severe weather July 4th missed east and the heavy flooding rain north and west. Zzzzzz and looks to continue that way. Hopefully since we’re still in a long term drought enough survives east of the city to make it to an inch here total but this seems to be another either you’re flooded out or dry. At least the lawns are green and no swarms of pests that come after flooding rains. 

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Been wetter than average for July in my backyard but otherwise anything of real interest has missed. Severe weather July 4th missed east and the heavy flooding rain north and west. Zzzzzz and looks to continue that way. Hopefully since we’re still in a long term drought enough survives east of the city to make it to an inch here total but this seems to be another either you’re flooded out or dry. At least the lawns are green and no swarms of pests that come after flooding rains. 

Typical convective nature of these summer events.  Some areas that have gotten hit could make a run at 15-18 inches of rain this month

[Rmine1]

6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Been wetter than average for July in my backyard but otherwise anything of real interest has missed. Severe weather July 4th missed east and the heavy flooding rain north and west. Zzzzzz and looks to continue that way. Hopefully since we’re still in a long term drought enough survives east of the city to make it to an inch here total but this seems to be another either you’re flooded out or dry. At least the lawns are green and no swarms of pests that come after flooding rains. 

Yeah LI will be predominantly some moderate showers. Hit or miss type of stuff. Just like the last event. 

[jm1220]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Typical convective nature of these summer events.  Some areas that have gotten hit could make a run at 15-18 inches of rain this month

Yep, looks like the exact same areas will get pummeled again or at least the highest chance. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Typical convective nature of these summer events.  Some areas that have gotten hit could make a run at 15-18 inches of rain this month

Almost like August/September 1999, which climaxed with Hurricane Floyd. It put paused to a long running drought. If not for that, knowing what came after, we would have had a near 5-year continuous drought.

[SACRUS]

76 / 71 mostly cloudy - steamy.  Cut off trough starting to spin 1- 3 inches of rai n and locally >3 inches through Thursday with the brunt of the heaviest rain falling overnight tonight. Clears out Friday - hoping to not still be stuck in the clouds as these are stubborn to clear out. Otherwise a nice Fri-Sat and mainlly Sunday.   Near - below normal 7/28 - 8/3.   Overall warmer - hot at times 8/4 - beyond as heights rise and peices of the western heat comes east and ridging into the EC backs in.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 101 (1949)
NYC: 97 (1999)
LGA: 98  (1948)
JFK: 98 (1949)


Lows:

EWR: 58 (1962)
NYC: 55 (1920)
LGA: 60 (1984)
JFK: 57 (1977)


Historical:

 

 

1609: The Sea Venture was crippled by a hurricane as it headed to Jamestown, VA with provisions for the starving colonists. The 150 men, women and children found safe shelter on the Bahama Islands, which the captain named Somers Islands after the ship's captain. Most of the colonists moved into Virginia the next year, but the island still celebrates Somers Day each July 28. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1819: A small but intense hurricane passed over Bay Saint Louis, MS. The hurricane was considered the worst in fifty years. Few houses were left standing either at Bay Saint Louis or at Pass Christian, and much of the Mississippi coast was desolate following the storm. A U.S. cutter was lost along with its thirty-nine crew members. The storm struck the same area that was hit 150 years later by Hurricane Camille. (David Ludlum) (Ref. WxDoctor)

1819 - A small but intense hurricane passed over Bay Saint Louis, MS. The hurricane was considered the worst in fifty years. Few houses were left standing either at Bay Saint Louis or at Pass Christian, and much of the Mississippi coast was desolate following the storm. A U.S. cutter was lost along with its thirty-nine crew members. The storm struck the same area that was hit 150 years later by Hurricane Camille. (David Ludlum)

1898: A severe thunderstorm produced considerable hail (some stones to 11 ounces) in Chicago, Illinois business district. Some people were hurt, not by hail, but by several hundred runaway horses spooked by the hailstones.

1930 - The temperature at Greensburg, KY, soared to 114 degrees to set a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1934 - The temperature at Grofino, ID, climbed to 118 degrees to establish a record for Idaho. (The Weather Channel)

1935: Sheridan, WY recorded their all-time record high minimum temperature of 77°. The afternoon high of 106° was their second hottest temperature ever. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1952 - A severe storm with hail up to an inch and a half in diameter broke windows, ruined roofs, and stripped trees of leaves near Benson, AZ. The temperature dropped to 37 degrees, as hail was three to four inches deep, with drifts 46 inches high. (The Weather Channel)

 

1952: The 99° temperature at Washington, DC set date record and month's mean of 80.9 gave 2nd warmest July. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

 

1974: Avon Park, Fla.--a 6-year old girl was killed by lightning while outside manually turning a TV-antenna pole for better reception. Fallsburg, NY - A mid-afternoon thunderstorm killed one golfer and injured another. Eastern Pennsylvania--One death and three injuries were reported to have resulted from lightning strikes. Hamilton County, Ohio--A boy was killed by lightning while walking from field to farmhouse. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1976: A severe thunderstorm produced a tornado causing F3 damage in Madison County in Illinois The twister destroyed 11 homes, two churches, and a school in the western part of New Douglas and was responsible for 3 deaths and 30 injuries. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1986 - Severe thunderstorms moving out of South Dakota across Iowa produce high winds which derailed eighteen piggyback trailer cars of a westbound freight train near Boone, IA. Sixteen of the cars fell 187 feet into the Des Moines River. The thunderstorms also spawned a number of tornadoes, including one which caused twenty-five to fifty million dollars damage at Sloan, near Sioux City, IA. (Storm Data)

1987 - Thunderstorms in Nevada produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Searchlight, reducing visibilities to near zero in blowing dust and sand. Thunderstorms in Montana drenched Lonesome Lake with 3.78 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms drenched Wilmington, NC, with 3.33 inches of rain, bringing their monthly total 14.46 inches. Seven cities in Michigan and Minnesota reported record high temperatures for the date. Marquette, MI, hit 99 degrees, and the record high of 94 degrees at Flint MI was their tenth of the month. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Afternoon thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Massachusetts. Early evening thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 68 mph at Fort Myers, and evening thunderstorms in South Dakota produced nearly two inches of rain in twenty minutes at Pierpoint. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1995: A 15-year-old girl was struck and killed in Northampton County as she walked along Smith Beach, VA. Also on this day, in Danville, VA a woman was slightly injured by lightning while standing near a window in her house. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)


1995: A heat wave prevailed across the southwestern U.S. Yuma, AZ reached its all-time high temperature reading with 124°. Palm Springs, CA hit 123° on this date and the 29th tying their all-time record high (7/10/1979 & 8/1/1993). It was 121° at Borrego Springs, CA, their highest temperature on record for July and their second highest temperature ever. Other record highs included: Riverside, CA: 107°, Idyllwild, CA: 95° and Big Bear Lake, CA: 90°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1997: Arlington, VA a man and woman were struck by lightning in the Pentagon's parking lot; the man was listed in serious condition. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)  8 to 10 inches of rain fell across the Spring Creek basin near Fort Collins, CO during the evening hours. The water pooled behind a railroad track bed that acted as a dam, building the water level to a height of 20 feet. When the water began rushing over the top of the track bed, it quickly eroded the earthen embankment, and a wall of water 10 feet to 20 feet high rushed through two trailer parks in the city. 120 mobile homes and 19 houses were destroyed. Damage totaled $200 million dollars. The disaster hit just days before the 21st anniversary of the Big Thompson River flood, which killed 145 people about 20 miles southwest of Fort Collins. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)  In what was described by local residents as the worst flooding in 14 years, severe thunderstorms pounded Needles, CA with damaging winds and torrential rain. Rainfall estimates between 2 and 3 inches in less than one hour inundated and damaged part of a highway and made many local roads impassable. The strong wind gusts destroyed some car ports and downed numerous trees and power lines, further blocking traffic. No injuries were reported.

2000: 16 people were injured when Pam Am flight 165, a Boeing 727 traveling from Orlando, FL to Pittsburgh, PA encountered severe clear air turbulence. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: Three young girls wading in knee deep water in the inlet between Rockaway and Atlantic Beach in Queens were swept away and drowned as dangerous rip currents funneled through the inlet. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2004: Heavy rain produced flash flooding across western north Texas and south-central Oklahoma. Up to 8 inches of rain fell across Archer and Knox counties, with nearly 5 inches across Wichita and Clay counties. Runoff caused several rivers to spill their banks, including the South Wichita River, which eventually crested nearly 5 feet above flood stage near Benjamin, the 3rd highest crest on record for that site. Ardmore, OK received nearly 5 inches as well, along with flash flooding at the Chickasaw National Recreation Center. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2011: 122-year rainfall record for July falls, more storms coming Two passing storms overnight dumped enough rain to make this July the wettest one in the city's history. They also knocked out power to tens of thousands of area residents and raised fears of more flooding. The wave of storms, which spurred tornado and flood watches across the area, raised this month's rainfal

[SACRUS]

Current radar

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

 A lot of rain coming, very steamy out here. We'll definitely see flooding today. Northern Westchester county should really watch out and southeastern Queens and Brooklyn are prone to setups like this for big flooding.

[jconsor]

Recent guidance targeting northern NJ for heaviest rainfall: https://x.com/BhatiaKieran/status/2082103580756971568

[Stormlover74]

The latest 

[SnowGoose69]

8 minutes ago, jconsor said:

Recent guidance targeting northern NJ for heaviest rainfall: https://x.com/BhatiaKieran/status/2082103580756971568

This event feels easier to forecast than last Tuesday since energy is more consolidated and its also arriving later and not during the AM.  

[NJwx85]

This is a convective event so there will be winners and losers. I had 2.29” yesterday under that stationary storm in less than an hour. The storms today should be moving but there will be training. Someone is going to see a ridiculous total. Bullseye area looks to be along the I-287 corridor from Morristown up into the LHV.

[NJwx85]

PWAT’s are 1.6 to 1.8” with ample moisture on a SW flow. 

[Brian5671]

Radar popping here

[NJwx85]

Looks like the moderate risk for excessive rainfall has been expanded.

[Neblizzard]

Radar is exploding on the southern edge in PA now.   Someone is going to get 6 inches of rain from this. 

[Neblizzard]

3 hours ago, forkyfork said:

i would like big totals plz

What are your thoughts for Union county ?

[Stormlover74]

HRRR bullseyes philly area now

[Poker2015]

10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

HRRR bullseyes philly area now

Everything is developing west of Philly and going too far north for that area. 

I'm thinking my area right on 78 is too far southwest for the heaviest.

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Everything is developing west of Philly and going too far north for that area. 

I'm thinking my area right on 78 is too far southwest for the heaviest.

Seems that way at the moment but also the heaviest isn't until this evening

[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Everything is developing west of Philly and going too far north for that area. 

I'm thinking my area right on 78 is too far southwest for the heaviest.

Those areas more south will likely be hit later because of the surface low that forms.  You can see on the 3km NAM and HRRR that when that low forms in S PA later the precip explodes in those areas.