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June 2026


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Didn't even know it rained up at home while at work or at work.  Building is so quiet. 

Did watch storms blow up over point pleasant on our bridge cams. 

 

North bergen got flooded. Never seen it on this side of north bergen along Hudson. 

https://www.threads.com/@amprincipe/post/DZgsviGEWZ5?xmt=AQG0Yuy2QCZhP2PHwK3F_-vf2Hh6JEmkiXjZgD4kSB6pCIdjNk-wOsPK-n0PC4zJj8fnsm2N&slof=1

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Very warm conditions will likely continue through tomorrow. Showers and thundershowers are possible tomorrow as a cold front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms could be strong or severe.

Cooler weather will return for at least the first half of next week. 

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -30.44 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.344 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 77% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.4 (2.4° above normal). That would make June 2026 the eighth warmest June on record.

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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Looks like the warmth backs off starting Monday with temperatures closer to seasonable for the next 5 to 10 days. Could still sneak in a few 90° days along the way. But most days probably staying in the 80s after this current heatwave ends. 
 

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IMG_6633.thumb.webp.c1e76d85b199f7787f969fc0103087af.webp

 

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80 / 61 sunny but clouds already to CPA and suspect much of the afternoon is more clouds than sun but still upper 80s - low 90s (extending the heatwave for those that hit 90 on saturday).  Front and some storms later this evening and overnight could be some strong to severe storms.  Cooler Mon - Wed, brief heat spike Thu more 90s then quickly followed by cold front Friday.  Ridge west - trough easy and overall near normal through the 24th.  Last week of the month ahead of and into next should see more above normal biuld in and next chance of multi 90 degree days or sustained heat.

 

6/14 : Hot / storms
6/15 - 6/17 : Cool / dry very nice days
6/18: Brief heat spike
6/19 - 6/24 : Ridge west / trough northeast - near normal limited if any 90s
6/25 - beyond :  Moderation to warmer - next chance and heat towards the end of the period and opening next  month

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 99 (1988)
NYC: 99 (1956)
LGA: 99 (1956)
JFK: 95 (2005)



Lows:

EWR: 49 (1978)
NYC: 49 (1875)
LGA: 51 (1978)
JFK: 52 (1980)

HIstorical:

 

1886: Many people were lost when high seas from a hurricane inundated the area near Sabine, TX. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1887: Lexington and Long Creek, Oregon: First documented Oregon tornadoes strike Lexington in Morrow County and Long Creek in Grant County, causing considerable damage to farmland and timber. In addition, the Lexington tornado results in one death, the only one ever reported from a tornado in Oregon.
 

1903 - The Heppner Disaster occurred in Oregon. A cloudburst in the hills sent a flood down Willow Creek, and a twenty foot wall of water swept away a third of the town in minutes, killing 236 residents and causing 100 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

 

1953: The warmest June on record occurred in Oklahoma City, OK. The main part of the heat wave extended from the 11th through the 21st, and seven of the daily high temperatures during that stretch remain records for their respective dates. June 14th was the hottest day, reaching a toasty 106°. The other records ranged from 100° to 105°. Even the nighttime lows were records. Eight daily minimum temperatures from June 1953 are still record-warm daily minimum temperatures, ranging from 75° to 80°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1957: An F4 tornado moved across the south and southeast sides of Springfield, IL. The tornado destroyed 25 homes and severely damaged 175 others; property damage was around $3 million dollars. On the north side of town, the storms produced a wind gust of 98 mph at Capital Airport, which still stands as Springfield's record wind speed. Two people died during the storm, with over 50 others injured. A separate tornado touched down in downtown Jacksonville, destroying or damaging 40 buildings. East St. Louis, IL recorded the state record for rainfall in 24 hours with 16.54 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1961 - The temperature in Downtown San Francisco, CA, soared to 106 degrees to establish an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel)

 


1974: A tornado took an intermittent 53 mile long path across northwest and west central Illinois. The tornado first touched down just southeast of the Quad Cities, and moved southeast into Knox County. In Abingdon, 200 homes were damaged or destroyed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Thirty-two cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 97 degrees at Flint, MI, tied their record for June, and the high of 101 at Milwaukee WI marked their first 100 degree reading in 32 years. Thunderstorms brought much needed rains to South Texas, drenching McAllen with 3.2 inches in one hour. A thunderstorm soaked the town of Uncertain with 2.3 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thirty cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from the Central Gulf States to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region during the day and into the night. There were 62 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds caused 28 million dollars damage in Montgomery County MD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

1990: Shadyside, OH was destroyed by a wall of water up to 30 feet high causing 26 fatalities. The flooding was caused by 4 inches of rain that fell in just 75 minutes. Localized, excessive rainfall fell on saturated ground over southeastern Ohio during the evening, resulting in a 15 to 20 foot wall of water that raced down three small tributaries of the Ohio River. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1994: Norfolk: a bolt of lightning struck and critically injured a 50-year-old woman and a 38-year-old man playing in a golf tournament at Greenbrier Country Club in . Both suffered severe burns.


1998: On June13th and 14th Boston, MA had 5.99 inches precipitation the greatest in a 24 hours for June. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) and Atlantic, Iowa, set a state record for daily precipitation, measuring 13.18 inches of rain.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


2000: Rockingham County, three dispatchers were shocked through their headsets by a lightning strike. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

2001: Heavy wet snow fell along the Beartooth foothills in Montana. Snowfall totals included: 24 inches 9 miles south of McLeod, 18 inches just west and south of Red Lodge, McLeod & Mystic Lake: 12 inches, Stillwater Mine: 6 inches and Red Lodge: 1 inch. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2009: The line of severe thunderstorms formed along a boundary over the western suburbs of Denver, CO then moved east. The boundary produced at least one well defined funnel cloud that was observed by a stadium full of baseball fans at Coors Field. Large hail up to 1.75 inches in diameter was reported at Arvada, Broomfield, Denver, Federal Heights and North Glenn. In addition, the storm produced wind gusts from 60 to 74 mph. A peak gust of 58 mph was observed at Denver International Airport. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


2010: During June 14, training thunderstorms associated with a nearly-stationary cold front and an intense low-level jet brought torrential rains to the Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, area. Six to nine inches of rain in little more than three hours caused flash floods, resulting in more than three dozen water rescues. The North Canadian River at Oklahoma City rose from eight feet to over 21 feet almost instantly during the morning of June 14, Oklahoma City's wettest day on record (7.62 inches).

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58 minutes ago, SACRUS said:


80 / 61 sunny but clouds already to CPA and suspect much of the afternoon is more clouds than sun but still upper 80s - low 90s (extending the heatwave for those that hit 90 on saturday).  Front and some storms later this evening and overnight could be some strong to severe storms.  Cooler Mon - Wed, brief heat spike Thu more 90s then quickly followed by cold front Friday.  Ridge west - trough easy and overall near normal through the 24th.  Last week of the month ahead of and into next should see more above normal biuld in and next chance of multi 90 degree days or sustained heat.

 

6/14 : Hot / storms
6/15 - 6/17 : Cool / dry very nice days
6/18: Brief heat spike
6/19 - 6/24 : Ridge west / trough northeast - near normal limited if any 90s
6/25 - beyond :  Moderation to warmer - next chance and heat towards the end of the period and opening next  month

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

Hard to get the heat and humidity to hit and hold so far this warm season.  It gets hot and humid for a short stretch and then it is broken but a nice air mass.  No complaints from me.  I had been forecasting the heat to return and hold by the end of the coming week but once again it is delayed.  We'll see what the closing 7 days of June bring and then into July.  

Just need some rain.  The long term dryness still shows no sign of breaking.  We'll see who gets what later today.   Was initially thinking the 7 day period ending this coming Wednesday would have been wetter with 1-2" totals fairly widespread but it is under performing.  The heaviest rains have stayed west from the Mississippi River to just west of the Appalachians.  

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9 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

The afternoon and early evening looks dry. Timing for the storms looks late -- maybe not until between 10 and midnight. Hopefully it won't weaken too much by then. 

Better support today. Much more shear. I think it'll arrive earlier, closer to 8-9

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28 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Better support today. Much more shear. I think it'll arrive earlier, closer to 8-9

I hope you're right. It would be a shame if a good setup gets messed up by very late timing. Hopefully models like HRRR and Nam3km are wrong about the timing being that late. Still a good chance we'd see some heavy rain if it does happen that late though. We really need the rain so I'm keeping my fingers crossed. 

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