June 2026

[NEG NAO]

11 minutes ago, FPizz said:

You getting this little downpour too?  

a while ago

SVR from KPHI

[FPizz]

4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

a while ago

SVR from KPHI

Saw, brief downpour here with some thunder, looked a little worse in his area and Montgomery area with reds on radar.  

[winterwx21]

5 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Saw, brief downpour here with some thunder, looked a little worse in his area and Montgomery area with reds on radar.  

I see that one is going to miss me to the south, but I'm glad you got something. 

[LoboLeader1]

94 for a high here today.

 

[donsutherland1]

Very warm conditions will likely continue through Sunday. Cooler weather will return for at least the first half of next week. Some rain is also likely early next week, but rainfall amounts could be fairly light.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -15.11 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.364 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 77% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.5 (2.5° above normal). That would tie June 2026 the seventh warmest June on record with 1984.

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.