April 2026

[IrishRob17]

22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Where'd the big rainy pattern go-Upton has showers Wed night/Thurs AM and then nothing through the weekend

From Uptons discussion:

.KEY MESSAGE 3...
The next chance for unsettled weather could come this weekend with a
passing offshore low. The GFS and ICON are more aggressive showing
phasing of the northern and southern stream with a surface low
deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This would bring better
chances for seeing wet weather and windy conditions. Both the ECMWF
and GDPS are either offshore or weaker with this system, so there is
plenty of uncertainty. Stuck with NBM slight chance PoPs for now,
since even the more aggressive scenarios bring the low a little too
far offshore.

[Brian5671]

12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

From Uptons discussion:

.KEY MESSAGE 3...
The next chance for unsettled weather could come this weekend with a
passing offshore low. The GFS and ICON are more aggressive showing
phasing of the northern and southern stream with a surface low
deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This would bring better
chances for seeing wet weather and windy conditions. Both the ECMWF
and GDPS are either offshore or weaker with this system, so there is
plenty of uncertainty. Stuck with NBM slight chance PoPs for now,
since even the more aggressive scenarios bring the low a little too
far offshore.

must have been the 0z GFS-the 6z is way south and OTS

[jm1220]

15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

must have been the 0z GFS-the 6z is way south and OTS

Suppression depression in May. Hate to see it. I’ll be more than happy to salvage a weekend though. 

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Suppression depression in May. Hate to see it. I’ll be more than happy to salvage a weekend though. 

that's where strong blocking can help-keep it all south!

[bluewave]

It will be interesting to see if the coming El Niño can shift us out of this dry pattern which began in September 2024.

 

 

[JerseyWx]

58 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It will be interesting to see if the coming El Niño can shift us out of this dry pattern which began in September 2024.

 

 

You can see how the deficit got erased in NW Jersey since end of Feb.  Been pretty good here.

[Dan76]

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Where'd the big rainy pattern go-Upton has showers Wed night/Thurs AM and then nothing through the weekend

CMC clips us sunday Fwiw.

[The 4 Seasons]

I'm putting out a call for anyone who has final snowfall totals for the season for their town. There wasn't much after the last update on March 2nd but interior areas may have added a bit to this. 

Let me know via PM or tag me, thanks!

Winter 25-26 snowfall maps

[jm1220]

10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I'm putting out a call for anyone who has final snowfall totals for the season for their town. There wasn't much after the last update on March 2nd but interior areas may have added a bit to this. 

Let me know via PM or tag me, thanks!

Winter 25-26 snowfall maps

Had a very minor event after then that was a good coating so I guess I’ll go with 52.2”. Thanks for putting the maps together! 

[IrishRob17]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I'm putting out a call for anyone who has final snowfall totals for the season for their town. There wasn't much after the last update on March 2nd but interior areas may have added a bit to this. 

Let me know via PM or tag me, thanks!

Winter 25-26 snowfall maps

My season total is a touch higher, 46.3"

[IrishRob17]

6 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

must have been the 0z GFS-the 6z is way south and OTS

Updated discussion

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
An upper level low shifts east and will linger over eastern
Canada, with broad troughing over the eastern US through the
weekend. This pattern will lead to cool conditions, with a
stretch of highs and lows 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Stuck
with NBM temperatures for now, but trends will be monitored as
there will be a few nights across the interior where frost may
be possible.

The offshore low that was mentioned in the previous forecast has
shifted farther in the latest guidance, far enough to lower the
potential for impacts to the area.