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6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

People forget that spring sucks here. Always has and always will. Anything before Memorial Day is a crap shoot. We’ve had shitty Junes before where we couldn’t hit 80. 

Even July 4 weekends. I remember a few years ago it rained that whole weekend and didn’t get out of the 50s. Usually Memorial Day is around when we stop getting hit with the nasty backdoor fronts. 

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13 minutes ago, psv88 said:

People forget that spring sucks here. Always has and always will. Anything before Memorial Day is a crap shoot. We’ve had shitty Junes before where we couldn’t hit 80. 

We've actually lucked out somewhat-a fair amount of sunny days (Even if chilly) this spring and last week was a bonus.

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

This was a record breaking April temperature drop spanning around 5 days. These charts are just for hourly reports and miss highs or lows recorded between hours. Spots that radiate well dropped more than 60°.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&v=tmpf&hours=111&month=apr&dir=cool&how=exact&syear=1900&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

IMG_6140.thumb.png.7750838f80610dc90f6ce0c3ca75a94e.png

IMG_6139.thumb.png.b202093a69f72617b56ee2c639705fc8.png

 

This comes after we broke the one-day record for biggest temperature drop last month. Yep, this isn't normal. I've seen temperature swings, but not this many in such short order like we have this spring. I hope this doesn't continue. I'll even take consistent 50 or 60 degree days over this. No one wants 100-degree heat to be followed by 50-degree temps in such short order in June or July.

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3 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

This comes after we broke the one-day record for biggest temperature drop last month. Yep, this isn't normal. I've seen temperature swings, but not this many in such short order like we have this spring. I hope this doesn't continue. I'll even take consistent 50 or 60 degree days over this. No one wants 100-degree heat to be followed by 50-degree temps in such short order in June or July.

I tend to doubt there will be 100 degree days in July followed by 50's - the thing to be really concerned about this summer with a lack of tropical activity and El Nino is drought conditions becoming severe along the east coast

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11 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

I tend to doubt there will be 100 degree days in July followed by 50's - the thing to be really concerned about this summer with a lack of tropical activity and El Nino is drought conditions becoming severe along the east coast

We are already headed there.  Hasn't really rained much last month and we had a fairly dry winter despite the robust snow.    Saturday's event could miss SW as well

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31 this morning for the low

Despite being on LI and near the water, spring is my favorite season. Of course there's plenty of crappy days with clouds, rain, and can't forget allergies! But the days where it's 65-75 and sunny are the best weather days of the year IMO. That in addition to long days, late sunsets, high sun angle, and the greening up of the landscape is pleasant to see after seeing brown and gray all winter.

It's amazing how different a 50 degree day feels when its cloudy vs when its sunny this time of year

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7 hours ago, psv88 said:

People forget that spring sucks here. Always has and always will. Anything before Memorial Day is a crap shoot. We’ve had shitty Junes before where we couldn’t hit 80. 

i will never plant a tomato before mother's day

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Near record and record cold covered the region this morning. Records included:

Allentown: 24° (old record: 28°, 1925, 1956, and 2018)
Hartford: 27° (tied record set in 1961)
Poughkeepsie: 24° (old record: 26°, 2018)
Scranton: 24° (old record: 26°, 1925)
Westhampton: 22° (old record: 23°, 2014)
White Plains: 27° (old record: 29°, 1981)

The last time White Plains recorded a low in the 20s on or after April 21st was April 23, 1982.

Tomorrow will be somewhat milder with highs returning to the upper 50s. The temperature could approach or reach 70° on Thursday before another cooling trend commences. No cold shots comparable to the current one are likely for the remainder of spring.

No significant rainfall appears likely through the foreseeable future. Some showers are possible during the weekend. There remains some risk for a more meaningful rainfall given the lead time involved.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer.

The SOI was -5.34 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.507 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.6° (1.9° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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13 hours ago, uofmiami said:

I’m suppose to go Saturday night.  Hope weather improves for the weekend. 

I hope so too. We were lucky to go last year too and it was so much fun. Either way, you are going to love it! Looks like the rain might move out by game time! 

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